VReversal our mean reversion trading system captured two short trades on Friday and today on Monday, it captured the long side in what would be a very contrarian trade based on the news in the Middle East and higher #crude#oil prices.
#nvda generated some bullish news to get its stock moving higher again.
#emini
#nasdaq
#qqq
“As NVDA goes, so goes the market” was the story as long as NVDA was pushing higher.
NVDA has been one of the key generals leading this rally, but today’s sharp sell-off into the close raises a fair question:
Was this just normal profit-taking, or is the leader starting to send a warning signal?
When a market leader begins to lose momentum, I pay attention — not because one stock is the market, but because leadership often changes before the indexes fully reflect it.
What is NVDA’s price action telling us here?
#NVDA #Nasdaq #Trading #MarketLeadership #AlgorithmicTrading #StockMarket
No one is talking about NVDA with the Nasdaq 100 at all time highs. It is trading below its previous earnings release highs and generating a nice symmetrical topping pattern on the 60 minute chart. It would be unusual if the "generals' lead the market into a correction.
The last time the Nasdaq 100 was up > 1% on the day and NVDA was down on the day, the Nadsaq 100 went "sideways" for six months. This was on October 20, 2025. Can the bull continue without NVDA leading the way? #nasdaq#nvda
Trading System Cycles and FOMC Day Trading Opportunity
Principles to Understand:
-Start after a drawdown cycle or series of losers. This will buffer worse case drawdowns.
-Don't start in a euphoric state of mind at equity peaks.
-Systems degrade over time and we anticipate worse case drawdowns in the future.
-Exceptions to this are backtesting methods that do allow you to beat the original strategy using systematic money management algorithms.
-Markets can have unprecedented price action for a season that generates better than average performance or worse than average performance.
Questions to Ask:
-Would you stop at a drawdown level that would be a great entry point if you were not already trading it?
When we combine these two strategies into a portfolio we can see the latest hypothetical results below for an end of day equity and drawdown curve.
https://t.co/zV0oXoC4Bk