Dynasty Rookie Stock Market: Week 5
By @FFChalmers
This rookie class is starting to leave their mark on this season. I’m so excited to follow these players and see their careers along the way. Without further ado, let’s dive in!
Brock Bowers
Brock Bowers is a name that will be covered extensively in the article on The Dynasty Rookie Stock Market. He is the greatest tight end prospect that we, as an NFL fanbase, have ever seen. Not testing at the NFL Combine drew some red flags from fantasy analysts, but all of that has been laid to bed. With no Davante Adams in Week 5, we saw Brock Bowers go nuclear. He led the Raiders with 12 targets, eight receptions, 97 receiving yards, and his first NFL touchdown! Congratulations, Brock Bowers, on that accomplishment. You have plenty more touchdowns to score in your NFL career. The most impressive play of the day was his 57-yard touchdown catch. A jump ball in the middle of the field. Brock Bowers goes up over the top of the defender, turns up the field, and scores. It was crazy! He is Dynasty’s TE1 overall and has been for quite some time now. There is no buy-low window.
Jayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels is the front-runner for NFL Rookie of the Year. His play up to this point has been nothing less than spectacular. With a 4-1 record to start the year, the Washington Commanders are the front runners to win the NFC East. A signature win against a great Cleveland Browns defense at home sets up a clash in Week 6 against the Baltimore Ravens. A clash of the titans, so to speak. Jayden Daniels, up to this point, has over 1,100 passing yards, four passing touchdowns, 300 rushing yards, and four rushing scores.
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Two Struggling Stud RBs: What to Do?
By @fantasybuff_
Nothing feels worse than watching your sure guy who is supposed to be a key contributor to your success, dragging our fantasy team down due to not living up to expectations. But, unfortunately, it happens to us all. I’m going to list some players who are underperforming assets in which you may be heavily invested. I’m going to lay on the panic button with you. I’ll tell you what I’d do with these guys. Timing is everything. We will navigate two trade proposals per player from each side of the fence. One trade we will buy. The other we are dealing away.
Let’s begin with perhaps the biggest player disappointment there is.
Stud RB #1
NYJ RB Breece Hall
Due to his value and the investment we made to acquire him, I’m a full-blown 10 panicking about this top asset.
The Jets offense isn’t looking so good. They were on the struggle bus once again, across the pond in London against the Vikings. Breece had nine carries for 23 yards. What’s nasty about that, and not speaking positively? Hall’s YPC went up. He also caught three passes for 14 yards. After Week 5, there are 33 running backs this season who have more rushing yards than him. Where does he stand in YPC on the season compared to everyone else? He’s at the bottom of the barrel. Hall hasn’t gone over 25 yards total on the ground in back-to-back games. As far as selling Breece, unless someone is willing to pay his pre-season value for him, I’m more than likely holding. But to maximize value, if looking to deal him away, your best bet is to wait on a big game to expand the value of your return. With that said, let’s consider The Jets’ next four matchups and the defenses they face. At home against Buffalo, then Sunday Night Football playing the Steelers in Pittsburgh. Then, at the Patriots and home against the Texans. Those are four consecutive tough defenses.
This further concerns me if I’m someone attempting to trade for Hall. Braelon Allen isn’t going away. I’m not saying Braelon Allen is going to overtake Hall’s job. However, he has looked so good that he will continue getting opportunities. Even if this offense trends up, I don’t know if that will mean Breece Hall will become superstar fantasy-relevant again because I do see Allen still getting his.
I have serious doubts Hall will help me win any championships this year. How low do I set the bar on pricing Breece? I wouldn’t trade a projected top 5 rookie pick in next year’s class to acquire him, as of now. So I would take a sure-fire first-round top 5 pick in the 2025 Draft for him. That’s a solid stance from my end. I’m not itching to deal him away. If I am trading away Hall, these are players I’m targeting to trade for, and there’s a good chance these player’s owners would ask for other assets on top of Breece. Depending on what that asset is, I’m willing to mingle.
NYJ WR Garrett Wilson
Det TE Sam Laporta
NYG WR Malik Nabers
CHI QB Caleb Williams
ARI WR Marvin Harrison Jr
ATL RB Bijan Robinson
CIN QB Joe Burrow
WSH QB Jayden Daniels.
Unless I can pivot from Breece Hall to one of these types of players or a top future draft pick, I’m probably holding. Every dog has his day, and I’m not selling low on a dog who will eat.
