Conjecture Magazine

Conjecture Magazine is dedicated to progress through ever better explanations, criticism thereof, and avoiding appeals to authority in all its guises.

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

Conjecture Magazine has been several months in the making, and we are proud of our initial lineup of articles.

We hope you enjoy the holidays with a sample from our opening slate of articles.

https://t.co/WwYcv1vex3

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"Is the Enlightenment as Deutsch describes, a transformative period, or is it a natural tunnel that any sufficiently progress-minded society would have passed through?"

@krishnanrohit

https://t.co/1VPZCYHn8I

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"While open societies strive to make the best use of the possibilities of man, totalitarian regimes aim to change human nature itself..."

@Sukhayl_Niyazov

https://t.co/nc8nTvnJWq

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"It’s theoretically possible, therefore, for everyone to be rational and yet for irrational ideologies to persist for centuries or longer, because large movements may have a high turnover rate."

@Ray_S_Percival

https://t.co/cCCuFkBaX5

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"Decentralized distribution of decision-making power is an essential element of open societies’ continuous ability to successfully overcome the challenges imposed by the constraints of reality."

@Sukhayl_Niyazov

https://t.co/5AjXUvPxl5

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"It is misleading to characterize the web as a quasi-democracy...the really desirable potential of the web is the exact opposite of majoritarian rule: the non-rule of *any* section of the public, minority or majority."

@Ray_S_Percival

https://t.co/AfJuNibWpi

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"Of course, the Facebook algorithm "notices" patterns of your viewing and buying habits better than you in some respects...But if the algorithm does recommend books or lessons that are useful, then we have a win-win situation."

@Ray_S_Percival

https://t.co/AfJuNibWpi

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"A truly rational...political philosophy is based on the belief that our knowledge is fundamentally incomplete, and that all our ideas, including with regards to the structure of our political system, should be open to criticism..."

@Sukhayl_Niyazov

https://t.co/DfdCfatMD6

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"That problems are primary is not some aesthetic preference to help keep our ideas concrete, but a deeper fact about knowledge creation. Specifically, knowledge grows by attempting to solve problems."

@BennyChugg

https://t.co/gOstnDjRHC

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"...theories such as moral cluelessness are divorced from the actual role of moral argumentation, which is to help us solve problems and make progress."

@BennyChugg

https://t.co/gOstnDjRHC

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"Today, prominent experts advise ignoring the CDC. This is not the fault of the people working there. It's the result of the agency's structure and incentives."

--Max More

https://t.co/zJYWw00Lb7

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"... if you are looking to the CDC in order to “follow the science,” be aware that they have been inexcusably wrong on many major issues.
When we hear the phrase “follow the science,” we often make two critical mistakes."

--Max More

https://t.co/zJYWw00Lb7

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"But every day is also a new opportunity to develop new knowledge that can help us solve the existential risks we encounter. It's what separates us from all the other species. We can be the exception to the rule if we choose to."

@Hello_World

https://t.co/S6c9DTGtU6

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"Especially after the industrial revolution, we have been able to increasingly gain control over nature in a way that now allows us to stand our ground in ways that were impossible to even imagine before."

@Hello_World

https://t.co/S6c9DTGtU6

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"...I'd much rather find myself in a Citystate Texas, powered by starfire, rewatching A Life On Our Planet with quiet satisfaction. And if you think that sounds like some techno-futurist fantasy, remember that plumbing once sounded the same."

@tomhyde_

https://t.co/Y6ZqO0ZFJT

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"...all our resources...are subject to progress. There is nothing stopping us from continuing to free up valuable real estate with the advent of new and exciting technologies, decoupling land use from both energy and food production."

@tomhyde_

https://t.co/Y6ZqO1hgBr

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"The question you ask in the scientific method doesn't exist in a vacuum. Instead, the question should be the child of some previously established knowledge that couldn't quite explain [some] natural phenomenon."

-Nate Hanrahan

https://t.co/xeXFb7xr6n

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"While open societies embrace uncertainty, closed societies, in their quest for the creation of an ideal society...aim to suppress uncertainty."

@Sukhayl_Niyazov

https://t.co/dTV2p1p1bK

[Conjecture Magazine @Conjecture_Mag]

"...Now that Wu had done the heavy lifting of proving the need for a new theory, the parity rule was questioned throughout other areas of physics and was found to be insufficient in many of those as well..."

-Nate Hanrahan

https://t.co/xeXFb7xr6n

[Aaron Stupple @astupple]

Do cycles of history make sense? Can we know what we will and will not discover?

Today at 3pm EST @BennyChugg discusses common pitfalls of discussing the future with @Conjecture_Mag.

https://t.co/Sn1wHknbaq

[Aaron Stupple @astupple]

Our first in a series from writers at @Conjecture_Mag.

@BennyChugg solves the unsolvable Pascal's Mugging paradox. But is it too simple? Too hand wavy?

Ben walks us through his thinking at noon Eastern on Clubhouse.

https://t.co/iWdV1y6OIZ