Crypto Vol Arber

Senior Investment Banking Derivatives Professional turned Crypto Vol
Arber...

Over 15 years of derivatives expertise

Views are my own & not investment advice

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@hamza_xau trade

[Kaizen 黒 @NextGenAi5]

I lost my job yesterday.

Rent was due.
No backup plan.

Then I remembered I still had Claude.

Asked it:

“Analyze every top Polymarket wallet from the last 90 days and build me something”

$25 → $4,237 in one night.

It scanned 10,000 wallets.
Cross-referenced win rates, sizing, timing.

Found 7 traders whose edge wasn’t luck.

Then built an autonomous agent.

Not a script.
Not an if-then bot.

An agent that reads live news,
maps it to markets,

detects mispricing,
and exploits arbitrage across outcomes.

Sizes every position using Kelly.

I deployed it at 11:47PM.
Closed the laptop.
Woke up to:

$25 → $4,237

94 trades while I slept.

No input.
No hesitation.
No second-guessing.

That’s the game.
Information asymmetry at machine speed.
Wall Street pays millions for this.

I pay $20/month.

You only need Claude + laptop + 1 hour/day.

Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it:

1. Comment the word 'AutoPilot'
2. Like and Retweet this post
3. Follow me @NextGenAi5 (so i can DM you)

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@NextGenAi5 AutoPilot

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@polash_ai Claude

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@hamza_xau ebook

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@omaakatugba interviewer asks terrible and unprepared questions. Good that Olise calls him out. If footballers do bad they get everyone on their back, so why excuse a weak interviewer ?

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@aftahi_ai fable

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@tedtalksmacro ./2
If we move (a fair bit) higher at some point, the 1*2s in jan will tend to 0…hence no money lost

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@tedtalksmacro Long a load of Dec 1*2 1500*1300 ETH put ratios at zero cost from last week when skew was in another world. Also BTC 20k-18k 1*2s….massively ITM but will look to roll to jan zero cost 1*22 @tedtalksmacro

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@fb_gravitysucks @GenesisVol ./2 ..of participants were using call spreads to go long ETH post recent merge news…1600 was a popular upper strike. Let’s see if the brakes come off tomorrow post expiry…

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@fb_gravitysucks @GenesisVol ./1A much needed feature @fb_gravitysucks ! Although perhaps on this one occasion, ahead of tomorrow’s expiry, the assumption that calls are sold for this GEX chart may be correct. The early 1600s seem to offer serious resistance over the past 7-10days, and we know that a lot..

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

.5/
29th July short 20k-25k BTC straddle to buy 2x 19.5k puts…for a small credit. This one is a bit of a punt on a pullback, but worth it given a small credit to put on.

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

.1/ Few trades I’ve put on & like right now:
Short 29th July 25k BTC calls to finance ETH upside call spreads.
Upside call skew is well bid, hence call spreads really help cheapen. The BTC upside calls help me earn theta overall, remain net flat delta but gives ETH>BTC exposure

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

.4/
26th Aug ETH & BTC 1*2 put ratios (selling slightly OTM/ATM & buying the 2x OTM). With skew levels the lowest they’ve been in 3mths+, this one makes sense - with the theta financed by some of the previous trades

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@options_insight thanks @options_insight - how can I get access to this dashboard?

[Deribit @DeribitOfficial]

1/ Deribit is introducing COMBOS!

Deribit has released the ability to create and trade combos in TESTNET. A combo, sometimes referred to as a strategy, are combinations of different instruments that can be executed with one trade/request/transaction.

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@fb_gravitysucks .3/
In fact, the activity over the past 24hrs has been more sellers than buyers of calls...even if you zoom into the short end (chart below showing 2/3/10 Jun expiries flows over the past 24hrs)

ETH derivative users are fading this sell off...

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@fb_gravitysucks .1/
Although the sharp sell off this afternoon has seen ETH & BTC implied vols react almost identically, the implied skew is a different story altogether. Whilst BTC skew has been moving upwards, as you'd probably expect...

[Crypto Vol Arber @CryptoVolArber]

@fb_gravitysucks .2/
ETH however has seen it's implied skew move DOWN (since this morning), despite spot being down around 8%...hence no panic buying of downside puts with this move