Here are two trades where I would trade away Breece Hall.
Trade away:
NYJ RB Hall and IND WR Michael Pittman for NYG WR Malik Nabers.
NYJ RB Hall and NOLA QB Derek Carr for Cin QB Joe Burrow
(I would also attempt to gain another RB with Burrow, such as Dal RB Rico Dowdle, or even a young flier guy, such as DEN RB Audric Estime. I’m high on Min QB Sam Darnold, and would much rather deal Carr than him. However, if landing Burrow here in Superflex, it’s worth it to me.)
Trading for Breece, I’m offering these players straight up:
MIA WR Jaylen Waddle
MIA WR Tyreek Hill
SF WR Brandon Aiyuk
There is wiggle room to add to your offer to acquire Breece, if your willing to fight the uphill battle with the split backfield he is facing.
Trade for:
MIA WR Jaylen Waddle and TB RB Rashaad White for NYJ RB Hall and LAR WR Jordan Whittington
MIA WR Tyreek Hill and DEN RB Javonte Williams for NYJ RB Breece Hall
Stud RB#2
JAX RB Travis Etienne (ETN)
ETN was not drafted as a top three dynasty RB, as Breece Hall was, but he is a top 10 dynasty RB in most circles. It’s getting concerning if you are not ignoring what is happening with that Jacksonville backfield. Tank Bigsby has emerged as a post-hype sleeper. The past few weeks, Bigsby has been doubling Eteinnes‘ production in these regards. In the last two weeks, Tank has 20 total carries and 190 rushing yards, averaging a whopping 9.5 ypc. 60% miss tackle rate. Bigsby has had more carries inside the red zone. He has received every carry inside the five-yard line. Looking at the box score, and judging without eyes, Bixby looks like the better RB of the two.
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The Devy Notebook Vol. 6
By @Evan_Kerr_
Here is a sample of my notes from week 6 and what I am looking for heading into Week 7.
Welcome back for the sixth edition of The Devy Notebook. This was the week of upsets in college football and was truly the most exciting week of the season to this point. We have already established some elite devy assets through the first five volumes of this article series, and I don’t want to waste anyone’s time by beating a dead horse week in and week out. Instead, I will briefly tell you that Ashton Jeanty, Tetairoa McMillan, Jeremiah Smith, and Ryan Williams all remained elite this weekend. You can lock them in as top devy assets until further notice. With that being said, let’s check out who made the latest edition of The Devy Notebook.
In the spirit of Halloween, I would like to say RIP to Ollie Gordon. We have only painted him in a bad light this season, and that won’t stop this week. He put up another stinker against West Virginia this week, carrying the ball 13 times for 50 yards. In four separate games against poor competition this season, he has been held to 50 or fewer yards and less than 4 yards/carry. He is my devy RB18, and I am not sure that that is low enough. If you roster Gordon for Devy, I advise finding the nearest league mate who still has hope and trading him for max value.
Jordan James is an extremely physical runner. He looked explosive, and I haven’t seen him run with this type of physicality thus far this season. He also looks faster on tape than some of his athletic metrics would imply. I get reminded of Ronald Jones when watching him, but with a bit more run-finishing ability. He rushed for 166 yards and one touchdown against Michigan State and would have had a ton more had this game been competitive.
Welcome back, Ricky White. As I said in last week’s edition of The Devy Notebook, he is one of my favorite deep sleepers for the 2025 WR class. In two games with new quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams, White has had 20 receptions for 262 yards and three touchdowns. He projects as a field-stretching receiver that would pair on a team with an already established WR1 in the NFL. Look for him to continue to put up big numbers for the remainder of the college football season and give himself a very good chance to make it into day 2 of the NFL draft.
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14 more player notes from Week 6 exclusively for DFF members
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For week 7:
Oregon vs. Ohio State is going to be a showcase of offensive and defensive talent on every possession. This should be the game of the weekend, but which players will emerge on the biggest stage?
Penn State travels to USC. The Nittany Lions must travel across the country for this matchup. I want to watch Allar and Singleton in this one closely, and also see if Branch can do anything vs a stout PSU defense.
Jonah Coleman has another chance to impress. If he can do well against Iowa, it may be time to go all-in.
Texas goes to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry. Similar to the OSU/Oregon game, this game will have tons of talent on both sides. Let’s see who shines.
