Decentralized Dave

Swing trader. Natural contrarian. Crypto enthusiast. Media background.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

Time for New Year predictions! Happy 2026 everyone.

Q1: Exhausting slow rise in S&P 500, will feel like "there are 9 sellers for every 10 buyers".
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Q2: Correction starts either at the start of Q2 or end of Q1. The correction will be different from 2025's correction in these regards:
- this time, it won't last just few weeks, it will last months to play out
- it will consist at least two 10% down moves
- it will not be 20% like in 2025, it will be not even close to 20%, it will be "only" around 15%
Cryptos will crash hard in Q2, in the Spring. Something is likely to break (CEX, Saylor...) Could even bottom out.
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Q3: Continuation of the correction for stocks, cryptos sideways. Boring period, even if we have Summer rally. Equities bottom around 6300 for S&P 500.
Cryptos will retest the bottom at the end of Q3 or start of Q4. They may also marginally undercut the Q2 bottom to form a definitive bottom.
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Q4: At the start everyone will be bearish. People will be saying: "There is time before we pump". Markets will surge in Q4. Will feel parabolic. Cryptos will make up for a lot of the losses they incure in Q2 and Q3. Stocks back above 7k.

https://t.co/7hXKXL2G0a

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

Cryptos are the canary in the coal mine.

In Q1 = they crashed late Jan/early Feb. It took 1-2 months for the stocks to correct as well.

Right now cryptos crashing.

Fate for the stocks is sealed. See you at buying the 15% correction in Q3. $SPY S&P500

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

My predictions made on 31st December 2025 and published on X and YouTube:

"Cryptos will crash hard in Q2, in the Spring. Something is likely to break (CEX, Saylor...) Could even bottom out." $BTC $ETH

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

Time for New Year predictions! Happy 2026 everyone.

Q1: Exhausting slow rise in S&P 500, will feel like "there are 9 sellers for every 10 buyers".
------------------------------------------------------
Q2: Correction starts either at the start of Q2 or end of Q1. The correction will be different from 2025's correction in these regards:
- this time, it won't last just few weeks, it will last months to play out
- it will consist at least two 10% down moves
- it will not be 20% like in 2025, it will be not even close to 20%, it will be "only" around 15%
Cryptos will crash hard in Q2, in the Spring. Something is likely to break (CEX, Saylor...) Could even bottom out.
------------------------------------------------------
Q3: Continuation of the correction for stocks, cryptos sideways. Boring period, even if we have Summer rally. Equities bottom around 6300 for S&P 500.
Cryptos will retest the bottom at the end of Q3 or start of Q4. They may also marginally undercut the Q2 bottom to form a definitive bottom.
------------------------------------------------------
Q4: At the start everyone will be bearish. People will be saying: "There is time before we pump". Markets will surge in Q4. Will feel parabolic. Cryptos will make up for a lot of the losses they incure in Q2 and Q3. Stocks back above 7k.

https://t.co/7hXKXL2G0a

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

You are missed already, zcash:native Investors

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

I do not own any $ZEC so I can't sell, but if I ever saw a top in crypto = chart smiling back at me within a bigger smile

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

And a giant smile when I zoomed out.

Holy moly mother of God.

HODLers of $ZEC, you will be missed

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

You thought I didn't know what I was talking about, admit it zcash:native

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

I do not own any $ZEC so I can't sell, but if I ever saw a top in crypto = chart smiling back at me within a bigger smile

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

@Crowded_Mkt_Rpt @APompliano But but… he wears a tie and he films himself in front of the books. He must be right!

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

@hoanandony @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt @APompliano The same way @benjamincowen has a million

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

@Coinman0071 @JesseOlson Or life changing profits.

The fact that only very few people are left who believe that ( @MarcDeMesel is one of them) tells you a message.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

The same old the same old shit talk in crypto bear market.

And imagine how loud will these are when $ETH dumps below 1k and $BTC below 50k

[Cloud9 Markets @cloud9markets]

👇 All ponzis will die sooner or later

I don’t care what price bitcoin is; 10k or 60k or 600k, it is still a ponzi , just like every other crypto memecoins/ bitcoin is just the OG meme

It’s never too late to buy n hold SP500/Nasdaq/Gold and real estate

Dump crypto/ move on/

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

I have just analyzed with AI assistant the most likely $SPY S&P 500 price action from the point of SPACEX listing by comparing other huge IPO cases.

Result is that S&P 500 could correct 5% on average between the SPACEX going public and the start of July.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

S&P 500 $SPY will encounter three potentially volatile events in June 2026.

SPACEX IPO
FOMC meeting
End of the quarter 2.

I believe we still might be on schedule to my original target of 7460 top. In order for it to be the case, however we will have 5% correction over the next 10 days or so.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

@BittexXBT Saylor will.

He’s longer in the game, more cocky and less ready for the bear

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

@AdamBLiv At some point you have to realize that you’ve signed up for a game you’ve already lost.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

BTC was 78k when I posted this.

Still chance to bookmark this.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

Careless.

Late summer 2026. All will see what I see.

Bookmark this.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

Haven't closed it all, though, only about 40%. Lesser half.

I've also noticed some altcoins want to decouple, but it's always been temporary.

BTC is the liquidity in crypto and if things go saur with it, all alts crash. That being said Monero can now for a brief time outperform out of nowhere as well.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

Terrible decision from my part.

I knew hitting that VWAP was the target. I didn't take any profits thinking $ZEC liquidity spills.

Now we've lost the parallel channel and I won't hodl. Selling breaking even. Shame on me giving up my profits. $XMR

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

Modest target hit today. VWAP was the resistance, as expected.

I took no profits.

Reason is $ZEC doubling in few days. If privacy sector getting this much love and inflow, now it's not the time to sell any other privacy except for ZEC.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

@Coinman0071 @costeacapital AI autonomous agents coming to crypto is the next big thing.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

@yacoobbbbb @Coinman0071 @costeacapital Just speculation. It's valuable because it's used. Where is value, there is also speculation.

Yes, sure, private stable coins, please, I am dying for one.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

@Coinman0071 Lost all my calls profits I’ve made yesterday today.

Good warning. Not closing now ofc

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

May was very sketchy month for my portfolio.

I struggled almost the whole month, expecting pullbacks that never came, shorting semiconductors and technology which either dropped only little or even went higher.

I got invalidated last week, flipped aggressively, bought software calls and instantly the next few days I made more money than in the previous two months combined.

[Decentralized Dave @ClassicDavid3]

@Coinman0071 @costeacapital And the stablecoins are running on something. That something is the deal.

And you’re forgetting privacy coins here.

You never could transact digitally before without other entities looking over your shoulder.

Now u can. Massive thing