$BTC
Projected Bottoming Structure
The $55.2k target is a structural target (minimal).
This ⬇️would actually make more sense as there really is no support at 55.2k currently. (And we never recovered the 49k wick prior to our current ATH if you remember).
This structure would serve as a deviation lower from our current range as a head structure.
My all-time high target will be above $163k if we get this.
$BTC
You have set a H&S ontop of the 76k green.
As long as that green is 4hr continuous resistance, you are in the move. If we recover it, we can make another M structure ontop of the 76k green which allows for invalidation or just prolongs the process for the breakdown.
The target is around 70.6k, but it could stretch to 66.4k if it wants to create a W structure to setup for a right shoulder.
The bounce will give us the right shoulder play where 74600 will be the level as 4HR support to invalidate.
If we can't get back above 74600 and later make 68127 4HR resistance, you are in target for $55.2k.
Looks like it could be knife catching season next week.
I’m leaning towards up to atleast 104600 from the 55k area. If we make a new ATH it will be short lived with a move down to 20k.
Thinking CRV topping .67-1.03 and then under .10
Once we get the intention to show itself whether sub 50k or 74.6k is broken, itll be easier to being the HTF play into LTF view.
Higher but lower with a bottom early ‘27
$BTC
We are in between two plays.
Beat 74.6k from here is what I am wanting to happen, this would offer a generational swing opportunity.
Structure is pointing to 55.2k at least unless we make 74.6k support from here.
If we beat 74.6k from here, you can do some magical shit, aka a new ATH.
$BTC
I forgot to update the king.
By hitting my target without a significant retrace, the picture changes.
Risk is the accumulation structure is not complete, and we bounce around 70.6k that can reach down 65.8k and FAIL to reclaim 74600 into 78729 after. That completes a minor topping structure targeting 55k.
After 55k, you have a massive accumulation structure building for 90k+
Bulls want the retrace to hold 70k area and return above 80k.
If it doesn't break out again from 74600, bloodshed.
Invalidation: A continued move above 82848 that needs to reclaim 89285.
$BTC
Be mentally prepared.
As long as we are under 78729:
A break of structure can yield a bounce around 66.4k.
For alts, they are likely to be at one of their major supports shown in their charts, and they go for a retest of their broken necklines.
Afterwards, price can make a right shoulder up towards 74.6k to test our broken support as resistance.
This right shoulder extending to its full potential (74.6k) isn’t guaranteed as we have seen complacent right shoulders this entire time we’ve made a major move within this range.
The 55.2k target may take a little time depending if the market wants to hurt late shorts.
I’ll update when the move shows itself.
Invalidation: a reclaim and 4hr support on-top of 82828.
USDTD
We couldn’t get back under orange, we are testing high range red.
Risk says a major up is possible;however, you can’t assume we won’t make a M structure ontop of high red until orange is 4hr continuous resistance.
CRV .1713-.1803 is the next target under .2078
CVX is at its 1.45 level, so its close to its bounce point, but instead of lower, this structure under 1.68 is looking accumulative. Once 1.68 is continuous support again, thats very very good.
XRP I had price bouncing around 1.17 and we are close, again making 1.29 4hr continuous support is the bull confirmation
HBAR, all over the place but if .083 holds as continuous 4hr support, that’s positive. The target was .065 for a bounce, but it won’t come as long as .083 is support.
Use USDT.D from here, specifically 4hr close above high red that later closes under it and makes orange continuous resistance =bottoms likely in.
BTC, 65.8 protects you from lower. If lower, 55k is in picture.
$USDT.D
This the daily chart,
The reaccumulation W sent us up to retest the neckline of our topping structure here, 7.749%.
Risk is getting balanced with reward at the moment as long as 7.749% is continuous resistance on the 4HR.
If this is a retest of our top's neckline before the true breakdown, you should be on the way under 6.795%.
However, if we can't lose 7.43% from here, you are still within the possibility of deviating above the range high towards 9.5%
Risk for the bulls is better here versus two weeks ago, but we are not out of the woods. This can snap right back to "oh shit" season real quick.
Bull case from here is a move up to 95k which can put CRV in mid .40s or even test major validation at .54
Need for this move down to be a deviation above 7.749 that later gets under 7.43%
The Rally
$USDT.D
Well, it looks like we could have some positivity coming into our short-term outlook.
IF USDTD fails to make 7.749 continuous 4HR support, you may have a play where we see structure come down for a handle which can yield a fairly significant rally for USDT pairs.
For Example,
ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52
If the handle plays, CRV can return to its midrange level, .4553. Any higher is not known and dependant on how we get there.
In terms of a new BTC ATH, nope not seeing it yet.
The current question is if CRV is going to sweep under .20 before this happens. If and when CRV makes .2521 continuous support, eyes will be looking up (for now). .2078 has been properly tested this time, so the "up" play is becoming more favorable than the sub .20 play.
Higher now, lower later seems to be the play.
@Fanta__Claus If BTC is gonna be an indicator, if it swipes .70.6k, there is no reason for it to go lower based on structure, so that might help CRV getting there. BTC will need to beat 74.6k afterwards to secure the up
Im trying to decide if I want to be a little more risky.
$HBAR looks like it will be sweet sailing to 0.22 after this move down. Also, HBAR has proven it can reach above .32 towards .40 before $CRV can breach .76
Should I repeat the play and go 90% HBAR 10% $CRV and then flip to CRV later? Or play it like an adult and go 50/50.
I think CRV won’t go higher than .80 before a retrace under .50 and thats where I will flip profits into CRV.
Let me know.
@Pa_St5 HBAR is likely to sweep under .05 after this move up. This plan was for taking the lows now, but USDT.D has since shown resistance at a previous top. Higher for now and lower later.