Eli Holstein has been fantastic for Pitt and is reviving his devy stock. Cal’s defense did excellent for 3.5 quarters against Cam Ward and I want to compare.
Kaden Feagin needs a big game, and Purdue’s run defense has been a siv. If he can’t do it this week, it may be time to move on.
We get another chance to see Caden Durham against good competition. I’m also going to have a microscope on Tre Harris in the LSU vs. Ole Miss game.
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The Devy Notebook Vol. 5
By @Evan_Kerr_
This weekend included some of the best games of the year in college football, and I have finally had a chance to digest it all. Several players have made names for themselves already in this article series, and the devy landscape continues to shape up. I was also excited to see a few new players make their mark on the 2024 season. For better (or for worse), let’s find out who they are.
Bhayshul Tuten is an awesome blend of speed and toughness. He had one of the fastest times on the 60 meter in high school for Jersey. He also grew up a wrestler, which comes through on the field with his ability to break tackles (he has 31 so far this season). Virginia Tech clearly wants to feature him in their offense, and it is doing nothing but helping his draft stock.
I’ve convinced myself that Kyle Monangai is going to be the best running back to come out of Rutgers. I’m probably bullish on him compared to most, but he is a workhorse that plays with the power, vision, and contact balance that you want to see on Sundays. If you like Pacheco, you are going to love this dude. He rushed the ball 25 times for 132 yards and one touchdown against Washington’s third-ranked rush defense.
Cam Ward continues to answer the questions we need him to answer. He has shown good processing ability, great decision-making out of structure, and an ability to navigate the pocket better than most others in his class. I think he is pretty locked in as a first-round pick in this year’s NFL draft. He had a few Heisman moments this weekend in a tight game with Virginia Tech, and I expect him to have more moving forward.
We probably should start talking about Jonah Coleman more. In the same game that I was impressed by Monangai, I was equally as impressed with Coleman. The Junior running back for Washington ran for 148 yards on 16 carries against a strong Rutgers defense this weekend. He has not been shy in the passing game either, where he has caught 13 balls through 5 games this season.
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The Devy Notebook Vol. 5
By @Evan_Kerr_
This weekend included some of the best games of the year in college football, and I have finally had a chance to digest it all. Several players have made names for themselves already in this article series, and the devy landscape continues to shape up. I was also excited to see a few new players make their mark on the 2024 season. For better (or for worse), let’s find out who they are.
Bhayshul Tuten is an awesome blend of speed and toughness. He had one of the fastest times on the 60 meter in high school for Jersey. He also grew up a wrestler, which comes through on the field with his ability to break tackles (he has 31 so far this season). Virginia Tech clearly wants to feature him in their offense, and it is doing nothing but helping his draft stock.
I’ve convinced myself that Kyle Monangai is going to be the best running back to come out of Rutgers. I’m probably bullish on him compared to most, but he is a workhorse that plays with the power, vision, and contact balance that you want to see on Sundays. If you like Pacheco, you are going to love this dude. He rushed the ball 25 times for 132 yards and one touchdown against Washington’s third-ranked rush defense.
Cam Ward continues to answer the questions we need him to answer. He has shown good processing ability, great decision-making out of structure, and an ability to navigate the pocket better than most others in his class. I think he is pretty locked in as a first-round pick in this year’s NFL draft. He had a few Heisman moments this weekend in a tight game with Virginia Tech, and I expect him to have more moving forward.
We probably should start talking about Jonah Coleman more. In the same game that I was impressed by Monangai, I was equally as impressed with Coleman. The Junior running back for Washington ran for 148 yards on 16 carries against a strong Rutgers defense this weekend. He has not been shy in the passing game either, where he has caught 13 balls through 5 games this season.
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Dynasty Week 4 Reaction: Buy & Sell
BY @MonicasHubby
Dynasty managers constantly evaluate their rosters throughout the season, determining what players to buy and who to trade or cut loose. With this, it’s time for the reaction to Week 4 of buy-and-sell within Dynasty. I’ll analyze veteran and rookie profiles to project future values, which is the key to building a successful Dynasty Fantasy Football team.
My buy candidates throughout the year will range from immediate help to long-term upside that could deliver consistent production for the future. Also, knowing when to trade away players at or near their peak is valuable to always infuse your roster with up-and-coming talent. So let’s dive right in and let me help you by suggesting the players that you’d be wise to buy and sell in Dynasty this week.
