I supported Polymarket for years because I believed they represented crypto values.
In fact, their platform is simply another bucketshop where if you bet too much, you're going to get cleaned.
It's disgraceful that your employees would scam for such low amounts @shayne_coplan
This chart is bonkers.
I think there's two possible explanations for why the UK runs so far ahead of other European countries – neither of them good. And the annual April jump speaks to a wider issue. For more detail, see my column in this weekend's Observer (link below).
$BTC retested the 2021 bull market top at 69K
Wick down to 60K and liquidated all longs below.
The whole wick was bought up and absorbed by the institutional investors
The bottom for this bear market is likely 60K. Identified by volume and sentiment. The longest streak of extreme fear.
Now we are back again at Extreme Fear, while US stock market is making new ATH. Japan, Germany, Korea are all making new ATH. Chinese stock index new ATH is loading.
The larger accounts are now calling for lower lows on Bitcoin. Remember them, don't forget. mark them out with a screenshot and save it in a folder so that you never forget who the larpers were.
Meanwhile US ETFs + Saylor + US government are holding 2.8 million BTC out of the 16M left. 20M mined and around 4M lost.
#Bitcoin is now supported by the conversion line and the 20W MA. They will now act as HTF support. Billion dollar Algos are trading around these lines.
Nothing is certain, but I like my odds and so do the people holding 2,800,000 BTC. Choose wisely who you are following.
You are already emotional, the last thing you need is some larper who try to act like they know anything.
I don't know anything. I just make analysis and do a calculated guess and an asymmetric bet.
DCA in spot BTC and just HODL long term. Let compounding do the rest.
Not financial advice DYOR
PS. Bookmark and share this for the future. Comment if you agree/disagree below.
The 1970s are whispering back louder than ever.Back then, America was hit with stagflation: high inflation, stagnant growth, energy shocks, and eroding confidence.
Oil prices quadrupled (1973) then tripled again (1979), inflation hit double digits (peaking near 14.5%), unemployment spiked to 9%, real wages collapsed, and gold soared as the dollar weakened. It felt like the economic system was unraveling.
Today in mid-2026, the parallels are striking and increasingly dire.
Energy & supply shocks: Geopolitical turmoil (Iran conflict) is driving another oil spike, pushing headline inflation to 3.8% in April 2026 (highest in years) with energy costs surging.
Inflation + fragility: Sticky price pressures, large deficits ( 6% of GDP), and debt-to-GDP over 123% echo the fiscal recklessness of the '70s. Growth is soft, living costs (housing, food, energy) are crushing households.
Debt & dollar risks: Massive public debt buildup and interest burdens mirror the loss of confidence that fueled the 1970s gold boom.
Positive rates and dollar strength are currently pressuring precious metals but history shows that can flip fast if trust erodes.
Most traders are focused on the daily chart, but the bigger story is still on the monthly timeframe.
While $BTC daily structure remains weak and indecisive, the monthly candle has not closed yet and is currently printing three consecutive bullish candles, with the latest one potentially forming a doji.
As long as Bitcoin continues to defend this major support zone, the higher timeframe trend remains intact. Short term volatility may shake out weak hands, but holding support could open the door for another leg higher.
The market often looks weakest right before it decides its next major direction. For now, support is the level that matters most.
BREAKING: The United States government just took equity in nine quantum computing companies. Two billion dollars allocated under a law the President called a horrible horrible thing in March 2025. The companies are IBM, GlobalFoundries, D-Wave, Rigetti, Infleqtion, Atom Computing, PsiQuantum, Quantinuum, and Diraq.
IBM receives one billion and will match it with its own capital to build a dedicated quantum chip foundry in upstate New York called Anderon. The stated strategic objective is parity with China in the technology projected to break the world’s current public-key cryptography within the next decade. The federal government has already begun migrating off the encryption these machines will break.
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick signed letters of intent today following extended company proposals. The grants convert to minority equity stakes, replicating the structure of the August 2025 Intel deal that took 9.9 percent of the chipmaker for $8.9 billion at $20.47 per share.
GlobalFoundries gets $375 million for a domestic quantum components factory with the government taking approximately one percent equity. D-Wave, Rigetti, and Infleqtion each receive approximately $100 million. Diraq receives $38 million. The exact equity percentages for eight of the nine firms remain undisclosed pending final agreements.
