El Presidente

Intelligence enthusiast.

Everything I share is my opinion only and should not be construed or taken as financial advice.

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

IMPORTANT:
+ I have NO private Telegram/Discord
+ I will NEVER message you
+ I offer NO services, no mentorship, no trade calls, etc
+ I will NEVER send you any kind of link whatsoever

Scammers are RIFE in these market conditions. Be extra vigilant.

Lots of fakes about. 🚨

[Albert @Albert_618]

Bad Influence

I grew up in a not so child friendly environment. Pretty early I came in touch with drugs. I was influenced by the People surrounding me.
It fascinated me and with the age of 13 I dropped the first pills, smoked Weed and started to use violence. Of course I was affected by violence too and got beaten up regularly in the world I lived in. It was normal. I thought it was. The older people I hanged out with gave me recognition for that. In hindsight weird.

3 years later - I was already dealing for the older ones - I went crazy. My parents couldn’t handle me anymore and I came in touch with Justice. Started couch surfing. Again - recognition from the people I respected. Why did I respect them? The money they had? The life they lived? I don’t know.

There was no Socialmedia or anything that gave me a different view and school was too easy - I did it as a side quest but nothing more but I wanted the lifestyle too.

More and more Ideas from those „friends“ influenced me and it got worse. I always thought yeah they know how to handle life - until the first of them killed himself in psychosis. I understood they don’t live what they pretend.

They profited of me cause I’m a loyal guy who runs for them and whatever was to do - I solved it. I was reliable… With the dream of being a rich man soon. I didn’t ask any questions. I was young and just blinded by the money they flexed or too stupid to see the reality behind the scenes.

Same happens today online. Where we are at its maybe not drugs and violence and whatever gangster life but its not so different. Sell a dream.

The „I called this and thats“ are not too different to the people I grew up with. What is really happening behind the scenes? Where is the proof of execution, and why are they pretending to nail it but have nothing to show for.

Moneytaurs playbook is simple. You show before and after and a proof. If you are a nice person you can tell when you take profits or whatever. Yeah it’s of course not your duty.

But on social media it’s easy for people to get lost and the influence you have on the persons might let them f*ck up heavy while you collect clout and maybe some fake respect and payments.

Think twice before you share stuff that is just not true. It affects your Karma badly and you might hurt people.

I appreciate everyone how shows execution in form of arrows or other proofs.

No Proof no Trade. Muted. Stay cautious its social media...

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@OVcrypto I just don’t like how the cycle look counting from the 1st as one cycle

I mean never say never ofc

Just doesn’t flow like a cycle typically does with momentum imo!

But they’ve been a bit bizarre since April 😂😂

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

If we're looking at this based on logic, then $BTC has failed it's daily cycle IMO.

I think the most reasonable expectation based on probabilities is we find a fresh low in the next DCL window, which I personally believe will be the weekly cycle low.

This is consistent with the USDT.D cycle of ~218 days (average) that I've talked about since Q1.

The window as I'm counting it is 19th November - 1st December. If that's correct, it should come in on the shorter end giving that we'd be reconciling it as 2 over-typical-length cycles, a shorter one, and a normal length.

19th November would be 226 days.

At this point, I don't really know how else to count it. Cycles have been fairly messy, this IMO is the cleanest outlook and most consistent.

If the idea is correct, then given that this daily cycle would be left-translated, and given that we'd be ruling out a "fake out failed cycle" variant (because of the close below), then I personally would expect that we should under cut the scam dump low.

OFC there is disrepencacy across exchanges, but personally I'd be happy to run with the Binance low.

If the idea is correct, and that next low is the weekly - then you have your pivotal low. Lose that, and I would personally consider that "bear market confirmation".

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@DemosthenesAno Purple isn’t valid for me

Green is fine for first two but has now thrown an inversion

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@trading959 Games designed to be cruel!

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

Talked about it in recent vid

It just doesn't "look" right because of the way momentum plays out.

To say we put in a DCL, then pumped, retracted basically the entire move, lost the 4H 200s, then pumped again to new ATHs, then totally retracted and undercut that..

It just seems much less probable, based on how cycles behave.

Would be an extremely ugly/bizarre looking cycle.

Never say never, but if we work on typical behavior, I personally think it makes sense to favor the above.

That's my 2c anyway

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@Myhayboy86 Have a good weekend!

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

That was the projection from 1st September.

On balance I think it makes most sense to consider 26th September an inversion, thus the count restarts.

I did say in the latest video that whilst I find it hard to believe that this is all one daily cycle from the 1st Sept, it will be worth watching that time window just in case.

But idk, it just LOOKS bizarre if that's true 😂😂

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@Myhayboy86 That's why I believe if we put in a weekly and fail it, then that's bear market confirmation tbh.

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

I'm not following.

Every weekly cycle so far has had a shorter daily cycle in it (either an inversion or an FCL as I call them, 40ish days.)

So that inversion would be the due shorter one, but ofc if that's the case, it's failed.

Weekly cycles have all formed ~218 days on average (as an inversion of the USDT.D chart).

So that would suggest that sometime in November it was due, and thus if we project forward from the suggested inversion we get 19th Nov - 1st Dec

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

Zoomed out view of the USDT.D chart for reference

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@Myhayboy86 Some quick thoughts
https://t.co/JftAjRZ4GS

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

If we're looking at this based on logic, then $BTC has failed it's daily cycle IMO.

I think the most reasonable expectation based on probabilities is we find a fresh low in the next DCL window, which I personally believe will be the weekly cycle low.

This is consistent with the USDT.D cycle of ~218 days (average) that I've talked about since Q1.

The window as I'm counting it is 19th November - 1st December. If that's correct, it should come in on the shorter end giving that we'd be reconciling it as 2 over-typical-length cycles, a shorter one, and a normal length.

19th November would be 226 days.

At this point, I don't really know how else to count it. Cycles have been fairly messy, this IMO is the cleanest outlook and most consistent.

If the idea is correct, then given that this daily cycle would be left-translated, and given that we'd be ruling out a "fake out failed cycle" variant (because of the close below), then I personally would expect that we should under cut the scam dump low.

OFC there is disrepencacy across exchanges, but personally I'd be happy to run with the Binance low.

If the idea is correct, and that next low is the weekly - then you have your pivotal low. Lose that, and I would personally consider that "bear market confirmation".

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@WatcherGuru ‘Yet.’

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@Myhayboy86 Post chart plz

[Quotable Crypto @QuotableCrypto]

♟️Source: @CryptoElPres (02/03/2023)

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

Don't forget sideways 😝

I haven't, I don't tend to pay much attention to trad.

I understand the argument, I guess my viewpoint tends to be: the charts within Crypto provide their own relevant carry over.

What I mean by that is: if there's risk presented in tradfi, then IMO it will have it's own manifestation in BTC/USDT.D etc regardless, so I'm not really sure there's much true benefit to trying to cross over ideas.

Hopefully that makes sense!

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@castifao_kh 🫡

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@Albert_618

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

@melovemoney1 Yo lol

[El Presidente @CryptoElPres]

🫣

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

@techiedani The brutal reality of the situation will hit like a tsunami towards the end of next year