* Within this article, the statistics were pulled from Sports Reference, KeepTradeCut (KTC), and Sleeper.
Buy
Brandon Aiyuk
Before the season even started, Brandon Aiyuk’s training camp was filled with turmoil as he was at an impasse with the 49ers over his contract, and so far this season, he’s gotten off to a slow start. In comparison, superstar wide receivers CeeDee Lamb and Ja’Marr Chase had similar situations, but both have started to take off and produce at their normal levels. However, Aiyuk didn’t do much this past week, as he had two receptions on five targets for 48 yards. He finished the week as a lackluster WR59. With Aiyuk still not at his typical level of production after signing a four-year extension, now is the perfect time to buy low on a very talented player with upside on one of the better teams in the NFL. Once he gets back on track, his long-term future looks bright as he has star quarterback Brock Purdy, who himself figures to be one of the next 49ers up for a new contract. Aiyuk still figures to be one of the focal points of the 49ers offense, and a positive sign is that in Week 4, he had an 18.5% target share while being matched up against one of the NFL’s top cornerbacks, Christian Gonzalez.
Additionally, the past two seasons have been great for Aiyuk, who finished as WR15 in 2022 and WR14 in 2023, proving to be one of the league’s top wide receivers. So far this year, he’s not yet finished as a top forty wide receiver, and he’s currently listed as the WR22 on KeepTradeCut (KTC). He’s dropped twenty spots on their overall player rating tool, presenting a great opportunity to try to buy him if someone is scared off by his recent performances. We know the talent is there for Aiyuk, and I expect his production to come in a matter of time. With his down performances so far, you can expect that if you can acquire him, his better days are ahead of him. For Dynasty Fantasy Football managers, he represents a great buy-low player who should bounce back soon. So now that his value seems to keep on dropping, try to acquire Aiyuk as a bounce-back player, as he has a top weekly upside that not many players have at their position.
Dontayvion Wicks
Many throughout the Dynasty Fantasy Football space had Dontayvion Wicks as a sleeper coming into this season, and the only thing holding him back from being a true breakout candidate was the crowded wide receiver room of the Packers. But this past week, Christian Watson suffered a high-ankle sprain, and there is talk he could be headed to IR. This would knock him out for at least four games, allowing Wicks to showcase his talents again. On Sunday, after Watson’s injury, Wicks emerged and showed his abilities. He had five receptions on thirteen targets (24% target share) with three end zone targets for 78 yards and two touchdowns, finishing the day with an impressive 24.8 fantasy points (Full-PPR), and he ended the week as the WR3. After the Watson injury, Wicks was the primary receiver opposite Romeo Doubs, with Jayden Reed in the slot as he played most of the snaps. Wicks has shown a lot of promise and a potentially high ceiling that one can forecast to continue for at least the next few weeks, if not the rest of the season, and this could jump-start his career, especially in this Packers’ offense. Additionally, one thing to like about Wicks is that he’s been one of the most efficient receivers during his time in the league.
If Wicks plays well, which I expect, Watson might not be getting his job back, especially because in four games, he’s failed to surpass 8.80 fantasy points (Full-PPR). Wicks is also a great buy-low candidate as he’s in the second year of a four-year rookie contract, so buying him now
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Dynasty Week 4 Reaction: Buy & Sell
BY @MonicasHubby
Dynasty managers constantly evaluate their rosters throughout the season, determining what players to buy and who to trade or cut loose. With this, it’s time for the reaction to Week 4 of buy-and-sell within Dynasty. I’ll analyze veteran and rookie profiles to project future values, which is the key to building a successful Dynasty Fantasy Football team.
My buy candidates throughout the year will range from immediate help to long-term upside that could deliver consistent production for the future. Also, knowing when to trade away players at or near their peak is valuable to always infuse your roster with up-and-coming talent. So let’s dive right in and let me help you by suggesting the players that you’d be wise to buy and sell in Dynasty this week.
* Within this article, the statistics were pulled from Sports Reference, KeepTradeCut (KTC), and Sleeper.
