The Dutch government is destroying long term compounding by introducing a 36% tax on unrealized gains.
As a Dutch citizen and long term investor, I’m at a loss for words about the lack of vision behind this new tax. I normally don’t post anything politically related, but what our government is planning to do is disastrous for long term investors.
This is the sad truth.
Most people here start investing to protect themselves against inflation and ever rising pension ages. They’re trying to put hard earned money to work, hoping they can retire before the age of 71. And they had a real shot at that before this bill.
If you started at 25 with €10,000 and contributed €1,000 every month, you could compound to €3,320,000 over 40 years. If you lived prudently, you could retire early and live off it for the rest of your life.
With the new capital tax? After 40 years of compounding, you’d end up at €1,885,000. That’s a €1,435,000 difference.
This tax denies generations the chance of early retirement, punishes those who take risks, and introduces severe liquidity issues for people who have been compounding successfully for years. And to what end? To fill a €2.4 billion tax hole.
I’m beyond words.
If you’re Dutch like me, please share this visual with fellow investors to increase awareness.
Hopefully we can make our politicians understand the severity of this tax, and the breadth and depth of its destructive implications.
~ Jan
This is the best chart in #Crypto & #Bitcoin
The representation of the current status of the markets can't be explained by a better chart.
My thesis:
- The markets have peaked in December '24.
- The markets are bottoming during this month.
- There's a strong bull market for 2026 & 2027.
The main reasoning is that there's a strong case for the markets being tied to the macroeconomic behavior overall.
Crypto doesn't move independently anymore, no, it's connected with all the other markets and is being treatened as a risk-on asset. As a matter of fact, a very risky risk-on asset.
That's primarily why the previous year has been awful and confusing.
The year 2025 should have been the year where the markets have been seeing a tremendous amount of growth.
Fundamentally, this has definitely been taking place, but ironically, price didn't follow narrative, yet.
Stablecoin adoption has gone vertical. The same has been happening during 2019/2020 and during that same period, $ETH didn't move.
Until it did and that's where the actual ROI kicked in.
Why are the markets not surging? Why do they keep crashing down?
This comes down to several reasons.
Asset managers are allocating capital towards gold and silver, saw volatility spike within that market and to balance the risk parameters, they were forced to sell other assets to balance it out.
Once volatility goes down on Gold and Silver, that's the moment the allocations are going to be pushed more towards Bitcoin.
Additionally, macroeconomic landscape hasn't been well.
As the chart shows, the business cycle is on its weakest point in the past fifteen years and has just seen the longest bear market in history of crypto.
That results into an extended period of pain for any holder of altcoins.
Absolutely awful.
However, what the chart also shows is that there's a strong indication that the markets are about to trend upwards.
Every time the business cycle and liquidity are on this level, that's the moment where the markets are turning upwards for risk-on assets like altcoins and #Bitcoin.
Now, 2024 has been a great year. Altcoins did do well, we've had memecoin fiesta.
However, it was still a very slim bull market, as the liquidity wasn't spiking during that year.
What to expect?
Bitcoin didn't spike yet, not even close. There's not been mania, there's not been euphoria. Nothing.
The best part: the ceiling has raised significantly with the recent rally of Gold.
Matter of time until Bitcoin picks up momentum, as it follows Gold nicely.
Now, the coming months are going to be decisive for the markets. The best thing to look out for are macroeconomic factors:
- Gold & Silver to stagnate and go down in volatility = good for #Bitcoin.
- Bad economic data in the US = lower yields = lower interest rates = more money printing from the FED = good for #Bitcoin.
- Japanese Yield going down = good for Bitcoin.
These are the core metrics to look out for, and, to be honest, I think that we're in good shape from here.
Be fearful when others are greedy, be greedy when others are fearful.
Credits for the chart to @TechDev_52.
🚨 Get Ready For Another Crazy Week In The Stock Market:
• PCE inflation data, Q4 earnings season, Supreme Court tariff ruling, Davos World Economic Forum will be in focus in the holiday-shortened week ahead.
• $GE is primed for an earnings-fueled rally this week.
• $UAL could hit turbulence on soft results and sector headwinds.
Data shows that the 107k and 85k levels were reached on low volume. Volume remains weak, but data suggests room for another move toward 105k and 120k in Q2. This may be the final move due to lack of volume. For informational purposes only, not financial advice.
