Principal Research Analyst @ Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office, South Asia and Afghanistan. Retweets do not imply endorsement. T1D since 1994. COYI ⚒
On May 14th @USIP will release senior study group report on CT in Afghanistan & Pakistan. This Q&A, featuring study group members @tricbacon, @BCFinucane, Amb Michael P. McKinley, Amb Anne Patterson & @joshuatwhite, previews some of the group’s findings. https://t.co/7a57ZXOJe0
"Pakistan has set in place a broader pressure campaign to coerce the Taliban into reviewing and revoking its support for the TTP" from @asfandyarmir:
https://t.co/veiC8sDOde
The IMF report on Pakistan is out and its has some interesting pointers on where things are and where they are headed.
Some key points in the 🧵.
TLDR -- Pakistan's economy expected to be in flux for the next 2-3 years, at least, and faces significant risks.
Pakistani Taliban Relocation In Afghanistan - A Thread
Afghanistan's Taliban rulers are reportedly relocating some Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and Hafiz Gul Bahadur Group (GBG) fighters and their families to northern Afghanistan. 1/8
I am glad to share my latest article with @ToreRHamming for @CTCWP a deep dive into Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan’s (TTP) growing strength over the past two years. It assesses the TTP’s potential future trajectory & outlines its recent & more localized focus. https://t.co/TfK2qaz6oW
Pak Judicial Crisis: it’s not abt elections/law. An incumbent faction of the SC (CJP+allies) seeks to prevent the rise of an ascendant faction of the SC (J. Isa etc.), by aligning with the ascendant political party (PTI), whose rise the incumbent party (PDM)seeks to prevent. 1/7
Military operation not going to happen, rest assured: Existing security, political, economic situation + expanded & complex militancy landscape does not allow military operation the way conducted in 2007/8, 2009 & 2014 in Swat, Waziristan 1/3
My latest w/ @AmiraJadoon for @HudsonInstitute on the pre & post-9/11 evolution of Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ), with a focus on its links to some of the most prominent & resilient militant outfits in the region, most notably AQ, TTP, AfghanTaliban, & now ISKP. https://t.co/AM7hK5zDve
Pakistan is drifting toward an economic collapse amid a surging TTP terror threat. In @ForeignAffairs I argue Washington, which vividly remembers the choices driving the crises, should attend, including by steering Pakistan toward debt-restructuring. https://t.co/yYh4hZVBDP
Why are India and Pakistan contesting the Indus Waters Treaty again, and what does it mean for regional geopolitics? Find out in my first blog for @USIP
https://t.co/FrvXmA1n7u
@MarkeyDaniel@Kate_SdE@PaliwalAvi@ConstantinoX