Christopher Rosche

Writer foraging for truth. Former Intel Analyst, Senate staff, and journalist. “The death of truth is the ultimate victory of Evil.”

[Renee @kelandren3]

My parents lost their home in the 2018 Paradise, California Wildfire. It was devastating to the whole community and killed 85 people. Our family learned a lot of things in that tragic fire. With all the fires Utah is experiencing, I thought I'd share a few things.

- Digitize your family photos. We lost ALL of our family photos except a handful. Absolutely devastating.

-Regularly take video of your home room by room. Show appliances, furniture, valuables in your safe, jewelry, etc. Some insurance companies just pay out. Some do not and require you to break down the cost of what you owned and cost to replace. My parents had AAA and they had to remember most everything they owned - a total nightmare.

-Have a go bag with phone chargers, important documents (insurance, home, medical, car titles), snacks, water bottles, N95 masks, medication, flashlights, etc. A normally 15 min drive took 5 hours for my parents to evacuate out of the town with fire on both sides of the road and it was pitch black.

- Send location while evacuating so family can track you.

- Fireproof filing cabinets were more protective than the fancy tall safe's...crazy, but true.

- Try to always keep your gas tank at half-tank. (I suck at this.) my Dad ALWAYS kept his tank no less than half. Except the night before the fire he didn't fill up and he ran out of fuel as he rolled into the gas station. Absolutely a miracle.

- Fire and Police were WAY too busy to help individuals. Help yourself and your neighbors...

Fires are unpredictable and scary. If you live in an area prone to wildfire, being prepared will help you get out fast. Your life is more important than any stuff you own... #CampFire #UtahFires #Wildfires

[Matthew Cappucci @MatthewCappucci]

Have weather forecasts seemed less accurate lately? There's a major contributing factor: nearly half the morning weather balloons in the Lower 48 are "missing."

This is an ongoing crisis that is degrading critical severe weather forecasts that we all rely on. It's having real, tangible impacts on degrading forecast quality.

If you work in transportation, agriculture or commerce, this should matter to you.

Regardless of the causes, this negatively affects people of ALL political backgrounds. Weather affects everyone. And it's impacting ALL of us negatively.

We can't look at weather balloon data that doesn't exist. We can't pump nonexistent data into models. We can't rely as heavily on models that don't "know" what's happening above our heads.

This is especially concerning for severe weather forecasts. We can't go 18 hours without ascertaining how the atmosphere is layered, how much storm fuel has built up and if severe thunderstorms are going to erupt. The Storm Prediction Center has even acknowledged forecasting frustrations in at least one public bulletin.

As an atmospheric scientist myself, I can say firsthand – the forecasts I'm able to offer you are less accurate than they would otherwise be. I'm not able to predict severe weather with the confidence I normally would. That is extremely concerning.

The United States is "supposed" to launch balloons at 0Z and 12Z ideally – a.k.a. around 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. Eastern time. That's not happening. Many sites, due to staffing issues stemming from broader political and organizational issues, have pushed to 18Z, or early afternoon. That's not helpful for morning severe weather forecasts. In other words, you get less lead time. Less advanced notice. Quicker ramp-ups and ramp-downs to the forecast.

We're not able to get jet stream, temperature, moisture or wind profiles of the atmosphere each morning like we otherwise would.

Moreover, the World Meteorological Organization encourages 12Z soundings; that data is shared via the Global Observing System (GOS) under the World Weather Watch (WWW). That's not happening.

[Chase Thomason @ChaseThomason]

🚨 BREAKING: MANDATORY EVACUATIONS EXPANDED FOR THE CHERRY FIRE 🚨

A Wireless Emergency Alert has now been issued for the #CherryFire, and officials are ordering people to leave immediately.

Mandatory evacuations are in effect for:
📍 Juab County: Mammoth, Silver City, Tintic Junction, and Eureka
📍 Tooele County: The area surrounding Vernon Reservoir and Lofgreen

Evacuation routes:
➡️ East: Take SR-6 through Eureka
➡️ South: Travel toward Delta

If you are in one of these areas, do not wait. Leave now using the designated evacuation routes.

