Control The Fight

Bayesian warlord. Working on modeling mma. DFS and betting on NFL and UFC. Don’t know how to use my ‘gut’ or narratives. DK: bmp1113

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

reduce the surprise." "where this goes really wrong is that the stories about the past are so good that they create an illusion that life is understandable. And that's an illusion. And they create the illusion that you can predict the future. And that's an illusion." -Kahneman

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@somebawdysson @MikeReiss Never did what? You are just trying to force something into your narrative.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@adamlevitan The league is very results based with punishments.

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@AdamHarstad And your frame makes us all look small in relation. Wait…

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@AdamHarstad Humans have a hard time conceptualizing the difference in very large quantities anyways.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@AdamHarstad Thats what you get for leaving those dms open…

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@AdamHarstad You have particularly attractive packaging.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@draftcheat The media is not equal and opposite. Pretending it is is just a weird fantasy.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy Lol oh god.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy No you are right, tua had the one quarter… 😂

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@CptJHermes @dimitry_bit @ianmiles Oh god this is dumb.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy Lmao. You have lost it.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy Lol special? Not quite

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy This conversation was wrapped up now you are just digging for more nonsensical paths. Why didn’t the dolphins have a 1st round pick this year?

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy Lol i like how you are actively trying to convince yourself Tua hasn’t just been worse than mac from bama until last year when he got hill and a new coach. Its also odd to bring up teams wanting to replace qbs after acknowledging how much the dolphins have wanted tua out.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy Oh boy “grit”

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@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy But Mac sucks for sure..?

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@DACDAC4DAC You are just trying to hard for some odd reason if you think the defense was the issue in that game.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy The narrative changes because they got a top wr and an oc and people don’t know how to separate that stuff from the qb.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy Try to remember the conversation on these 2 qbs before last season started.

[Control The Fight @ControlTheFight]

@ThatFinsRealtor @PFF_Fantasy Its been a fact sense Mac started in Bama. It just gets forgotten because people forget what it was like before hill showed up and how to separate the 2.