@EricDM101 We can accept and stay within the .28-50 range for months. If we get a dip around Aug, I wouldn’t think it would be back below .28. Closer to January though, I would be looking for a move back to or sub .20
The Rally
$USDT.D
Well, it looks like we could have some positivity coming into our short-term outlook.
IF USDTD fails to make 7.749 continuous 4HR support, you may have a play where we see structure come down for a handle which can yield a fairly significant rally for USDT pairs.
For Example,
ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52
If the handle plays, CRV can return to its midrange level, .4553. Any higher is not known and dependant on how we get there.
In terms of a new BTC ATH, nope not seeing it yet.
The current question is if CRV is going to sweep under .20 before this happens. If and when CRV makes .2521 continuous support, eyes will be looking up (for now). .2078 has been properly tested this time, so the "up" play is becoming more favorable than the sub .20 play.
Higher now, lower later seems to be the play.
$USDT.D
This the daily chart,
The reaccumulation W sent us up to retest the neckline of our topping structure here, 7.749%.
Risk is getting balanced with reward at the moment as long as 7.749% is continuous resistance on the 4HR.
If this is a retest of our top's neckline before the true breakdown, you should be on the way under 6.795%.
However, if we can't lose 7.43% from here, you are still within the possibility of deviating above the range high towards 9.5%
Risk for the bulls is better here versus two weeks ago, but we are not out of the woods. This can snap right back to "oh shit" season real quick.
$USDT.D
This the daily chart,
The reaccumulation W sent us up to retest the neckline of our topping structure here, 7.749%.
Risk is getting balanced with reward at the moment as long as 7.749% is continuous resistance on the 4HR.
If this is a retest of our top's neckline before the true breakdown, you should be on the way under 6.795%.
However, if we can't lose 7.43% from here, you are still within the possibility of deviating above the range high towards 9.5%
Risk for the bulls is better here versus two weeks ago, but we are not out of the woods. This can snap right back to "oh shit" season real quick.
$USDT.D
Like a slow moving train.
This is the idea behind where to look for structural bottom for crypto in general.
We are in the move to set the inverse head to the neckline (green level). Afterwards, we can have a relief rally to set the right shoulder before you are in the move to 9%+
At that point, whereever everything is, it should be a very good spot in terms of risk.
ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52
📢What-If📢
Don't bother looking at the chart if you're not in the mood for some cocaine and bourbon.
So, this is the current "What If" scenario if we make .2521 continuous support.
.2521 as continuous support gives you a shot at a swing high between .30-.34.
IF that swing high fails and creates a higher high M as a head structure from our previous .29 swing high (left shoulder) by losing .2521 afterwards, this sets back the time for a breakout and moves the target from .17 down for a sweep of .1420 which will match the LTF structure with our HTF structure ontop of $3.47.
Basically, we can go up to .33 area make everyone bullish again and come back down for the low low and consolidate until Octoberish. Beating .2621 will be the major indicator its in motion.
Ofcourse, beating .3543 and making that continuous support opens the door to .4553.
📢This chart is ONLY in play with .2521 being continuous 4HR support. The only way I won't be looking for the .1420 lows is if CRV accepts into the .36-.45 range.
$XRP
I don't see it yet, but we did get the third tap under 1.29 and we may have changed the play towards the bull target.
Making 1.42 continuous support and breaking out from 1.49 gives you the bull target of around $1.71.
If this rally fails you will have enough bearish structure to suggest a move under $1.00.
When it becomes clear I'll chart it, but for now rely on ranges.
1.36->1.42 as continuous support puts you in play.
If you can't make 1.36 continuous 4HR support, your still at risk for the pinned play.
$XRP
If the targeted lows don't hold the low, I've added a red to look out for at .74. Structure only calls for 1.04 area, but if this is met early in the BTC move down, be cautious of red.
4HR support ontop of 1.36 prolongs the move.
A sustained breakout of 1.49 invalidates the move.
Will update after the move.
#xrpcommunity
ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52
📢What-If📢
Don't bother looking at the chart if you're not in the mood for some cocaine and bourbon.
So, this is the current "What If" scenario if we make .2521 continuous support.
.2521 as continuous support gives you a shot at a swing high between .30-.34.
IF that swing high fails and creates a higher high M as a head structure from our previous .29 swing high (left shoulder) by losing .2521 afterwards, this sets back the time for a breakout and moves the target from .17 down for a sweep of .1420 which will match the LTF structure with our HTF structure ontop of $3.47.
Basically, we can go up to .33 area make everyone bullish again and come back down for the low low and consolidate until Octoberish. Beating .2621 will be the major indicator its in motion.
Ofcourse, beating .3543 and making that continuous support opens the door to .4553.
📢This chart is ONLY in play with .2521 being continuous 4HR support. The only way I won't be looking for the .1420 lows is if CRV accepts into the .36-.45 range.
$CRV
There is a chance we recover red range to make a major lower high structure around .2621.
Not clear yet but .2158 as 4hr continuous support makes it possible
$HBAR
Could make a move here.
.09425 as continuous support allows you to go for the .101 support.
A move to .13-.14 would yield enough structure to suggest the .046 target
(Like how crv topped at .29)
HBAR could outperform here.
.09425 as 4hr continuous support makes it possible
hedera-hashgraph:native (X is not cooperating tonight)
Sorry for the mixed signals.
I'm backchecking all of the plays, and I started over with my HBAR chart.
The LTF target is .065; however, from the structure ontop of .22, it has a target of .046.
I got a little too zoomed in, forgive me. But I can't invalidate price not taking the HTF target now being so close to it.
You know the BTC play, so gauge where price is when/if BTC makes 63k as 4HR resistance.
The previous three tap play will be deleted as there is too much risk to stand behind it right now. Once we see where everything lands, HBAR will get the update first.