#btc
As mentioned earlier: (see message below) with low volume, #BTC could correct toward 107K, and possibly further to 85K. As long as we stay above 85K, the data still shows potential for a possible new run. This is not financial advice ! just reading data
As mentioned earlier: (see message below) with low volume, #BTC could correct toward 107K, and possibly further to 85K. As long as we stay above 85K, the data still shows potential for a possible new run. This is not financial advice ! just reading data
As expected #btc has entered the 125K–135K zone.expecting volatility within this range.If BTC breaks above 135K,it’s hard to say how high it could go.For now,the outlook remains bullish,but caution is advised.low volume could send it back to 107K or even 85K. Not financial advice
Update .Volume dipping likely due to China tariff noise. Key support: $107K. Next level: $85K if weakness continues
Uptrend still intact, but Monday’s open could set the tone. Stay sharp.#BTC
Stay sharp.The structure is still bullish, but volume dynamics will tell the next story
As expected #btc has entered the 125K–135K zone.expecting volatility within this range.If BTC breaks above 135K,it’s hard to say how high it could go.For now,the outlook remains bullish,but caution is advised.low volume could send it back to 107K or even 85K. Not financial advice
As expected #btc has entered the 125K–135K zone.expecting volatility within this range.If BTC breaks above 135K,it’s hard to say how high it could go.For now,the outlook remains bullish,but caution is advised.low volume could send it back to 107K or even 85K. Not financial advice
Update📊Data shows BTC has room to push toward the 125K–135K range. With ETH/BTC showing strength and dominance dropping, altcoins may follow. Not financial advice — just reading the charts. #Bitcoin#Altcoins#Crypto#BTC#MarketUpdate
Update📊Data shows BTC has room to push toward the 125K–135K range. With ETH/BTC showing strength and dominance dropping, altcoins may follow. Not financial advice — just reading the charts. #Bitcoin#Altcoins#Crypto#BTC#MarketUpdate
As mentioned, weekly candle took off and dominance is dropping. On the ETHBTC chart, the weekly candle looks oversold.If we break the supply zone,we could see a strong altcoin rally.Based on current data, #BTC could reach the 125K/135K range.Not financial advice just reading data
As mentioned, weekly candle took off and dominance is dropping. On the ETHBTC chart, the weekly candle looks oversold.If we break the supply zone,we could see a strong altcoin rally.Based on current data, #BTC could reach the 125K/135K range.Not financial advice just reading data
As mentioned earlier, #Bitcoin hit a new ATH after the weekly candle activeded. Data shows there’s still room to grow. Dominance is dropping, but not enough yet for a full alt rally. Both trends—BTC up, dominance down--are in play but slowly fading.Stay sharp.Not financial advice
As mentioned earlier, #Bitcoin hit a new ATH after the weekly candle activeded. Data shows there’s still room to grow. Dominance is dropping, but not enough yet for a full alt rally. Both trends—BTC up, dominance down--are in play but slowly fading.Stay sharp.Not financial advice
As mentioned, the bullish trend for #Bitcoin remains. The weekly candle is activeded and looking for new ATH. Dominance is nearing the end of its uptrend. A trendline break could spark the next #Altcoin rally.
Not financial advice — just reading the data. 📊
As mentioned, the bullish trend for #Bitcoin remains. The weekly candle is activeded and looking for new ATH. Dominance is nearing the end of its uptrend. A trendline break could spark the next #Altcoin rally.
Not financial advice — just reading the data. 📊
As mentioned in previous updates, the bullish trend remains intact. The weekly candle on #Bitcoin is active, and the uptrend in Bitcoin dominance is nearing completion. A drop in dominance could be around the corner. hopefully, the rise picks up right where it left off. 🚀
As mentioned in previous updates, the bullish trend remains intact. The weekly candle on #Bitcoin is active, and the uptrend in Bitcoin dominance is nearing completion. A drop in dominance could be around the corner. hopefully, the rise picks up right where it left off. 🚀
Update...Daily candle completed its correction and is now activated, but we need one more green week to confirm the weekly activation. This means an uptrend for #BTC and a downtrend for #bitcoindominance.
This is not financial advice, just sharing insights based on the data. 📊