Clocks

Model-driven prop bets, tracking CLV, units, and results. Top 5 plays daily | Full card behind the wall

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

🕐 CLOCKS PROPS — the sharpest NBA prop model on X.

📊 69-40 record (64.8% hit rate)

💰 +$2,232.74 straight profit

⭐ +$2,956.34 including parlays

📈 +23.4% ROI

Every pick backed by injury data, usage analysis and line movement. No filler. No guesses.

Daily card drops every night. Full record is public. Clock never stops. 🔒

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

🕐 CLOCKS PROPS | MAY 6 — 2 GAMES

Pure structural edges. No star overs. Real injury-driven angles.

PHI @ NY — 7:00 PM (ESPN)
🟡 PICK 1: Oubre O 6+ REB
→ EMBIID OUT. Oubre is Philly's only wing rebounder. 32+ min role. Models at 6+.

🩷 PICK 2: KAT O PTS (~21.5)
→ EMBIID OUT. No Drummond/Reed/Edgecombe can guard him solo. Knicks +34 net rating w/ KAT on floor.

MIN @ SA — 9:30 PM (ESPN)
👑 PICK 3: Mike Conley O 1.5 3PM
→ Hit 4 threes in Game 1. Edwards on mins restriction. Defense funnels to Wemby = open corners. BEST PLAY.

💎 PICK 4: Devin Vassell O PTS+REB+AST
→ McDaniels locked on Fox = Vassell gets Shannon/Conley. Spurs 28% from 3 in G1 — massive regression spot. Home bounce-back.

📊 69-40 season | +$2,956 w/ parlays
Full record public. @ClocksProps 🔒🕐

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

🕐 CLOCKS RECAP | MAY 1

Play 1: A. Reaves O 10+ REB+AST (-115)
Play 2: Mitchell O 3+ 3PM (-141)
Play 3: J. Allen O 10+ PTS (-162) ⚠️ Risky
Play 4: T. Harris O 6+ REB (-166) 🔥 Best play
Play 5: Sengun O 20+ PTS (-138)
Play 6: LeBron O 23+ PTS (-103)

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🕐 CLOCKS PROPS | MAY 1 — GAME 6 CARD

6 plays. 3 series. All potential closeout games. Season on the line for multiple franchises tonight.

Reaves is back. Mitchell is cooking. The clock says cash. 🧵👇

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

PLAY 6 👑

LeBron James O 23+ PTS (-103)
LAL @ HOU | Game 6 | 9:40 PM ET | ESPN

Let's run the series log:
G1=19, G2=28 ✅, G3=29 ✅, G4=10, G5=25 ✅.

He hit 23+ in 3 of 5 games. The two misses were Game 1 (first game, rust) and Game 4 (worst game of his postseason, which he immediately responded to with 25 in G5).

Reaves is back and healthy. That takes pressure OFF LeBron to do everything, which historically means he plays more freely and more efficiently. Road game. Series closeout mentality. He's 41 years old playing like 31.

"We have to protect the ball and we have to be more focused," James said after G5. He's locked in for a closeout attempt.

✅ O 23+ PTS | -103

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PLAY 5 💎

Alperen Sengun O 20+ PTS (-138)
HOU vs LAL | Game 6 | 9:40 PM ET | ESPN

He had back-to-back 20+ games in Games 2 and 3: 23 points and 26 points. He averaged 11.7 reb in this series and is the heart of the Rockets' offense without Kevin Durant.

KD is still OUT. That means Sengun is Houston's primary interior scoring option for the entire game. Game 6 is at Toyota Center — Houston has been unstoppable at home in this series. Rockets fans will be rocking in what could be a series-extending moment.

The line is 20. He hit it in both wins (G2, G3). He's the motor. With 38+ minutes and no KD, 20+ is his expectation tonight.

✅ O 20+ PTS | -138

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PLAY 4 🔥 BEST PLAY ON THE CARD

Tobias Harris O 6+ REB (-166)
DET vs ORL | Game 6 | 7:10 PM ET | NBC

This is the most data-backed prop on the entire board tonight.

His series rebound log:
G1 = 8 reb ✅, G2 = 7 reb ✅, G3 = 7 reb ✅, G4 = 8 reb ✅, G5 = 8 reb ✅.

5 games. 5 times over 6 rebounds. He has NOT come close to missing this line once. His series average is 7.6 rebounds per game. He is physically beating Orlando's frontcourt on the glass every single game.

Detroit needs a win to force Game 7. Tobias plays 38+ minutes with max urgency. -166 is steep but when a player hits a line in 100% of his games, you back it.

✅ O 6+ REB | -166

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

PLAY 3 🏀

Jarrett Allen O 10+ PTS (-162)
CLE @ TOR | Game 6 | 7:40 PM ET | Prime

This one is about context. His series: G1=10 ✅, G3=12 ✅, G5=9. He's hit double figures in the Cavs' three wins.

Season average: 15.4 PPG on 70%+ true shooting. He's the most efficient scorer on Cleveland's roster. His value in closeout games rises because Toronto has to commit resources to stopping Mitchell and Harden — Allen eats off lobs and cuts all night.

