Mark Hebert

Syracuse Fanatic. 20yr Corporate bond/CDS executive. All posts re: markets: bonds, stocks, options are opinions only, not financial advice

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

$CRWV announced a loan today to fund required capex for some large customers, #janest #anthropic to name a few. Bears are worried about the debt, and have every right to be, I like the stock here, when fulcrum pt of FCF turns or mkt feels it, this thing will rip.

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

and there we have it.. a break of the #ipo price $SPCX has done the full round trip- when it broke- it sent the market down with it
$MU down 10% in sympathy with $SNDK down 15%
market's lost- at least #warsh is done talking now.
We aren't in bargain mode yet- but getting there

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

$SPCX hovering on that #ipo price- probably worth it for a quick trade right around here- some round trip though. 135-225-135-

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

$TE $BE $MXL continue to feel pressure after a meteoric move higher. I wouldn't add more than a small position down here whatsoever- but the imp. vol on the calls gives you 5-10-15% prot. after such a move they've all experienced. $BE best
$TE 10.50- 6.5
$BE 340-230
$MXL 125-85

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

$CRWV headlines regarding derivatives/hedging strat. to chip px;s can be looked at from two angles.
1. fear of the cycle turning
2. prudence from management-
Right now fear is winning-- I like nibbling on $CRWV $IREN here, and pairing with cov. calls - take advantage of vol.

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

Laggards continue to catchup $META at the chagrin of some of the power players, $MU $AMD. I still think $AMD has potential to move much lower, but I like $MU here with some cov. call options alongside with it

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

this is working out quite nicely, didn't care about the penny but with puts you don't need to on these juicy vol names $TE

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

$TE and $MXL down another ~5% today after yesterday's 20% drop in this meme powerful AI infra play- going to look at selling some juicy OTM puts here.

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

the $META vs $CRWV $IREN $NBIS trade continues to unwind. When the market wraps a gift for you- open it!

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

$CRWV trade from yesterday looking good in this downtrodden market, think it had been beaten down too hard on the $META news of last week. Selling some 94/96 weekly calls today to capture some premium and protect any downside risk in a market that seems a bit lost.

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

2. I like the story, as I do think its hard to imagine space being the next monetizable frontier, but there's growing confidence in it, the tech is there. I'm not nibbling just yet- but if this thing continues to be pressured I will, and if an uptrend starts, i'll hop on small

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

1. $SPCX steady free fall of short and retail sellers now that index buying is behind us people leaning on it a bit, and more float coming in the next couple months. Analysts are uber bullish- now they're probably supposed to be at the leads, but its unanimous.

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

$NVDA a name stuck in the mud for the past three weeks that has only become the cheapest game in town finally getting a headline to help its cause. Another feather in its cap-
*CHINA TO LET TOP AI COS BUY SOME NVIDIA H200 CHIPS: INFORMATION

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

Moved on from $BA for now- love the long term story, think this is $400+ in a few years, will look to get back in on dips, but respected the rally, and will add to stuff that I like that's been beaten down by market sentiment, not fundamental story
$NVDA
$CRWV

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

@gabz_investing agree wholeheartedly on this one! $orcl will be back at 250 when people start seeing fruits of labor- $crwv will be at 150 as well!

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

@gabz_investing Of course high beta stocks implied vol is higher- these are standard deviation moves that are standard deviations from beta.

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

I see it as no surprise that some of the real meme outperformers took a break today- I think thin flows are letting institutional holders sell/short some of these names and there isn't a backstop right now. buy quality!
1. $TE down 20%
2. $MXL -10%
3. $BE -9%
4. $AMD -6.5%

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

Market trying its hardest here to fight back- some recent trenders really taking a beating $te $mxl $BE in favor of software $NOW $ADBE $CRM and high quality $NVDA

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

Here comes $CRWV and the crew $NBIS $IREN all up nicely off this mornings unwarranted sell off. Options are juicy too- good way to play OTM covered calls to earn a little income as well.

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

Neoclouds oversold- just as easy as they get overbought- but stay the course in $CRWV $NBIS and a bit of $IREN. These names have some good long term upside, and as soon as $CRWV gets people educated and ok with debt stack, or starts to ween off issuance a bit- rocket time

[Mark Hebert @Cuse16]

Following an extremely volatile market like the #kospi isn't going to be an investing success story- stay focused on the names you know $MU is down 25% really on two things.
1. sure its a bit overbought from a technical perspective
2. Headlines/weakness in Korea-
looks good here