🚨 ALERT:
$BTC is preparing for a massive dump to ~$32k
Every cycle, history repeats itself:
- 2017: $19k PEAK → 2018: -84.1%
- 2021: $69k PEAK → 2022: -77.4%
- 2025: $126k PEAK → 2026: -72.2%
Things are about to get worse – Bookmark it...
My trading never starts with the idea of how much profit I could make! I don't enter a trade asking myself "how much can I earn", but how much am I willing to lose if I'm wrong. Everything else follows from there.
Even before looking at the target, I already know where the idea is no longer valid. That's the stop. If the stop is too far away, if the risk is high or unclear, the trade simply doesn't exist, even if the potential profit seems huge. Because in trading, it's not the person who guesses the most who wins, but the person who makes the best mistakes.
Thinking this way completely changes your perspective. You are no longer at the mercy of the market, hoping that the price will go where you want it to. You are simply saying: this is my idea, this is the point where I admit I was wrong, and this is the loss I can accept without affecting my capital or my lucidity.
99.9% of what you see on your phone or internet is designed to rot your brain and make you scroll endlessly for hours.
It's basically crack for your brain.
Be aware of this and don't let yourself become a victim.
$ETH Macro View and my macro idea
From a macro perspective, my view on Ethereum remains unchanged.
Unlike BTC, however, I view ETH through a different lens:
every significant dump is an opportunity for spot accumulation, not a reason to panic.
Ethereum is an asset that, over time, has always proven to reward those who think in the medium/long term, especially when sentiment is poor and the market is dominated by fear.
It is precisely in those phases that the best positions are built.
Can it fall further?
Yes.
Can it experience deep drawdowns?
Absolutely yes.
It can also collapse much more than most people imagine.
But I will be there to buy, calmly, without haste, without leverage, building a position in my mid/long-term portfolio.
Time, on ETH, has always been an ally of those with vision and patience.
From a trading perspective, however, nothing changes from what I have already explained in previous posts:
here, we do not anticipate, guess or force anything.
We analyse the chart, respect the levels, and only work where the risk is clear and invalidation is simple.
Macro and trading are two different worlds.
Confusing them is the most common mistake.
I continue to think this way:
macro view …reasoned accumulation
trading …discipline, low time frames, risk management
The rest is just noise.
ETH never takes off when everyone expects it to.
In fact, it usually does the opposite. It lags behind, disappoints, and appears weak just when the market is focused on something else. And that's when most people lose patience and give up.
Historically, this is how it works: at the beginning of the cycle, capital goes to Bitcoin. This is normal, it is the 'defensive' phase, when people seek security. Ethereum does not shine at that moment, it remains compressed, often underperforming, and in the ETH/BTC pair, it seems to be going nowhere.
But that slowness is not true weakness. It is time.
Time for the price to absorb, build, and tire those who want everything right away.
Then, when BTC slows down and ceases to be the centre of attention, capital begins to shift. And that is when ETH changes pace. It has always done so: after long, boring periods, rapid, decisive movements occur, often when few are still well positioned.
On the macro level, I can be calm and constructive.
When it comes to trading, I remain cool and selective, working only where the chart gives me clear levels and controlled risk.
I genuinely believe you can make big money in the next year without reinventing anything using this method:
- Stop aping every fresh low cap
- DCA into majors during boredom ( $BTC, $ETH, $SOL)
- Bet more tokens at 5-10mil + rather than 500k mc
- Trade low caps only when volume + attention return
- Log in and show up every single day
- Take initials always after 2-4x
- Never sell or buy everything at once. Do it slowly
- Get rid of losers, but try to always have some dust
- Swap low cap profits to majors instead of only stables
- If you buy PvPs, make sure to hold both of them
- Work for your bags
Let's win 💪
We’re in early bear market.
Technical evidence is clear. Majority is trapped, denying simple facts. 4-year cycle context: midterms bring crashes.
Markets lead economy by 6-9 months. Future rate cuts & QE will start new bull in Q4 2026.
Rallies are for selling.
Eyeing $30-50k.
The market is playing out exactly as I expected. Majors will continue to dominate while altcoins show weakness. There are simply no new flows to push the overall altcoin market up. Only few will continue to make significant moves based on the current narrative such as privacy.
Don’t even see a point holding BTC here as ETH will clearly outperform on any upward move.
The altcoin market is completely lacking volume at the moment.
And when volume disappears, even the cleanest setups — structures, breakouts, retests lose reliability and often turn into poor executions.
That’s why I suggest working with smaller position sizes and moving your stop to breakeven as soon as you’re in profit.
In such thin conditions, the goal isn’t to “push,” but to protect your capital and avoid getting trapped in random moves.
Remember: markets always offer new opportunities.
There’s no need to force trades when the context isn’t favorable.
Likely up until the next Fed meeting / interest rate decision (December 9–10).
Looking at these targets for a lower high:
$BTC: $100k–$105k
$ETH: $3.7k–$4k
Everyone wants to
100x their acct this year
10x their acct this month or
2x their acct this week
Until they lose it all in 1 trade
Never forget that sound risk management is the absolute keyto this entire game
You have to survive to succeed!
Fibonacci's 0.75 is that level where the market stops creating illusions and begins to show its real intention.
The 0.618 is known to everyone, it is observed by anyone, and that is precisely why it often generates dirty movements, unreliable rebounds and manipulated dynamics.
When instead the price reaches 0.75, the reading changes completely:
There you understand if the trend still has structure, if there is authentic absorption, or if the push has run out and the market is ready to give way.
It is an area where noise is reduced and behaviour becomes more transparent.
There is nothing "mystical": it is simply the point where strong hands emerge and you can more accurately assess the solidity of the movement.
This is why I consider 0.75 to be one of the most relevant levels:
It doesn't tell you what retail hopes for, but what the market is really building.
$ETH The best name to accumulate in moments of panic I've been telling you for months... and it's always the same.
But here we are not talking about scalpling, leverage or intraday setup:
Here we are talking about true positioning, about a mid/long term choice made with lucidity, not with the anxiety of the candle of the day.
The ETHBTC chart says it alone: it is a market that is building slowly, absorbing, consolidating at the smartest point ever the one that everyone ignores because they only look at the price in USD.
The lesson i am going to give you is
Dont roundtrip your bags this time
I have done it myself to much times
If you done x 5 x 10 x 100 or whatever.
Take your profit. It doesnt matter how good your project is. What goes up also comes down always.
#BTC#ETH