Buy
Brandon Aiyuk
Before the season even started, Brandon Aiyuk’s training camp was filled with turmoil as he was at an impasse with the 49ers over his contract, and so far this season, he’s gotten off to a slow start. In comparison, superstar wide receivers CeeDee Lamb and Ja’Marr Chase had similar situations, but both have started to take off and produce at their normal levels. However, Aiyuk didn’t do much this past week, as he had two receptions on five targets for 48 yards. He finished the week as a lackluster WR59. With Aiyuk still not at his typical level of production after signing a four-year extension, now is the perfect time to buy low on a very talented player with upside on one of the better teams in the NFL. Once he gets back on track, his long-term future looks bright as he has star quarterback Brock Purdy, who himself figures to be one of the next 49ers up for a new contract. Aiyuk still figures to be one of the focal points of the 49ers offense, and a positive sign is that in Week 4, he had an 18.5% target share while being matched up against one of the NFL’s top cornerbacks, Christian Gonzalez.
Additionally, the past two seasons have been great for Aiyuk, who finished as WR15 in 2022 and WR14 in 2023, proving to be one of the league’s top wide receivers. So far this year, he’s not yet finished as a top forty wide receiver, and he’s currently listed as the WR22 on KeepTradeCut (KTC). He’s dropped twenty spots on their overall player rating tool, presenting a great opportunity to try to buy him if someone is scared off by his recent performances. We know the talent is there for Aiyuk, and I expect his production to come in a matter of time. With his down performances so far, you can expect that if you can acquire him, his better days are ahead of him. For Dynasty Fantasy Football managers, he represents a great buy-low player who should bounce back soon. So now that his value seems to keep on dropping, try to acquire Aiyuk as a bounce-back player, as he has a top weekly upside that not many players have at their position.
Dontayvion Wicks
Many throughout the Dynasty Fantasy Football space had Dontayvion Wicks as a sleeper coming into this season, and the only thing holding him back from being a true breakout candidate was the crowded wide receiver room of the Packers. But this past week, Christian Watson suffered a high-ankle sprain, and there is talk he could be headed to IR. This would knock him out for at least four games, allowing Wicks to showcase his talents again. On Sunday, after Watson’s injury, Wicks emerged and showed his abilities. He had five receptions on thirteen targets (24% target share) with three end zone targets for 78 yards and two touchdowns, finishing the day with an impressive 24.8 fantasy points (Full-PPR), and he ended the week as the WR3. After the Watson injury, Wicks was the primary receiver opposite Romeo Doubs, with Jayden Reed in the slot as he played most of the snaps. Wicks has shown a lot of promise and a potentially high ceiling that one can forecast to continue for at least the next few weeks, if not the rest of the season, and this could jump-start his career, especially in this Packers’ offense. Additionally, one thing to like about Wicks is that he’s been one of the most efficient receivers during his time in the league.
If Wicks plays well, which I expect, Watson might not be getting his job back, especially because in four games, he’s failed to surpass 8.80 fantasy points (Full-PPR). Wicks is also a great buy-low candidate as he’s in the second year of a four-year rookie contract, so buying him now
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Getting Ahead of Values: 10 Dynasty Trades I’m Making Today
By @fantasybuff_
I’ve orchestrated some trade scenarios where I’m dealing flashy names for guys I believe in. I feel like they are achievable offers. The goal to this is nothing short of risking today and yesterday’s elite for player values you can get ahead of and maximize the return value of tomorrow. Of course, this will require risk. I’m no stranger to rolling dice. It’s up to you if you want to join me. What are you willing to do to succeed? I’m willing to make these trades to get ahead of the dynasty stock market, where value changes weekly.
1. I’m offering Mahomes to get Jayden Daniels if that works, and my partner pays for the Mahomes name. I’m not even asking boot at this point. I’m going to attempt milking any extra value in that swap to gain Jayden Daniels’ if there is a door open to that. It’s all about the name value someone has for Mahomes. But as I said, if I can’t gain the extra boot on top of Daniels, I’m still taking Daniels like a thief in the night and running.
2. Trade Levis plus for Sam Darnold. I would offer a sweetener to make this deal happen. If I roster Levis and Bryce Young, I’m doing that. Levis and MarShawn Lloyd. I still think that’s landing amazing value for Darnold. I’d even be willing to give up more value than the players I mentioned above. This may be unpopular and a bit spicy, but personally, I’m willing to swap J.J. McCarthy to acquire Sam Darnold. Seriously. I’m a full-blown Sam Darnold believer. I’ve been known to live by the sword or die by it. It’s all about calculated guessing.
