Crypto has two years before the US government will hunt us down, target us, jail us and even kill us. Before the evil eye turns its cold gaze towards the people building a free anonymous p2p future.
Why?
The global order is disintegrating. The US people will see a drop in their living standard. This will breed resentment and radicalization in politics. Crypto will become the easiest scapegoat for the incoming democrat government in two years. There will be intense lawfare the likes we have never seen before. This will radicalize crypto and be the start of a new crypto wars which we will win.
Change is not gradual but sudden. Things compound & accelerate.
Lenin said there are decades where weeks happens, and weeks when decades happen. We are entering an inflection point when the political, economic, and technological order will change faster and faster.
The next two years will define the future of anonymity, free speech and sovereignty.
๐๐ฒ๐ผ๐ฝ๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ถ๐๐บ๐ถ๐ฐ ๐ฆ๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐๐
The US offers security to rich arab oil states in exchange for them backing the US dollar. This arrangement is called the petrodollar system. It is why the dollar is the most powerful currency in the world.
The Iran war has been a disaster for the US. It has been unable to protect its bases and is forced to move out of the middle east. It is locked in an unwinnable conflict. The US cannot guarantee protection for its arab friends. This will severely harm the petrodollar system. These costs won't be passed onto elites but to common working people in the US.
Saudi, Turkey, Pakistan and Saudi are forming a confederation to guarantee their own security - a signal of the failing US led order. Their plans include extensive transport and energy networks which bypass and sideline Israel. Israel which is a western colony in the middle east has become a pariah state even by formerly close US allies. Saudi asked the US for help with the Houthis in Yemen but the US refused.
Since the US is unable to guarantee security, China will fill the vacuum. China is friends with Iran and can get security guarantees from Iran.
At home, the economic consequences of declining American influence will not be distributed equally. The costs of geopolitical upheaval and economic restructuring will fall on ordinary people. Political priorities will shift to economic insecurity, inequality, and the environment. The tech elite might retain substantial resources and influence, but the broader population will face a difficult economy.
These pressures will breed resentment and radicalize US politics with economically populist democrats like Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez coming to power in the 2028 elections likely winning the presidency.
Crypto will be the easiest and most convenient scapegoat for populist democrat rhetoric. Key core issues will be economy and environment. Crypto is unpopular with a perception of being linked to fraud, extraction, tax avoidance, speculation and Trump. All easy targets for populist democrat politicians seeking power.
The existing lawfare operation against cypherpunk agorists will intensify to levels we have never seen before.
I have been targeted by this. Deported from 2 countries this year, detained by police and questioned in 4 other countries and taken to a room by a police squad asked to sign a document without being able to talk with my lawyer. I'm not unique either. The most radical in crypto suddenly find themselves "under investigation" or charged with money laundering: @raythewarchief@rogerkver@rstormsf
And this lawfare won't be limited to just cypherpunks and cryptobros but more widely directed against rich tech elites. For this reason they have been investing in network states - making deals with foreign governments to have their own enclaves to operate from. The risk from western states is simply becoming too great and they are diversifying out of the US in anticipation of a regulatory & legal war.
ETH still has 99.69% of the WBTC market (10B).
DarkFi could compete for a different category: private BTC-denominated financial activity with DAOs managing assets without public reveal.
How big is the programmable anonymous Bitcoin market? How big is Bitcoin OTC?
ETH is the most trust-minimized option, and only DarkFi is building in this direction.
If someone decides privacy is non negotiable for this ai agent currency or network, then theres only one group of people building a smart contract anonymous L1.
We may very well see the third temple rebuilt, Greater Israel, AI implanted in the mind of a human as an anti-father and antichrist. All of it is being funded by the Republican Party, and there are people who are seriously pagan.
This is all very obviously Christian eschatology
AI progress only strengthens the case for privacy.
First, the mimetic desire story of, "What does the elite desire in a world of the everything machine-readable super intelligence?"
Second, privacy as a digital commodity-like asset goes beyond the ticker, it's about private messaging, private stablecoins, and coordination as much as the "ticker."
U donโt want to be an โai loserโ story. Because an ai loser story will be sold aggressively for months (saas, accenture, chegg, etc)
Justinโs tweet is the first mainstream viral bitcoin ai loser story.
I donโt think he meant to but adds huge story drag to whole sector if ai math progress == bad for btc
btc was previously consensus as quantum loser, but nobody cares about quantum yet, or a flows loser to ai bubble, with mixed impact
This is quite direct, from credible source, on day of new math breakthroughs, and if memes bad imo (Discl long puts) 2d-2w)
> be brazilian commie
> be on the verge of having bolsonaroโs son as president
> complain and beg for chinese intervention
> get mogged by chinese guys calling you a bunch of low-iq losers
> realize even the chinese โbrothersโ are tired of brazilian whining
The only person bigger than Bolsonaro is Olavo de Carvalho. If you don't understand him, you are clueless about Brazil.
Everyone is just riding his wave.
@curtis_yarvin@bronzeagemantis@sailaunderscore
Todos os que subiram ao poder na esteira do Bolsonaro, aprendam enquanto รฉ tempo: fiquem do lado dele ou serรฃo odiados pelo povo tanto quanto o sรฃo os comunopetistas. Nรฃo tenham a ilusรฃo de representar "a direita". No Brasil nรฃo existe direita nenhuma. Sรณ existe o Bolsonaro.
@ChromeBarracuda Brazillians are western and conservative, any candidate pushing the country towards China or Russia is working against the people. MBL included, leftist useful idiots at best.
"Ah, porque a CIA..."
"A Globo..."
"A USAID..."
A verdade รฉ que, desta vez, toda essa gente simplesmente deixou de atrapalhar. Ninguรฉm ajudou efetivamente a direita.
Se alguรฉm merece o mรฉrito, รฉ esse vรฉio que, praticamente sozinho, derrotou a maior mรกquina polรญtica da Amรฉrica Latina.
Obrigado, Olavo.