Covid Projections

Open source COVID19 projection tracker | Collecting and visualizing current and historical forecast data | Sources: @IHME_UW & @LosAlamosNatLab

[Covid Projections @CovidProjection]

We're live at https://t.co/g02mUPN3aH

[David Yu @yuorme]

#COVID19 projections will be hugely influential in the coming months as we prepare to slowly re-open society. Introducing @CovidProjection, a tool for epidemiologists/policy makers to track differences between models and for the same model over time📈📉 https://t.co/S7UwaiVZpT

[Eric Topol @EricTopol]

This will go down in history as one of science and medical research's greatest achievements. Perhaps the most impressive.
I put together a preliminary timeline of some key milestones to show how several years of work were compressed into months.

[Ari Steinberg @aristeinberg]

If you live in Pennsylvania and you voted by mail, please visit https://t.co/bcwfES95GY and confirm your ballot status is listed as "Vote Recorded." I have found one friend whose ballot was never received and another whose ballot was "canceled" by the county. 1/8

[Caitlin Rivers @cmyeaton]

We are quickly heading for all-time highs for new covid cases. Test positivity and hospitalizations are up. Multiple states have infection rates on par or exceeding AZ/FL/TX in the summer. We are again headed in the wrong direction at top speed.

[Covid Projections @CovidProjection]

Winter is coming, let's all do our part to keep each other safe!

[Covid Projections @CovidProjection]

Hi new followers! 👋

Would love to know who sent you our way 🔗

Also, just a heads up, we've been having issues with the data pipeline. Hoping to get that resolved soon so we can update the site with the latest projection data📈📊

[Ed Yong is not here @edyong209]

🚨I wrote a new piece about the 9 errors of intuition that people keep making during the pandemic, trapping us in a spiral of bad decisions & policies. This is a guide to thinking about the crisis & breaking free from that endless loop. 1/

https://t.co/tGMh5CpKSb

[Covid Projections @CovidProjection]

Short notice but definitely worth checking out if you have the time. 👇

[Youyang Gu @youyanggu]

Today I'm giving a talk about https://t.co/WcXlfxv3Ah at 2pm ET / 11am PT as part of the Marketplace Algorithms and Design seminar: https://t.co/x3f4WbL5Tn

I will be joined by Professor Vivek Farias of MIT. Join us on the live stream at 2pm ET: https://t.co/SYo7oLJIqt

[Dr Ellie Murray, ScD @EpiEllie]

It’s august, & i’m more afraid of whats going to happen over the coming months than at anytime since i saw the first covid report on dec 31.

in feb, i thought the failure to act was slowness. in april, i thought it was incompetence. i dont know how to process that it was malice.

[Nicholas G. Reich @reichlab]

The Reich Lab is hiring a full-time software engineer (remote ok) to help us with the #COVID19 Forecast Hub! https://t.co/VE7rd7duIN

Please help spread the word.

Apply here: https://t.co/OAT78HB9IO

[Natalie E. Dean, PhD @nataliexdean]

THINK LIKE AN EPIDEMIOLOGIST:
The chart below is tests per 1000 people. Relative to other countries, the United States is doing a lot of testing. So why do public health experts say that testing is inadequate in the US?
A thread. 1/7
Source: https://t.co/DH4IvjQzap

[Adam Kucharski @adamjkucharski]

Early in the pandemic, there were clear signals from China and Italy about impact of uncontrolled COVID-19 transmission. Now there are signals from multiple countries about what happens if measures are substantially relaxed. It would be profoundly naive to ignore them.

[Youyang Gu @youyanggu]

I've made a major update to https://t.co/WcXlfxv3Ah that tries to better account for the increase in cases and the resulting lag in reported deaths.

I believe new infections have likely peaked, and deaths will likely peak within the next 1-3 weeks.

[Nicholas G. Reich @reichlab]

It is critical to amplify the message from @ResolveTSL, @DrTomFrieden and others to change the paradigm about what metrics we should be looking at to help get us out of the #Covid_19 crisis in the US.
https://t.co/8p0RLRAjwA

[David Yu @yuorme]

To be fair, the original @IHME_UW models Dr. Birx referenced were later shown to have a flaw that caused it to consistently underestimate deaths on the tail end of the curve.

Birx placed undue optimism in a flawed model. But there is plenty of blame to go around.

[Ed Yong is not here @edyong209]

🚨This is what's keeping me up at night: What if a second pandemic happened on top of the current one? Here's an attempt to answer that question. The longer the US struggles against one virus, the more vulnerable it becomes to others. 1/

https://t.co/crPEQbCuRA

[Prof Peter Hotez MD PhD DSc(hon) @PeterHotez]

Let’s call this out: This is an outright and full blown Antiscience disinformation campaign coming out of the White House. I’ve got the bow tie on and I’m ready for battle.... https://t.co/rjt6uC0Y4y

[David Yu @yuorme]

People keep saying that the pandemic won't go away until we have a vaccine.

That's incorrect. The pandemic won't go away until the majority of us are vaccinated.

A subtle but key distinction in light of the logistical challenges of deploying a new vaccine at scale.

[Natalie E. Dean, PhD @nataliexdean]

A surge in cases is now a surge in hospitalizations. Sadly this will be followed by a surge in deaths. I can’t believe we have allowed this to happen again.

[Ed Yong is not here @edyong209]

🚨I wrote about the mental and emotional toll that the pandemic is taking on public health experts, who’ve been running on fumes for months, and who are deeply frustrated with shouting empirical advice into a political void. 1/ https://t.co/BGmsfuldMO

[Covid Projections @CovidProjection]

Great news but the fact that it's a Monday makes me think that reporting bias has to be a factor here.

[CTV News Barrie @CTVBarrieNews]

Ontario records no new COVID-19-related deaths for first time in months
https://t.co/2iRAaglmDa