My most likely Bitcoin bottom scenario remains the same:
A sweep of the 15K–16K region, with a final capitulation wick that could briefly touch 12K.
That's where the real test begins.
For me, anything below 16K is a mandatory buy.
$btc
For the brave reply guys stfu. The BD playing out now was one of the last remaining ingredients I wanted to see before we commence our next cycle up.
Gold rolled ✅macd and stoch reset✅rsi bull div✅vol compression at htf✅bb pinch✅everyone offside ✅
Youre all fkt
During the dot com melt-up of 1995-2000, Nasdaq put up gains of 572%.
To date, from the 10/13/22 bear market lows, Nasdaq is up just 162%.
Listening to bears calling this a bubble top could cost you a lot of money.
$BTC squiggles
Here's a rough visualization of how I see the most likely scenarios playing out. If you average them, you'll get a feel for the broad concept I have. I can absolutely be wrong, but it's my take on things currently.
Note that I give the diagonal (dotted) trend lines some importance in controlling the price movements as well as the horizontal support levels.
This falls in alignment with my other post on the odds I give these Bitcoin scenarios (see below).
The stock market is in what I believe is a historic,final parabolic leg of a 44 yr secular bull market.I am raising some of my targets as follows: SPX 10,000, Nasdaq Comp 36,000, DJIA 67,000, RUT 4000, QQQ 950, SMH 800, gold $7000 & silver $200. My other targets remain unchanged.
This is exactly what I told you would happen.
S&P 500 just hit $7,538, a new all-time high.
Amid the worst geopolitical crisis of the century.
Oil is at $94.
The Strait of Hormuz is blockaded.
The US has already begun the next round of war escalation.
Nothing has been solved.
No real objectives have been achieved.
The escalation is only getting worse.
And the market is rallying into it.
I’ve seen this before.
When equities rally during an unresolved energy shock, the drop that follows isn’t slow.
It’s vertical.
Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.
The next call will be even more important.
When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
At the beginning of May, someone told me affluent pockets of Burlington were starting to organize over violent home invasions and targeted car thefts.
Tonight, it turned into a packed community meeting in Roseland.
Residents say they’re scared. Some are now hiring private security patrols. Police and city officials were called in to answer questions.
One resident:
“People are being caught, arrested… and turned loose again.”
When communities like Burlington start mobilizing like this…you know the concern is becoming real.
$btc w
I’ll be very surprised if this monthly doesn’t reverse and hard close bullish, I’m low on dry powder but it’s all going in to either increase leverage or cushion.
Either way I’m expecting ATH going into august on corn and a altseason consensus formed. $400k -$700k
Ken Griffin went home on a Friday "fairly depressed" after watching AI agents at Citadel do work that used to take teams of PhDs in finance months to complete. Done in days.
His words: "These are not mid-tier white collar jobs. These are extraordinarily high skilled jobs being automated by agentic AI."
This is the head of one of the most successful hedge funds in history saying the people he pays seven figures to analyze markets and structure deals are being replaced by software that works in hours instead of months. Not theoretically. In his own office. Right now.
The Coatue deck we covered earlier this week called agents "the biggest unlock" in AI. Griffin just confirmed it from the buy side. The shift from copilots to agents is not a future event. It is already happening at the highest levels of finance.
Shorting the hell out of $BTC NOW:
- ALL LONGS taken profit, NOW!
- Added 20% position size shorts at 78k, NOW!
- Total shorts equal 50% in position size, NOW!
- Avg. entry, for recent shorts is: 80,500
- Remaining 50% in orders above 82k
On top, the 120k short remains open!
#Bitcoin: These are the last days and if you are lucky the last few weeks above the 80k range, the area of 50k and below is calling and the big crash is a matter of time
My big bet on Altcoins:
On top of my existing Bitcoin short from $120k and my ongoing SPX short, I'm now betting on the biggest hill of garbage the market has ever seen, even worse than during the dot com bubble and the garbage of the penny stocks. I'm shorting 100 altcoins simultaneously, 100 isolated short positions, $10,000 each, 1x leverage, total exposure of one million dollars. The exact altcoin names, and entries have been shared in the premium membership and are exclusive only. Isolated margin is the entire point: if any single coin pumps 100% and liquidates me, I lose $10k on that position and nothing else. The other 99 keep working.
Open any altcoin on the weekly, any of them and you're looking at the same chart: a multi-year bear market, price action back at levels we haven't seen since 2020, and a hill of garbage that continues to grow. Roughly 90% of this market is in a relentless, structural downtrend, and I cannot name a single catalyst that reverses it, not even all those X influencers who have been shilling this garbage for ages to you!
At 1x leverage, my max gain on any single short is 99%. My realistic expectation is a further 50% drop, which is on a $10k short: $5,000 in my pocket. Apply that across 100 positions and you're looking at roughly $500,000 in profit, against a theoretical max loss that would only materialize if EVERY SINGLE OF THE 100 altcoin, pumped 100% in total!
And for anyone who watched my prediction of October 10th, 2025 unfold, the cascade that took most altcoins down 50 to 80% in a single session, understand what you actually saw. That was the final liquidity grab. A major market maker pulling the plug and walking away from this market for good. What's left behind is thousands of bleeding bags with nothing underneath them but trapped liquidity and retail hopium. I'm not guessing at what these coins are. I know exactly what I'm shorting: garbage. And the beautiful thing about garbage is it always ends up in the same place. This is the penny-stock playbook, except this time the opportunity set isn't in the dozens, it's in the thousands of ten thousands of fully retarded, liquidity filled altcoins that are ready to get milked! And I'm already milking it.
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