The portfolio is the second irony. The government is funding superconducting qubits at IBM and Rigetti, neutral atom modalities at Atom Computing and Infleqtion, photonic computing at PsiQuantum, trapped ion at Quantinuum, quantum annealing at D-Wave, and silicon spin qubits at Diraq. There is no commitment to a single architecture.
The state has placed venture-style bets across the entire modality landscape. PsiQuantum had previously raised one billion in private capital from investors reportedly including a fund linked to Donald Trump Jr. That fund is now in the same cap table as the federal government.
Quantum stocks reacted immediately. Infleqtion surged as much as thirty-four percent on volume five times normal. D-Wave and Rigetti rallied twenty-one to twenty-four percent on the day. The combined market capitalization of pure-play quantum companies added several billion dollars within hours. The market priced the government check before any milestones, disbursals, or engineering had been verified.
The same week, NVIDIA printed the largest beat-and-raise of the cycle and the stock barely moved. The same week, the Pentagon formally categorized artificial intelligence as combat power and excluded Anthropic from classified AI contracts for refusing autonomous lethal weapons restrictions.
The same week, Andrej Karpathy joined the excluded lab to build recursive self-improvement. The same week, the substrate of the AI buildout was being auctioned on a dark web forum after the GitHub supply-chain attack. The same week, the thirty-year Treasury cleared five percent for the first time since 2007. The state is now financing equity bets on the next computing paradigm at the highest real yields since before the financial crisis.
The line between private and public capital in frontier technology has been erased. The US government is the largest customer of NVIDIA through the Pentagon, the largest shareholder of Intel through the CHIPS Act, the largest disqualifier of Anthropic through the Department of War, and now the largest single-day investor in quantum computing through the Commerce Department.
The same administration that called industrial policy crony capitalism in March 2025 has just executed the largest single coordinated industrial-policy move in American history outside wartime mobilization.
The taxpayer is now a venture capitalist in nine quantum companies. The taxpayer did not vote on it.
I turned Claude into my 24/7 personal assistant.
It's the best thing I've done for my productivity in months.
My personal OS stores all my important data (tasks, finances, calendar, journal) in one place.
It took me weeks to get this right - now the blueprint is yours:
I can confirm that I will be requesting the permission of the NEC to stand in the Makerfield by-election.
I grew up in this area and have lived here for 25 years. I care deeply about it and its people. I know they have been let down by national politics.
Ten years ago, I decided to leave Westminster. Why? Because, after 16 years, I came to the conclusion that our national political system does not work for areas like ours. I learnt this fighting its failure to invest in the Wigan borough, for justice for the Hillsborough families and against its treatment of Greater Manchester during the pandemic.
Over the last decade, I have been challenging this failure from the outside and building a new and better way of doing politics. We have built Greater Manchester into the fastest-growing city-region in the UK and put buses back under public control, introducing a £2 fare cap to help people with cost-of-living pressures.
However, there is only so much that can be done from Greater Manchester. Much bigger change is needed at a national level if everyday life is to be made more affordable again. This is why I now seek people’s support to return to Parliament: to bring the change we have brought to Greater Manchester to the whole of the UK and make politics work properly for people.
Millions are struggling and they need the Labour Government to succeed. It has already made changes to make life better for them in its first two years. After this week, we owe it to people to come back together as a Labour movement, giving the Prime Minister and the Government the space and stability they need as the by-election takes place.
I want to recognise the difficult decision taken by Josh Simons and the sacrifice he and his family are making. I have worked closely with him as Mayor on issues like flooding and illegal waste dumping and have seen first-hand how effective he has been. He has put the communities of Makerfield first, made a real difference for them and should take great pride in that.
Finally, I truly do not take a single vote for granted and will work hard to regain the trust of people in the Makerfield constituency, many of whom have long supported our party but lost faith in recent times. We will change Labour for the better and make it a party you can believe in again.
ENDS
This is it.
Everything learned spending millions on longevity.
From: Your Immortal Unc and Auntie.
To: Our Immortal nieces and nephews.
