2016: Ryan Tannehill
2017: Jay Cutler
2018: Ryan Tannehill
2019: Josh Rosen (2nd round pick)
2020: Ryan Fitzpatrick
2021- 2026: Tua Tagovailoa (5th overall)
10 years later and Chris Grier still hasn’t acquired a franchise quarterback.
Dolphins roster construction has long focused on small, speed-based rosters designed for warm weather.
They then get pummelled later in the year when forced to play physical, smash-mouth football in freezing cold temperatures.
JES has the right mindset.
🎥 Jon-Eric Sullivan on the physical profile he is looking to draft: "It's important to me that this team looks a certain, and moves a certain way. I believe it's a big man's game... we want to build this team big, physical on all positions." (@MiamiDolphins) #PhinsUp
some thoughts on Lawrence to Cincy...
<buckle up>
Dexter Lawrence is a 28-year old stud
he spent most of his career playing vs elite interior OLs of the Eagles & Cowboys
he's been double-teamed at the highest rate in the NFL
he's now playing in the AFC North
Ravens lost their C
Steelers might start a 42-yr old QB
Browns have Deshaun or Shedeur
Lawrence should FEAST
the Giants were TERRIBLE when he wasn't on the field
last year, even in a "down" year for Lawrence:
Giants defense with...
Dexter Lawrence OFF the field:
#32 YPA (8.4)
#31 sack rate (4.1%)
#27 EPA/pass (+0.13)
#26 pass success (47%)
#23 pressure rate (32%)
Dexter Lawrence ON the field:
#7 pass success (40%)
#8 YPA (6.6)
#9 sack rate (7.7%)
#10 EPA/pass (+0.09)
#22 pressure rate (33%)
that was a "down" year for Dexter
the team was top-10 vs the pass when he was out there
bottom-10 when he wasn't
want a larger sample?
last 3 years:
Dexter Lawrence OFF the field:
#32 YPA (7.7)
#31 pressure rate (29%)
#31 pass success (48%)
#30 EPA/pass (+0.14)
#30 sack rate (5.5%)
Dexter Lawrence ON the field:
#8 pass success (42%)
#8 sack rate (7.4%)
#10 EPA/pass (+0.02)
#13 YPA (7.0)
#15 pressure rate (36%)
and again, the context is VITAL:
he was obviously the #1 best player on the Giants defense
every team knew it
they double teamed him at the #1 highest rate and he STILL made this big of a difference
and that was despite playing some of the NFL's top offensive lines in the NFC East as it relates tot he Eagles and Cowboys for YEARS
oh, and then there's this pretty ridiculous nugget:
2026
• $175M dead cap
• 1st overall pick
2027
• $90M dead cap
• Redshirt Arch Manning
2028
• $0 dead cap
• $100M+ cap space
• QB on rookie contract
• 10 top 100 picks on rookie contracts
Cinema.
BO NIX
JK DOBBINS
RJ HARVEY
JAYLEN WADDLE
COURTLAND SUTTON
EVAN ENGRAM
TROY FRANKLIN
MARVIN MIMS JR.
PAT BRYANT
The Broncos offense is absolutely LOADED 🤯
I interpret it as it really just being a two year deal and they're hedging their bets.
If Willis doesn't work out - fine. He'll be the bridge guy and they can get out of it after 2027 anyway, and they'll just draft a guy 13 months from now who sits on the bench for a year.
But if he DOES work out despite this lack of supporting cast, then they know they really do have a guy and they use their 2026 pick in a loaded class to improve the situation.
Malik Willis signs 3-year contract (most of guaranteed money front-loaded in yrs 1-2).
2026: Tasked with filling roster spot and securing top 5 pick.
2027: Start and mentor the QB drafted.
2028: Cut him, eat the $13M dead cap hit, hand the keys to rookie QB.
Full trade:
Broncos get Waddle and Dolphins’ 4th-round pick (11th in round) in this year’s draft.
Dolphins get: 1st round pick (30th overall) along with late 3rd and 4th round picks (30th in each round) in this year’s draft.
Ex-Packers front office and DC has opportunity to get QB they’ve seen practice daily—outside of top-15 positional contract in play.
“We rather bet on our future than bet on his talent”
It’s no secret we are restrained salary cap wise. You can get creative and do almost anything. We also need to get back into a healthy salary cap state.
- Dolphins GM Jon-Eric Sullivan, asked if deleting Tua and adding Malik Willis is financially feasible
The #Dolphins have hired former #Titans GM Jon Robinson as their new Senior Personnel Executive, per me and @TomPelissero.
A key voice for GM Jon-Eric Sullivan, as Miami beefs up its front office.
Other FA’s have more value imo
• Cor’Dale Flott (CB)
• Nick Cross (S)
• Leo Chenal (LB)
• Micah McFadden (LB)
• Kennth Gainwell (RB)
• Rodger McCreary (CB)
• Alontae Taylor (CB)
Can probably get a few of these guys for the price of Malik Willis.