Sunday Blog is up!
Everyone telling you what to do with your Cash ISA right now has a book to talk.
The broker wants you in stocks. The building society wants your cash. The Treasury wants you in UK equity.
@Mapago9 I always start with “When do I need this cash back” - time frames guide decisions.
Cash probably also is not the worst position to be in just now.
I’m waiting for the final flush in crypto to consider positions there.
🧵 $BMNR — what you’re actually buying
Bitmine ($BMNR) ≈ $16.90, ▼~6% today. Not an operating company — it’s the world’s largest Ethereum treasury (5.4M ETH, ~4.5% of supply), run by Tom Lee.
A leveraged ETH bet wrapped in a stock. Down ~88% from its $161 high.
@Mapago9@investwitheryk Currently thinking about $MSFT as a reasonable sizing to balance out the software names instead of taking on more $NOW
Also considering when to Buy $BMNR for ETH exposure in my UK ISA
I feel I cannot handle more than 10 total positions.
I’ve held less than 5 (single stocks) most of the last 3 years. I have a few more than normal just now but the power of AI is assisting to keep details at a digestible level for processing the companies information and continuing to look at other details.
Balance sheet is strong: ~$446M cash, ~$1.2M debt, current ratio >50. No solvency risk.
The risk isn’t leverage — it’s concentration + dilution: nearly the whole company is one token (ETH), now ~$9B underwater after $ETH fell ~60% from its 2025 peak.
Two flags, same as the doc: the figures are approximate (price prints span $16.90–$21 across sources; mNAV ~0.95x, ~$9B unrealized loss, ETHA/SPY returns all rounded), and posting stock commentary publicly is your call — the disclaimer line is baked into every card.
Want a punchier, more contrarian voice on the copy, or is the neutral register right for your account?
The only valuation lens that fits here: mNAV.
P/E? None (losses). P/S? ~600x (meaningless). mNAV ≈ 0.95x — you pay ~$0.95 of stock per $1 of ETH.
The flywheel (issue above NAV → buy $ETH → raise ETH/share) has STALLED now that the stock trades ≤ NAV.
🧵 $BMNR — what you’re actually buying
Bitmine ($BMNR) ≈ $16.90, ▼~6% today. Not an operating company — it’s the world’s largest Ethereum treasury (5.4M ETH, ~4.5% of supply), run by Tom Lee.
A leveraged ETH bet wrapped in a stock. Down ~88% from its $161 high.
Today’s move: $BMNR announced a 9.50% Series A preferred offering — 3M shares, ~$300M target, listing as “BMNP” (Moelis & Cantor).
The point: raise capital without issuing common stock below NAV.
Market read it as dilution pressure → stock ▼~6%.
The macro irony to close on:
Fear & Greed at 57 (GREED). Stocks at record highs. VIX asleep at ~16.
Meanwhile crypto risk appetite? Gone.
Two markets, one screen. Pick your poison.
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Disclosure: I hold $COIN. Not advice, just my read. DYOR.
This week the S&P 500 closed at an all-time high.
The same week, Coinbase $COIN closed near its 52-week LOW.
Same tape. Two completely different markets.
Here’s what’s actually going on 🧵
The whole thing in one line:
$COIN is a great business and a savage stock.
Its P&L lives and dies with Bitcoin. At ~7x sales near cycle lows, you’re not buying steady earnings — you’re buying a view on the next crypto upcycle.