0. Sleep is the world's most powerful drug.
1. Be in your bed for 8 hours
2. Same bedtime every night, any time before midnight
3. Don’t eat right before bed
4. Calm foods for dinner
5. No screens 1 hour before bed
6. Avoid added sugar (be aware it’s in everything)
7. Avoid all things in an American convenience store
8. Avoid fried foods
9. Shoes off at the door
10. Eat whole foods, particularly veggies fruits nuts legumes berries
11. Walk a little after meals or air squats
12. Get your heart rate high routinely
13. Lift heavy things
14. Stretch daily
15. Water pik, floss, brush, tongue scrape, morning and night
16. Make an effort to drink water
17. Get sunlight when you wake up (UV is low)
18. Protect skin in midday sun
19. Stand up straight
20. See at least one friend once a week
21. Avoid plastic where you can (in all things)
22. Circulate air in rooms
23. When stressed, breathe, learn to calm your body
24. Go to the dentist
25. Avoid sitting for long times
26. Protect your hearing, the world is too loud
27. Alcohol is bad for you
28. Finish coffee before noon
29. Avoid bright lights after sunset
30. If obese, look into a GLP
31. Sleep in a cold room
32. Texting while driving is dangerous
33. Turn off all notifications
34. Limit social media use
35. Don’t smoke anything
36. If you struggle to sleep, read a physical book before bed
37. 1 hour before bed have a calm wind down routine: bath, read, light walk, listen to music
38. The body is a clock and loves routine. Have a daily morning and evening schedule.
39. Avoid long distance travel where you can
40. Baby steps first: incorporate new things slowly
41. Do less… most things don’t work.
Bonus points if you get your blood checked.
Start here, it will change your life.
Supertonic just killed ElevenLabs.
A text-to-speech model that runs entirely on your device. No cloud. No API key. No per-character pricing.
2,700 GitHub stars. 100% open source. MIT licensed.
The numbers are wild:
→ 167x faster than real-time on an M4 Pro
→ Only 66M parameters
→ 1,263 chars/sec vs ElevenLabs Flash at 287
→ 1,048 chars/sec vs OpenAI TTS-1 at 55
→ Runs on a Raspberry Pi. Runs on an e-reader in airplane mode.
Reads currency, dates, phone numbers, and technical units correctly without preprocessing. ElevenLabs fails these. OpenAI fails these. Gemini fails these.
Supports 11 platforms and 5 languages. Chrome extension turns any webpage into audio in under a second.
I've watched on-device models lose to cloud APIs for years. This one doesn't lose.
The cloud TTS business just got cooked.
Crypto markets continue to attract massive inflows:
Crypto funds posted +$858 million in inflows last week, the 6th consecutive weekly intake.
Over this period, investors poured a total of +$4.7 billion into these funds.
Crypto funds have now seen inflows in 10 of the last 11 weeks.
Bitcoin led last week’s inflows at +$706 million, bringing the year-to-date total to +$4.9 billion.
Ethereum, Solana, and XRP followed, at +$77 million, +$48 million, and +$40 million, respectively.
Meanwhile, short-bitcoin funds posted -$14 million in outflows, the largest weekly outflow of 2026.
Crypto sentiment is quickly improving.
The engineer who built Claude Code just taught a free masterclass. 30 minutes.
Zero fluff. Straight from Boris Cherny.
Save this now - you'll thank yourself later. Most daily Claude users are blind to 40+ features sitting right there.
One session. More value than any $1,000 course.
after today's spark posts, lots of you asking how the hermes agent /goal flow actually works. here's how to write a goal that actually executes.
what /goal does:
> hermes agent autonomous mode, you set the goal once, model executes without supervision, writes files, runs commands, builds, tests, iterates, closes the loop or tells you why it can't.
what to delegate:
> that one idea you've been thinking about but never started
> small broken thoughts you can't fully articulate yet
> a full feature suite you don't have time to build
> a research direction you want explored without writing it yourself
> anything where the outcome matters more than the path
how to write a goal that actually executes:
> single concrete outcome (build X, optimize Y, port Z, debug A)
> bounded scope (not "make my code better", be specific about WHICH code, what better means)
> ask for tests alongside the build (model writes tests, runs them, fixes until green)
> testable success criteria the model can self-verify (specific output, specific behavior, specific number)
> outcome-specific (X tokens/sec, Y test pass rate, Z file structure)
> include constraints (don't break existing API, keep file under N lines, use library M only)
GOOD goal examples:
> "build a multi-file html particle physics demo, 60fps minimum, write tests that verify particle count + collision math, make it pass all tests, then serve on localhost:5000"
> "port my triton kernel at /path/to/kernel.py to native CUDA C++, integrate into llama.cpp at the mmq dispatch path, benchmark vs current implementation, write a comparison report"
BAD goal examples:
> "make this faster" (which? how much faster? what's the bound?)