The situation remains extremely dangerous as firefighters continue battling the rapidly growing Cherry Fire under critical fire weather conditions.

Please share this update to help get the word out.

[Steve Rattner @SteveRattner]

Treasury lifted oil sanctions on Iran up front—before a final deal is even signed.

This waiver will deliver about $6 billion of bonus revenue to Iran over the 60-day negotiating window.

Plus another $30 billion per year thereafter if a deal is signed.

My @Morning_Joe Chart

[Marc E. Elias @marceelias]

I just sent this out to Democracy Docket premium members, but in light of the Postmasters comments this morning threatening voting by mail, I felt it is urgent to post it online for everyone.

Please read and share. https://t.co/Lx5IjgeOnk

[Marc E. Elias @marceelias]

🚨BREAKING: In a MAJOR VICTORY, the 6th Circuit REJECTS Department of Justice lawsuit to access Michigan's voter file. The first appeals court to rule on an appeal in DOJ's 9 defeats.

I am proud of the Elias Law Group team for this critical win! https://t.co/vNk9oMTnTM

[Anthony Scaramucci @Scaramucci]

Trump told Leslie Stahl something years ago that everyone should hear.

She asked Trump he kept calling the media fake news.

He said, I do it because I need to discredit you, so that when you say negative things about me, nobody believes you.

That is EXACTLY what he’s done.

The problem everyone has with him is that most of us grew up with values, ethics, and integrity.

That is not Donald Trump.

He figured out a long time ago that he can bully his way through any rule and if he keeps pushing harder and harder, people will relent.

For most of his life they did, but we must stand up against it.

[Jonathan Haidt @JonHaidt]

Meta is now offering to drop opposition to KOSA in exchange for immunity in the lawsuits from parents, states, and school districts. Lawmakers must not let them lobby their way out of responsibility for the consequences of their product decisions. Let's be clear on the redlines as kids online safety is debated in Washington: No preemption. No immunity from lawsuits.
https://t.co/cVFjL7HsAz

[Christopher Rosche @ChrisRosche]

@str8outtawuhan @AmbassadorRice The Obama administration repaid Iran its own money held by US banks. It was not taxpayer money.

[Christopher Rosche @ChrisRosche]

@JoyceWhiteVance Dies!

[Christopher Rosche @ChrisRosche]

@anelsona @ryanburge Thank you!

[Christopher Rosche @ChrisRosche]

Olivia Nightingale is on a mission. She’s going to open Utah’s first Black bookstore.

A bibliophile, romance author and book editor, she has gone “book hopping” all over Utah at indie bookstores.

https://t.co/yyyEk4OSZ9

[Justin Wolfers @JustinWolfers]

It isn't just one jobs report. It's whether people can trust the scorekeeper. ⁣
⁣
If politicians can bully the agency that measures jobs and inflation, every economic debate gets foggier.⁣
⁣
https://t.co/EcvlIcHFKd

[Christopher Rosche @ChrisRosche]

@RonFilipkowski

[Decoding Fox News @DecodingFoxNews]

Calling the Church of Latter Day Saints not Christian reminds me of how some Protestants would claim Catholics weren’t Christian. When I was a kid I remember people calling Catholics idol worshippers and demonic. My family was Catholic.

[MAGA Cult Slayer @MAGACult2]

Last video of the night. If you’re thinking of Leaving MAGA, this is the guy for you.

[Christopher Rosche @ChrisRosche]

@anneapplebaum Especially hard for him when truth comes woman's voice.

[Christopher Rosche @ChrisRosche]

@HeathTaws Let's see the Arc of the Covenant.

[Christopher Rosche @ChrisRosche]

@StallionCornell I can't fathom why Mike Lee is shocked and surprised by this. The religious right, led by evangelicals for decades have always considered the LDS faith a cult. They only let us in when it is politically expedient. He truly doesn't know this??