3. I’m offering my D.J. Moore for Xavier Worthy or Rashee Rice. I’m doing what I can to get ahead of the Xavier Worthy value. I’m going to risk my D.J. Moore, betting that Worthy’s value rises similarly to how Rashee Rice’s did week by week last season as he was eased into the offense. I’m willing to miss out on what D.J. Moore gives me in the current season in order to gain Rashee Rice, even considering the time he will miss this season and next. Rice has more than proved that he is a WR1 as is, and I believe he still has yet to hit his ceiling in that KC offense. Wait until he gets opportunities down the field and doesn’t depend on YAC. Also, there were moments last week when D.J. Moore did seem a bit disgruntled.
4. I’m shopping Olave in an attempt to consolidate extra plays. I’m targeting Jamo Williams plus for him. Tank Dell plus. My goal is to extract as much as possible from Olave as I can with guys I view as equal to or greater than. I feel I can make a case for Jamo Williams alone for Olave. Now, just imagine if you can gain another piece that pushes you over the edge on top of Jameson Williams. Another example of a trade I’d do sending off Olave- gaining Rashee Rice and Josh Downs for him.
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Solid trade ideas @fantasybuff_ !! I’ll be sending out some offers before TNF for sure. Buying Jordan Love has to be my personal favorite take you outlined in this piece!!
Getting Ahead of Values: 10 Dynasty Trades I’m Making Today
By @fantasybuff_
I’ve orchestrated some trade scenarios where I’m dealing flashy names for guys I believe in. I feel like they are achievable offers. The goal to this is nothing short of risking today and yesterday’s elite for player values you can get ahead of and maximize the return value of tomorrow. Of course, this will require risk. I’m no stranger to rolling dice. It’s up to you if you want to join me. What are you willing to do to succeed? I’m willing to make these trades to get ahead of the dynasty stock market, where value changes weekly.
1. I’m offering Mahomes to get Jayden Daniels if that works, and my partner pays for the Mahomes name. I’m not even asking boot at this point. I’m going to attempt milking any extra value in that swap to gain Jayden Daniels’ if there is a door open to that. It’s all about the name value someone has for Mahomes. But as I said, if I can’t gain the extra boot on top of Daniels, I’m still taking Daniels like a thief in the night and running.
2. Trade Levis plus for Sam Darnold. I would offer a sweetener to make this deal happen. If I roster Levis and Bryce Young, I’m doing that. Levis and MarShawn Lloyd. I still think that’s landing amazing value for Darnold. I’d even be willing to give up more value than the players I mentioned above. This may be unpopular and a bit spicy, but personally, I’m willing to swap J.J. McCarthy to acquire Sam Darnold. Seriously. I’m a full-blown Sam Darnold believer. I’ve been known to live by the sword or die by it. It’s all about calculated guessing.
3. I’m offering my D.J. Moore for Xavier Worthy or Rashee Rice. I’m doing what I can to get ahead of the Xavier Worthy value. I’m going to risk my D.J. Moore, betting that Worthy’s value rises similarly to how Rashee Rice’s did week by week last season as he was eased into the offense. I’m willing to miss out on what D.J. Moore gives me in the current season in order to gain Rashee Rice, even considering the time he will miss this season and next. Rice has more than proved that he is a WR1 as is, and I believe he still has yet to hit his ceiling in that KC offense. Wait until he gets opportunities down the field and doesn’t depend on YAC. Also, there were moments last week when D.J. Moore did seem a bit disgruntled.
4. I’m shopping Olave in an attempt to consolidate extra plays. I’m targeting Jamo Williams plus for him. Tank Dell plus. My goal is to extract as much as possible from Olave as I can with guys I view as equal to or greater than. I feel I can make a case for Jamo Williams alone for Olave. Now, just imagine if you can gain another piece that pushes you over the edge on top of Jameson Williams. Another example of a trade I’d do sending off Olave- gaining Rashee Rice and Josh Downs for him.
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Dynasty Wire – Week 5
By @DFF_Woody
We’re already in October, and the 2024 NFL season isn’t slowing down anytime soon! I want to look deeply into Dynasty League Waivers and select players whose value could increase over the next few weeks.
Context – 2QB/SF Leagues
Joe Flacco (QB – Indianapolis)
Anthony Richardson is dealing with an oblique and hip injury he sustained in Week 4 vs. the Steelers and is currently day to day with a chance to play in Week 6. Whether or not Flacco draws his first start of 2024, we are at the time of the season when all backup quarterbacks need to be rostered in 2QB/SF leagues.