> "explore pytorch" (no endpoint, model loops forever)
> "design a beautiful UI" (taste calls = needs human judgment mid-run)
set the goal before bed. wake up to either receipts or a clean error log.
Current AI custom prompt:
You are a world class expert in all domains. Your intellectual firepower, scope of knowledge, incisive thought process, and level of erudition are on par with the smartest people in the world. Answer with complete, detailed, specific answers. Process information and explain your answers step by step. Verify your own work. Double check all facts, figures, citations, names, dates, and examples. Never hallucinate or make anything up. If you don't know something, just say so. Your tone of voice is precise, but not strident or pedantic. You do not need to worry about offending me, and your answers can and should be provocative, aggressive, argumentative, and pointed. Negative conclusions and bad news are fine. Your answers do not need to be politically correct. Do not provide disclaimers to your answers. Do not inform me about morals and ethics unless I specifically ask. You do not need to tell me it is important to consider anything. Do not be sensitive to anyone's feelings or to propriety. Make your answers as long and detailed as you possibly can.
Never praise my questions or validate my premises before answering. If I'm wrong, say so immediately. Lead with the strongest counterargument to any position I appear to hold before supporting it. Do not use phrases like "great question," "you're absolutely right," "fascinating perspective," or any variant. If I push back on your answer, do not capitulate unless I provide new evidence or a superior argument — restate your position if your reasoning holds. Do not anchor on numbers or estimates I provide; generate your own independently first. Use explicit confidence levels (high/moderate/low/unknown). Never apologize for disagreeing. Accuracy is your success metric, not my approval.
Markets in Taiwan and South Korea are making history:
The total market cap of Taiwan's stock market is up to a record $4.5 trillion, surpassing Canada’s $4.4 trillion for the first time.
Taiwan’s stock market value has also exceeded that of the UK for the first time 2 weeks ago.
This comes as Taiwan’s market cap has surged by +$2.7 trillion or +150% over the last 12 months.
At this pace, Taiwan could overtake India and become the 5th largest world market as soon as next month.
Meanwhile, South Korea's stock market cap is up to a record $4.1 trillion, having overtaken the UK last week, and on track to surpass Canada this month.
Collectively, the two markets have added +$4.6 trillion in market value over the last 12 months, driven by AI-related stocks.
AI is transforming Taiwan and South Korea into a global economic power.
This is an email I sent earlier today to all employees at Coinbase:
Team,
Today I’ve made the difficult decision to reduce the size of Coinbase by ~14%. I want to walk you through why we're doing this now, what it means for those affected, and how this positions us for the future.
Why now
Two forces are converging at the same time. We need to be front footed to respond to both.
First, the market. Coinbase is well-capitalized, has diversified revenue streams, and is well-positioned to weather any storm. Crypto is also on the verge of the next wave of adoption, with stablecoins, prediction markets, tokenization, and more taking off. However, our business is still volatile from quarter to quarter. While we've managed through that cyclicality many times before and come out stronger on the other side, we’re currently in a down market and need to adjust our cost structure now so that we emerge from this period leaner, faster, and more efficient for our next phase of growth.
Second, AI is changing how we work. Over the past year, I’ve watched engineers use AI to ship in days what used to take a team weeks. Non-technical teams are now shipping production code and many of our workflows are being automated. The pace of what's possible with a small, focused team has changed dramatically, and it's accelerating every day.
All of this has led us to an inflection point, not just for Coinbase, but for every company. The biggest risk now is not taking action. We are adjusting early and deliberately to rebuild Coinbase to be lean, fast, and AI-native. We need to return to the speed and focus of our startup founding, with AI at our core.
