Where preventive diplomacy must focus
Ethiopia: a trusted channel; safeguard Pretoria
South Sudan: AU-IGAD-UN minimum safeguards before 22 Dec
Sudan: a monitorable humanitarian pause
Agreements on paper endure only with political will, verification access & predictable resources
AU PSC - Security as systems, not battlefields.
At its 1369th ministerial session, AU-PSC tackled terrorism & cross-border threats: militant spread toward Gulf of Guinea, an African Arrest Warrant and AU Terrorist Data Bank, and illicit drones, encrypted networks & digifinance.
Somalia
The US signals support for a phased 12-month UNSOS drawdown from Jan 2027, so there's no December cliff-edge. AUSSOM relies on UNSOS for fuel, medical & transport logistics.
One year to build sustainable financing, e.g. via UNSCR 2719, before Al-Shabaab exploits gaps.
Sudan
23 Sept: the AU and US co-chair the first joint Quad–Quintet meeting, and the mediation tracks converge.
Washington now says neither SAF nor RSF leaders can legitimately govern.
The test: an enforceable, monitorable humanitarian truce on the ground.
Mali
JNIM's 10 Sept attack on the Dioura army camp inflicted heavy losses; reports put the toll above 100 soldiers.
Pressure on transport and aviation nodes around Sévaré and Konna signals intent to disrupt air mobility.
Africa Corps backing hasn't stalled JNIM's momentum.
South Sudan
The 22 Dec poll: easier to hold, harder to legitimise?
Kiir has dissolved the R-ARCSS unity government.
With under three months to go, core questions on inclusion, opposition participation and security safeguards remain open.
Northern Ethiopia
The Pretoria Agreement faces its greatest test.
23 Sept: Tigrayan forces seize Mekelle, Axum & Shire airports; clashes in South Tigray and Afar.
Two days earlier: a 7-group armed alliance incl. TPLF, Fano & OLA.
AU reactivates Obasanjo for urgent de-escalation
Africa Peace & Security Strategic Watch | 18–24 Sept 2026
Formal transitions and peace accords are colliding with hard security realities, from renewed hostilities in Northern Ethiopia to legal overhauls in South Sudan.
The developments shaping the week 🧵👇
Africa Peace & Security Strategic (APSS) Watch
Weekly short briefs providing digestible updates on evolving peace and security developments on the African continent.
This inaugural edition covers developments in Ethiopia, Sudan, South Sudan, and more.
On Wednesday, 22 May, our Southern African partner, the Institute for Justice and Reconciliation (@_IJR_), will unveil key findings from a pre-election telephone survey.
In this survey conducted using a representative sample of 1,800 South Africans, we ask citizens about their likelihood to vote, key issues that will influence their choice, and the party they are likely to support.
Register here and join us as we unpack these findings: https://t.co/vbeocOcBEX
#AfrobarometerCalling #VoicesAfrica #SouthAfricaDecides2024 #SAElections2024
VACANCY: Media and Communications Officer
Yiaga Africa is inviting applications from qualified people for the position of Media & Communications Officer in our organization.
Deadline: May 31st, 2024
For more information, visit: https://t.co/Bamlc6evB0
I look forward to having and contributing to further conversations on building and investing in homegrown expertise and innovations in Artificial Intelligence and bridging the knowledge gap for grassroots & rural communities in the uptake & applicability of AI. @YIAGA@siasaplace
Powerful conversations, questions and insights at the #AIandAfricanElections. Enjoyed our panel discussing- AI,Voting Rights & Data protection: How AI powered messaging, micro-targeting & machine learning can undermine voter rights and behavior in electoral processes. 1/2 @YIAGA
This conversation about #AIinAfricaElections is happening at an important time for democracy globally. New technologies continue to impact electoral processes & will have tremendous impact on countries particularly in Africa.