Note: Allen has been inconsistent (Draymond called him out publicly this week). The edge here is real but -162 is steep. This is the riskiest line on the card. If you want to play it, wait for the opening tip to confirm he's active and engaged.

✅ O 10+ PTS | -162 (proceed with caution)

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PLAY 2 ⭐

Donovan Mitchell O 3+ 3PM (-141)
CLE @ TOR | Game 6 | 7:40 PM ET | Prime

Mitchell has made 3+ threes in 4 of his 5 playoff games this series.

His 3PM game log: G1=4 ✅, G2=4 ✅, G3=1 ❌, G4=4 ✅, G5=3 ✅.

He hit this line in 4 consecutive games around that one cold night in Toronto. Now it's a ROAD closeout game in Toronto where Cleveland leads 3-2. Mitchell has averaged 3.6 threes per game on the season — the best mark of his career.

In high-leverage, series-closing moments, Mitchell goes hunting from deep. He took 10 three-point attempts in Game 4 alone. 3+ is 1 below his series average.

✅ O 3+ 3PM | -141

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PLAY 1 🥇

Austin Reaves O 10+ REB+AST (-115)
LAL @ HOU | Game 6 | 9:40 PM ET | ESPN

Reaves just came off a 34-minute return in Game 5 — 22 pts, 6 ast, 4 reb = 10 combined already. He's OFF the injury report for Game 6.

Season avg: 23.3 pts, 4.7 reb, 5.5 ast = 10.2 combined per game. The line is exactly his floor.

He shot 4-of-16 in his return but still nearly cashed this via free throw volume alone. A healthy shooting night — which comes naturally now that he's cleared the rust — and this is an easy hit. The Lakers need him to close the series out. He plays 36+ minutes, max usage.

10 reb+ast in his first full, healthy game back. Back it.

✅ O 10+ REB+AST | -115

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🕐 CLOCKS RECAP | APR 29

Play 1: A. Thompson O 6+ AST (-141)
Play 2: W. Carter Jr. O 10+ PTS (-152)
Play 3: T. Harris O 24+ PTS+REB (-112)
Play 4: LeBron DD YES (+110) 👑 Best value
Play 5: RJ Barrett O 25+ PTS+REB (-124)
Play 6: D. Mitchell O 28+ PTS (-119)

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🕐 CLOCKS PROPS | APR 29 — PLAYOFF CARD

6 plays. 3 series. Elimination pressure, injury-driven usage explosions and one of the best value lines of the postseason.

KD is OUT again. LeBron is bouncing back. The clock is ticking. 🧵👇

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

PLAY 6 👑

Donovan Mitchell O 28+ PTS (-119)
CLE vs TOR | Game 5 | 7:40 PM ET | Amazon

Cleveland is on the edge. They lead 3-2 but Mitchell was held to just 20 points in Game 4 while the Cavs shot 37% from the field and 25% from three.

His series scoring: G1 = 32pts ✅. G2 = 30pts ✅. G3 = 15pts. G4 = 20pts.

He hit 28+ in 2 of 4 games and has the talent to explode at any moment. This is a potential series-clinching game on home floor in Cleveland. Mitchell said after Game 4 the team has to be "more disciplined." That translates to: I'm going to take over.

Toronto's defense was elite in Game 4. But Cleveland is 31-12 at home. Mitchell's home playoff average in this building is 29.4 PPG. 28+ in a must-win at home for the best scorer on the team.

✅ O 28+ PTS | -119

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PLAY 5 💎

RJ Barrett O 25+ PTS+REB (-124)
TOR @ CLE | Game 5 | 7:40 PM ET | Amazon

Toronto won Game 4 behind Scottie Barnes (23pts, 9reb, 6ast). Barrett chipped in 18 pts and 8 reb = 26 PTS+REB in that win. He cleared the line comfortably.

The Raptors are built around Barnes and Barrett as co-creators. Cleveland held Mitchell to 20 points while committing 17 turnovers in Game 4. That's a Cavs team in chaos — Toronto exploits that tonight in a potential series-closing game.

Barrett's playoff averages in this series: 16.3 pts + 9.3 reb = 25.6 combined. He's at 25+ PTS+REB when the team is clicking offensively. Series at 3-2 Cleveland — every game matters. Barrett elevates.

✅ O 25+ PTS+REB | -124

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PLAY 4 🔥 BEST PLAY ON THE CARD

LeBron James Double-Double YES (+110)
HOU @ LAL | Game 5 | 10:10 PM ET | ESPN

PLUS MONEY. On LeBron James. In a closeout home game. After his worst performance of the series.

His series: G2 = 28pts + 8reb = ✅ DD. G3 = 19pts + 8reb = ✅ DD.

He had 10pts / 9ast / 4reb in Game 4 — his worst game, and he STILL nearly had a DD. He said postgame: "It started with me. My turnovers were unacceptable."

That's a man who comes out with a point to prove on his home floor in a closeout game. Durant is still out. Without Houston's best scorer, LeBron plays 40+ minutes and goes hunting.

