Brian Mayfield

Land Surveyor. Caver. Hiker. NWS certified storm spotter.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

Areas across the Mid Atlantic in major drought areas hopefully can pick up some additional rainfall over the weekend because the active storm track next week will likely shift well N with this setup. Major vegetative stress likely for those that get skipped by precip this wknd.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

Heatwave next week looks like it’s going to be the real deal. An undeniable trend towards the heat dome more or less being parked over the much of the region now.

[MarkWx @mark_wx15]

Guidance continuing to push the ridge axis east, which increases warmth duration and extent into SNE. Details somewhat uncertain but going to be a HOT week next week across the east coast.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@Phillies I think it’s time to get rid of Bohm though.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@mikestanislaw Agreed. They are all right turners in these type of ridge setups. But, if we pump these heights too much we’ll be seeing MCS tracks through Upstate NY and turning SE towards New England. Just seems too far N of the area on today’s guidance.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@mikestanislaw I think we can all agree that these height fields need to be maximized to the SW of our region to really have those classic ring of fire events. Heights really dropped off NE on 6/29/2012. Need the core of the ridge to ease off just a bit from what latest model trends suggest.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@mikestanislaw 594 dm night contour was over the SE for that derecho event. This looks like a whole lot more amplified ridge further norther.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@mikestanislaw The 594 dm heights on the 18Z GFS are significantly further NE than what Sebastian shared. Gonna need this to not keep trending NE if we want some MCS fun.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@mikestanislaw I’ll sign onto this idea for New England, but can’t do so locally at this time. Trends have been to push this ridge further NE the last several model cycles. The ring of fire zone would likely be further NE as a result if that’s the case.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@MarkedlyStupid @BarstoolNate All I can say is I can’t lift my ring finger independently without other fingers being raised. Wish I had that ability. If I did, maybe I’d show it off more in traffic.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@WxScholl Hopefully he didn’t snap his fingers and all of a sudden your timing belt explodes.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

If that height field can back off a bit further SW like it originally looked like, I could see some ring of fire action into PA/NJ. But, I just don’t see it on today’s guidance, at least not until the ridge begins to retrograde towards next weekend.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

This looks like a potential MCS pattern in New England, not so much the Mid Atlantic to me. You’re not going to get ring of fire action along the periphery of the ridge if the ridge axis is directly overhead.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@MarkedlyStupid @BarstoolNate The point is Phillies players have been doing this for years now, and in front of their home fans too. It’s not a middle finger despite the fact that it looks like it.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@smalecol Potentially once this ridge breaks down we’ll see some action, but I just do see it with a 594 dm ridge centered nearly overhead. This has trended stronger and further NE. We’re no longer on the periphery. Two days ago it looked like we would be. A big difference here.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@MarkedlyStupid @BarstoolNate Oh, shut up

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@BarstoolNate

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@PaulCubbage23 And I commend Harper for not flipping off the dipshit fans that were yelling profanity at him all night.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@PaulCubbage23 It’s his ring finger dude. Bryce even clarified that. Nick Casteallanos did the same thing on multiple occasions.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@TwiistedTr33_ This ridge has uprended to the point that some guidance now has 594 dm heights directly overhead. If that indeed is the case, I would expect the storm track to be north of our area until this at least breaks down.

[Brian Mayfield @CaptainKnots27]

@just4a11 @Phillies The reality is that the Phillies continue to play exceptionally well and have the best record in baseball since Don Mattingly took over.