Context – Deep roster PPR Leagues
Trey Sermon (RB – Indianapolis)
Starting RB Jonathan Taylor has a high ankle sprain heading into Week 5. This will be something to monitor throughout the week. Trey Sermon has been the primary backup when Taylor rests during the season’s first month. If Taylor does miss time, Trey Sermon would be the starting RB and have flex consideration in deep fantasy leagues.
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Makin his debut for DFF @fantasybuff_
Rest of Season Adds: fantasybuff’s Dynasty Nasty Boys
Allow me to introduce myself. My name is Ross ‘fantasybuff’ Madden and in this article, I will deliver some can’t beat winning spice advice. I’m hopeful some of these guys will bring added value to your Dynasty teams. Grab these guys before the moment others are bidding against each other to buy. They are not players for whom we are trading valuable assets. However, As The Million Dollar Man Ted DiBiase once said, “Everyone has a price”.
Scan your leagues, and drop someone that you don’t have much of a reason to hold. Try to waive or trade for the assets I’m going to mention that could gain value. None of these options, as of today none of these players have a 37% roster ownership on Sleeper. Don’t be dropping a more valuable asset, to get these players. Let’s turn it up, and let’s take some SHOTS SHOTS SHOTS! I’ll dig so deep, to where I’ll need a shovel. So grab yours, and join me for a dig. We’re searching for potential gems in a thin market and potentially playable targets in Daily Fantasy NFL. Put on your hard hats, and let’s excavate.
Now to present to you, some Rest of Season Nasty Boys: Get ‘Em Now Players. Let’s Go!
Arizona Cardinals TE Elijah Higgins – 36% Rostered on Sleeper
A TE handcuff, Elijah sure is nasty! Whenever Ari TE Trey McBride misses time, as he did last Sunday, you have Nasty Boy Elijah Higgins as a solution. If you don’t have McBride, it’s still a shot at perhaps, potentially, a hope of stand-alone value going forward if Higgins produces. But if he produces over a few weeks you will be in a fight getting him off the waiver wire. I’m not saying he’s
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Dynasty Trendz – Week 4
By @force_fantasy
Finding trends in underlying data has always been critical to staying one step ahead of your Dynasty league. Many key metrics stabilize quicker than fantasy points and predict future fantasy breakouts. This series analyzes that data for you and details which players you need to be ahead of the curve on before their Dynasty value appreciates or depreciates.
Dynasty values used for this article are from Keep Trade Cut which is a Dynasty community-driven value tool.
Statistics used are from NFL PRO premium next-gen stats.
Top 10 Running Backs by EPA per attempt
PlayerRush EPA/Att
Chase Brown+.25
Bucky Irving+.19
Derrick Henry+.18
Jahmyr Gibbs+.14
Braelon Allen+.12
Tyler Allgeier+.10
Kenneth Walker+.09
Jerome Ford+.08
Saquon Barkley+.07
Antonio Gibson+.07
Expected Points Added (EPA) quantifies the net value a ball carrier adds on run plays by translating yards gained into points scored.
Look for the players highlighted in the chart above to continue to earn more carries.
Some very interesting notes.
Tyler Allgeier ranks 9th in rush EPA per attempt while Bijan Robinson ranks 40th.
Braelon Allen ranks 8th in rush EPA per attempt while Breece Hall ranks 43rd.
The running backs I am most interested in from the list above are below:
Recommendation:
Chase Brown is priced as the RB36 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a strong buy rating.
Bucky Irving has been a strong buy for 4 straight weeks and his value has gone up steadily. He is priced as the RB20 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a buy rating.
Derrick Henry is priced as the RB17 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a buy rating. Henry is a perfect target for a contending team.
Bottom 10 running backs by EPA
RB EPA
Zamir White-.65
Gus Edwards-.44
D’Andre Swift-.40
Cam Akers-.40
Rhamondre Stevenson-.37
Javonte Williams-.35
Trey Benson-.30
Ray Davis-.29
Zach Charbonnet-.28
Breece Hall-.27
Recommendation:
Zamir White is priced as the RB54 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a sell rating.
Javonte Williams is priced as the RB41 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a sell rating.
D’andre Swift has been mostly awful this season but just had a great game. That opened a sell window for him in my opinion. He is priced as the RB42 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a sell rating.
Zach Charbonnet is priced as the RB26 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a sell rating.
Carolina Panthers Wide Receivers
TargetsReceptionsYardsTDTarget
Usage data for DFF members only
This situation is of significance due to Adam Thielen being assigned to IR. This opened the door wide open for rookie Xavier Legette who figured prominently in the Panthers air attack with 10 targets.
