Adam Chaliński

Xen,
X1,

[More Crypto Online @Morecryptoonl]

$BTC
In previous cycles, Bitcoin did not form a bear market bottom until the MVRV Z-Score fell below zero.

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@KevinSvenson_ @benjamincowen

[Quinten @QuintenFrancois]

Every 4 years, Bitcoin reaches historically oversold levels.

Every 4 years, people say:
“It will go lower”

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@ero_crypto @veloprotocol

[Ash Crypto @AshCrypto]

BREAKING: Michael Saylor says JPMorgan, Citi, Wells Fargo, Charles Schwab, and Bank of America are now offering loans against Bitcoin as collateral.

This is ultra bullish for Bitcoin as now you can access your money without selling $BTC.

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@WolnoscTV Technologiczni za cofańcy 🤣 eferum 🤣 stabletkojny🤣🙈 pod jakim kamieniem żyjesz człowieku???

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@xenpub 5 XNT =125 XNM is this a real target conversion rate or a simulation?

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@Xencryptoio 🤣😹🤣

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@Kilo_688 @AntiTrumpCanada

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@Vivek4real_ every time this idiot opens his mouth and shouts that the market will go up, it always goes down 🤣🤣🤣 a moron the world hasn't seen in a long time

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@robwood93053970 do you have the name DCAxen??🤣 Well, average down 🤣 xen has had further price lows since October 2022.

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@robwood93053970 They're probably paying you for advertising so it's fine,but you're talking nonsense and misleading.3 years have passed and the project is still immature. no tokeconomics, moon party is history,airdrop for testnet is fiction. so little clown, before you openyour mouthbrushteeth🤣

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@robwood93053970 the miners were forgotten when the X1 was launched.

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@xenpub the miners were forgotten when the X1 was launched. and this is the truth, so don't be ridiculous

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@Xencryptoio xen is dead why are you posting this?

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@mrJackLevin @mushypulsehex so what is the role of xen?

[PlanB @100trillionUSD]

Only constant in human action is greed & fear (in the chart: RSI color overlay). IMO greed (red) will return.

Scarcity (in the chart: S2F dotted line) is a fundamental driver of value, together with other factors. Bitcoin is scarcer than gold. IMO mcap BTC will be > mcap gold.

[𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 @ColinTCrypto]

Here is the Gold vs BTC vs Global M2 chart, for those wondering what it looks like.

Interesting right portion of the chart.

[Adam Chaliński @ChalinskiAdam]

@mrJackLevin

[PlanB @100trillionUSD]

Bears think $126k was the top, and btc will fall below $100k, and 2026 will be a bear market mainly because ... the 4 year cycle!?

IMO that is a BIG misunderstanding. Yes, there is a 4y halving cycle that doubles S2F-ratio, and 6 months before until 18 months after a halving was very profitable last 3 cycles. But, 3 cycles is not enough for a reliable pattern, and it is absolutely not guaranteed that the top is again 18 months after the halving (Oct'25!). Also, S2F model says nothing about tops or bottoms, only about the average price level in a halving cycle, assuming a fundamental phase transition (as described in the S2FX article, on my website in the bio). So IMO the top could very well be in 2026, or 2027, or 2028 ... actually I am much more interested in the average price level than the top (or the bottom).

What I do know is: there has not been a fundamental bitcoin phase transition yet in this cycle. Realized price (grey line) has not diverted from 200 week moving average (black line), RSI has not been 80+ (red) etc. Either the big jump has yet to come, or we have transitioned into a more stable price regime, dominated by institutions, fund mandates (e.g. 1%-10% btc) and rebalancing (sell after pump and buy after dump, to keep exposures within mandate). Both scenarios are very bullish for bitcoin. Also, IMO there can not be a big bear market without a big jump (red RSI 80+ and grey realized price diverting from black 200wma).