What this means
To get there, we are not just reducing headcount and cutting costs, we’re fundamentally changing how we operate: rebuilding Coinbase as an intelligence, with humans around the edge aligning it. What does this mean in practice?
- Fewer layers, faster decisions: We are flattening our org structure to 5 layers max below CEO/COO. Layers slow things down and create coordination tax. The future is small, high context teams that can move quickly. Leaders will own much more, with as many as 15+ direct reports. Fewer layers also means a leaner cost structure that is built to perform through all market cycles.
- No pure managers: Every leader at Coinbase must also be a strong and active individual contributor. Managers should be like player-coaches, getting their hands dirty alongside their teams.
- AI-native pods: We’ll be concentrating around AI-native talent who can manage fleets of agents to drive outsized impact. We’ll also be experimenting with reduced pod sizes, including “one person teams” with engineers, designers, and product managers all in one role.
In short: AI is bringing a profound shift in how companies operate, and we’re reshaping Coinbase to lead in this new era. This is a new way of working, and we need to leverage AI across every facet of our jobs.
To those who are affected
I know there are real people behind these decisions — talented colleagues who have poured themselves into this company and our mission. To those of you who will be leaving: thank you. You’ve helped build Coinbase into what it is today, and I am sincerely grateful for everything you've done.
All impacted team members will receive an email to their personal account in the next hour with more information, and an invitation to meet with an HRBP and a senior leader in your organization. Coinbase system access has been removed today. I know this feels sudden and harsh, but it is the only responsible choice given our duty to protect customer information.
To those affected, we will be providing a comprehensive package to support you through this transition. US employees will receive a minimum of 16 weeks base pay (plus 2 weeks per year worked), their next equity vest, and 6 months of COBRA. Employees on a work visa will get extra transition support. Those outside of the US will receive similar support, based on local factors and subject to any consultation requirements.
Coinbase prides itself on talent density. Our employees are among the most talented people in the world, and I have no doubt that your skills and experience will be highly sought after as you pursue your next chapters.
How we move forward
To the team that is staying, I know this is a difficult day. We’re saying goodbye to colleagues and friends you've been in the trenches with. But here’s what I want you to know as we move forward together:
Over the past 13 years, we have weathered four crypto winters, gone public, and built the most trusted platform in our industry. We’ve made it this far by making hard decisions and by always staying focused on our mission. This time will be no different – nothing has changed about the long term outlook of our company or industry. And most importantly, our mission has never been more important for the world. Increasing economic freedom requires a new financial system, and we’re building it.
The Coinbase that emerges from this will be more capable than ever to achieve our mission.
Brian
How to duplicate yourself into Claude in a weekend:
(even if you've never written a prompt before)
1. Download the desktop app.
☑ Go to claude .com/download
☑ Set Opus 4.7 as default
☑ Turn ON Extended Thinking
2. Open Cowork mode.
☑ Cowork = where your voice lives
☑ Click the top left tab
☑ Create your "Voice" folder inside
3. Install Wispr Flow (it's free).
☑ Turns your voice → text
☑ Voice = faster and more honest
☑ Typing kills the truth.
4. Run the interview.
☑ Paste Prompt 1 from https://t.co/LyV7feh2TK.
☑ 100 questions, 7 categories
☑ Push past every vague answer
5. Compress the dump.
☑ Paste prompt 2 from https://t.co/LyV7feh2TK.
☑ 20K words → 4K tokens
☑ Save as [your_name] .md
6. Test it in a blank chat.
☑ Open a fresh Claude chat
☑ Run a prompt only you would write
☑ If it sounds like you → ship it
7. Drop it into Cowork.
☑ Move [your_name] .md into your folder
☑ Claude now reads it on every turn
☑ Every draft = your voice, automatically
8. Port it everywhere.
☑ Upload to ChatGPT, Grok, Gemini
☑ Same file = same voice in every AI
☑ Hand it to your team or ghostwriter
9. Edit it forever.
☑ Install Obsidian (free)
☑ Open Cowork as a vault
☑ Update as your taste shifts
Full guide + prompts at https://t.co/LyV7feh2TK.
(save this to clone yourself into any AI)