Recommendation:
Diontae Johnson is priced as the WR42 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a strong buy rating.
Xavier Legette is priced as the WR41 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a buy rating.
Jonathan is priced as the WR86 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a sell rating.
Chicago Bears Running Backs
Week 4
(Continued)
Dynasty Trendz – Week 4
By @force_fantasy
Finding trends in underlying data has always been critical to staying one step ahead of your Dynasty league. Many key metrics stabilize quicker than fantasy points and predict future fantasy breakouts. This series analyzes that data for you and details which players you need to be ahead of the curve on before their Dynasty value appreciates or depreciates.
Dynasty values used for this article are from Keep Trade Cut which is a Dynasty community-driven value tool.
Statistics used are from NFL PRO premium next-gen stats.
Top 10 Running Backs by EPA per attempt
PlayerRush EPA/Att
Chase Brown+.25
Bucky Irving+.19
Derrick Henry+.18
Jahmyr Gibbs+.14
Braelon Allen+.12
Tyler Allgeier+.10
Kenneth Walker+.09
Jerome Ford+.08
Saquon Barkley+.07
Antonio Gibson+.07
Expected Points Added (EPA) quantifies the net value a ball carrier adds on run plays by translating yards gained into points scored.
Look for the players highlighted in the chart above to continue to earn more carries.
Some very interesting notes.
Tyler Allgeier ranks 9th in rush EPA per attempt while Bijan Robinson ranks 40th.
Braelon Allen ranks 8th in rush EPA per attempt while Breece Hall ranks 43rd.
The running backs I am most interested in from the list above are below:
Recommendation:
Chase Brown is priced as the RB36 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a strong buy rating.
Bucky Irving has been a strong buy for 4 straight weeks and his value has gone up steadily. He is priced as the RB20 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a buy rating.
Derrick Henry is priced as the RB17 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a buy rating. Henry is a perfect target for a contending team.
Bottom 10 running backs by EPA
RB EPA
Zamir White-.65
Gus Edwards-.44
D’Andre Swift-.40
Cam Akers-.40
Rhamondre Stevenson-.37
Javonte Williams-.35
Trey Benson-.30
Ray Davis-.29
Zach Charbonnet-.28
Breece Hall-.27
Recommendation:
Zamir White is priced as the RB54 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a sell rating.
Javonte Williams is priced as the RB41 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a sell rating.
D’andre Swift has been mostly awful this season but just had a great game. That opened a sell window for him in my opinion. He is priced as the RB42 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a sell rating.
Zach Charbonnet is priced as the RB26 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a sell rating.
Carolina Panthers Wide Receivers
TargetsReceptionsYardsTDTarget
Usage data for DFF members only
This situation is of significance due to Adam Thielen being assigned to IR. This opened the door wide open for rookie Xavier Legette who figured prominently in the Panthers air attack with 10 targets.
Recommendation:
Diontae Johnson is priced as the WR42 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a strong buy rating.
Xavier Legette is priced as the WR41 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a buy rating.
Jonathan is priced as the WR86 on KTC. At this price, I maintain a sell rating.
Chicago Bears Running Backs
Week 4
(Continued)
Cascading Trades
By @DynastyReviewHQ
Welcome to the Dynasty Trade Review HQ, your go-to source for mastering the art of Dynasty Fantasy Football trading. Dive into the depths of player valuation, team status, and negotiation strategies. Let’s navigate the trade market together and craft winning deals to build our dynasty rosters.
Today, we will look at two intertwined trades and examine the art of cascading trades. The league in question is a 12TM SuperFlex 0.5 PPR Start 9. In this league, we will place a premium on heavy-scoring position players, with only nine starting spots. What is a cascading trade? It’s simply a trade you make to acquire an asset that you are then going to break down into more assets.
First, let’s look at our Drake London (WR-ATL) acquisition, a perennial WR breakout candidate who finally has his QB. While we wait for the consistent targets and London to really assert himself as the alpha, Mike Evans (WR-TB) is showing us what a Hall of Famer looks like even at 31 years old. Throw in Pat Freiermuth (TE-PIT), who in this TE landscape is going to be a consistent plus starter each week, and you’re trading the youth of Drake London for the consistency of Mike Evans for a contending roster in what most would consider a “fair” trade.
(Continued)