MASTER TRADING SETUP
✔ BREAK OF STRUCTURE (BOS) Signals market direction shift and confirms trend reversal.
✔ CHANGE OF CHARACTER (CHoCH) Early clue of momentum change before BOS confirmation.
✔ FAIR VALUE GAP (IFVG)
Imbalance zone where price often retraces for liquidity.
✔ ENTRY POINT – Precise level to enter trade after confirmation of structure.
✔ STOP-LOSS – Protects capital by cutting losses if trade invalidates.
✔ TARGET LEVEL – Defines profit-taking zone for disciplined exits.
Looking back at my trades from last week, they all had a few things in common:
✅ Market leaders – TDPower, MTAR & Walchandnagar were among the strongest names in Ai theme.
✅ Inline with Market cycle.
✅ Wedge Pop – reclaiming key moving averages after a bottom, showing a clear change in character.
✅ Clean, linear pullbacks. No messy or choppy bases.
✅ Volatility contraction before expansion.
Most importantly, they all had the potential to become leaders if the market continued to cooperate.
MANAGEMENT GUIDANCE STOCKS — HIGH GROWTH OUTLOOK 🚀🚀
50%+ Growth🚀
- Zen Technologies — 50%+ growth for next 2 years
- Airfloa Rail Technology — 50% growth for next 2 years
- Supreme Power Equipment — 50% growth for next 2 years
40%+ Growth🚀
- Atlanta Electricals — 40%+ growth for next 2 years
- Macfos Ltd — 40%+ growth for next 2–3 years
- Namo eWaste — 40–50% growth for next 2 years
- TARIL — 40%+ growth for next 3 years
- Neogen Chemicals — 40%+ growth for next 3–4 years
#sharemarket #stocks #Q4results #stocksmarket #nifty50
Shree Refrigeration
Robust FY26 Order Book: The company holds an order book of Rs 270 crore as of March 31, 2026, which is 1.8x its current order book, with confidence in ahead-of-schedule delivery
Defence Sector Specialization: Shree Refrigeration is recognized as a defence-focused manufacturing company with all three necessary naval registrations, allowing them to supply AC plants, HVAC systems, and electrical control panels
Unlike many competitors who act as system integrators, Shree Refrigeration emphasizes full in-house manufacturing, including critical components and test equipment
EBITDA margin decreased from 27% to 21% primarily due to a sharp drop in spare and service revenue (from 30% to 7%), but the company is targeting 15% for this segment going forward
Management reiterated its expectation for 40% CAGR growth, explicitly stating that this guidance does not include any potential revenue from the data centre business
The company maintains a blended market share of approximately 64% in the naval HVAC segment, with its retrofit business having a slightly stronger share.
The total addressable market for HVAC in marine and naval applications is estimated at around Rs 5,000 crore today, with potential for further growth
Source:- Phillip Capital
#PatelEngineering
Hydropower EPC Player with Strong Order Book & Improving Balance Sheet
*Read full Specially Risk Heading
CMP: ₹33.90
MCap: ₹3,360 Cr
✔ 75+ years of infrastructure execution with leadership in Hydropower, Dams, Tunnels & Irrigation.
📌 FY26 Highlights
• Revenue: ₹5,103 Cr
• EBITDA: ₹684 Cr
• PAT: ₹295 Cr (+21.6% YoY)
• Debt/Equity: 0.27x (improved from 0.43x)
• Debt reduced by ₹458 Cr YoY
• Non-core asset monetization: ₹185 Cr
📚 Massive Order Book
• Order Book: ₹15,119 Cr (~3x FY26 revenue)
• Book-to-Bill: 2.96x
• 53 ongoing projects across India, Nepal & Bhutan
Order Book Mix
• Hydropower: 63%
• Irrigation: 16%
• Urban Infra & Others: 15%
• Tunnel: 5%
• Roads: 1%
📈 FY26 Order Inflow: ₹4,400 Cr
Major Wins:
• Kondhane Dam – ₹1,319 Cr
• Renuka Ji Dam – ₹910 Cr
• HEO Hydropower – ₹711 Cr
• SECL Mining – ₹798 Cr
• Bhutan Hydro – ₹231 Cr
🚀 FY27 Growth Triggers
• Revenue growth guidance: ~10%
• FY27 order inflow target: ₹8,000 Cr
• L1 for Lower Arun Hydro (Nepal): ₹1,600 Cr
• ₹6,000 Cr bids under evaluation
• ₹20,000 Cr immediate pipeline
• ₹40,000 Cr projects expected for bidding over the next year
⚡ Long-Term Tailwinds
• 100 GW Pumped Storage roadmap by 2035
• Large hydro pipeline from NHPC, SJVNL, NTPC & NEEPCO
• Metro, High-Speed Rail & Tunnel opportunities
• Expansion in Nepal & Bhutan hydropower
🏗 Execution Updates
• Subansiri Hydro: 4/8 units commissioned (1,000 MW), all 8 units expected in FY27
• CIDCO Tunnel achieved a national record of 812m TBM tunneling in one month
💰 Hidden Value
• Arbitration claims in favour: ~₹700 Cr
• Additional claims under process: ~₹2,300 Cr
• FY27 non-core monetization target: ₹150–200 Cr
⚠ Risks
• Promoter pledge remains an overhang
• Execution delays can impact revenue conversion
• Arbitration realization may take time
📊 Valuation
At CMP ₹33.90 (MCap ₹3,360 Cr), the stock trades at ~11x FY26 earnings despite a ₹15,119 Cr order book and improving balance sheet. Sustained execution, fresh order wins and lower leverage can drive a rerating over the next 2–3 years.
Not SEBI Registered | For Educational Purposes Only