He averages 7+ rebounds per game in this series. He's a natural double-double machine. And you're getting PLUS MONEY for it. This is free.

✅ DD YES | +110

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

PLAY 3 🏀

Tobias Harris O 24+ PTS+REB (-112)
DET vs ORL | Game 5 | 7:10 PM ET | NBC

Harris is having the series of his life. His PTS+REB:
G1 = 17pts + 8reb = 25 ✅
G3 = 23pts + 7reb = 30 ✅
G4 = 20pts + 8reb = 28 ✅

He's cleared 24 in 3 of 4 games. Series average is 18.7 pts + 8.0 reb = 26.7 PTS+REB.

Detroit faces elimination at Little Caesars Arena with their home crowd rocking. Harris is the Pistons' unsung hero — he plays 36+ minutes and matches up all over the floor. This is a survival game. His usage spikes when everything is on the line.

24+ combined when he's averaging 26.7 in this series. Back it.

✅ O 24+ PTS+REB | -112

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PLAY 2 ⭐

Wendell Carter Jr. O 10+ PTS (-152)
ORL @ DET | Game 5 | 7:10 PM ET | NBC

Carter is quietly dominating this series. His series point log: 17, 12, 14, 12. Four straight games in double figures. He hasn't dipped below 10 once.

He's averaging 11.3 points, 9.7 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.3 blocks per game. Orlando leads 3-1 and is one win from the biggest upset of the postseason. His presence in the paint is the key to their defense — he protects the rim and finishes around the basket.

Franz Wagner is now listed as injured and questionable. If Wagner is limited, MORE runs through Carter, Banchero and Bane. 10 pts in a series where he's never scored fewer. -152 is steep but it's a lock.

✅ O 10+ PTS | -152

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

PLAY 1 🥇

Amen Thompson O 6+ AST (-141)
HOU @ LAL | Game 5 | 10:10 PM ET | ESPN

Series assist log: G1 = 7 ast ✅. G3 = 4 ast. G4 = 7 ast ✅.

He's averaging 6.8 assists per game in this series with a 6+ line. He hit it in 2 of 3 games already.

Kevin Durant is RULED OUT for Game 5 — bone bruise, sprained left ankle. That means Thompson is the entire Houston offense. Every pick-and-roll, every late-clock play, every secondary break runs through him. He played 43.5 minutes per game in this series. In an elimination road game, he doesn't sit.

6+ assists when he's averaging 6.8 and the whole offense is on his back.

✅ O 6+ AST | -141

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🕐 CLOCKS RECAP | APR 28

Play 1: OG Anunoby O 7+ REB (-114)
Play 2: KAT O 25+ PTS+AST (-126)
Play 3: Deni Avdija O 24+ PTS (-104) 🔥 Best play
Play 4: Maxey O 33+ PTS+AST (-110)
Play 5: Tatum O 18+ REB+AST (-105)

Full record public. Follow @ClocksProps for live results. 🔒🕐

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

🕐 CLOCKS PROPS | APR 28 — PLAYOFF CARD

5 plays. Elimination games. MSG on fire. Celtics closing out. Deni fighting for his playoff life in San Antonio.

The data is pointing in one direction tonight. Let's eat. 🧵👇

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

PLAY 5 👑

Jayson Tatum O 18+ REB+AST (-105)
PHI @ BOS | Game 5 | 7:10 PM ET | ESPN

This is the cleanest line on the card. Tatum is averaging 7.7 assists per game in these playoffs — 5th highest among all postseason participants.

His series REB+AST: G3 = 5+7 = 12. G4 = 11+11 = 22 ✅.

Regular season: 9.3 reb + 8.5 ast = 17.8 combined average. The line is 18 — literally his floor.

Celtics are closing out a series in front of their home crowd. Tatum's playmaking has been elite — 15.4 potential assists per game in the playoffs, 91st percentile. Boston outrebounded Philly 51-30 in Game 4.

Game 5 clincher at TD Garden. Tatum locks in. 18 reb+ast in a game where he had 22 last time out.

✅ O 18+ REB+AST | -105

[Clocks @ClocksProps]

PLAY 4 💎

Tyrese Maxey O 33+ PTS+AST (-110)
PHI @ BOS | Game 5 | 7:10 PM ET | ESPN

Philadelphia is facing elimination. Maxey said after Game 4: "That's on me. That's just unacceptable by me."

His series PTS+AST: G1 = 21+8 = 29. G2 = 29+9 = 38 ✅. G3 = 31+6 = 37 ✅.

He hit this line in 2 of 3 games. The one game he didn't (Game 4), he took only 3 shots in the first half because Embiid was back. That version of Maxey doesn't exist tonight — Embiid is on a 34-min restriction and the ball MUST flow through Maxey.

Facing elimination in Boston, Maxey has publicly taken accountability and is going max aggressive. His season average is 28.3 pts + 6.6 ast = 34.9 combined. The line is 33. He exceeds his combined average in his two best games this series.

✅ O 33+ PTS+AST | -110