D.L.

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@Garrett_Archer Garrett, she lost. Stop.

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@Garrett_Archer @EricLDaugh Garrett’s the type of guy to advocate for only running QB kneels as a winning strategy because it’s a contrarian take.

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@Mark_R_Mitchell Mark, are you keeping tabs on the Lake senate race? Am I crazy for thinking she actually has a shot?

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@GCrownPolitics Man, you basically nailed this one in the states. Congrats.

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@EricLDaugh The thing is though, he was FAR from the results an “expert” of his caliber should get. Anyone with any sense of current politics could have made a more accurate prediction.

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@danturrentine @KamalaHarris Dan, I’m sure you get this a lot, but thanks for your contributions on 2way. I disagree with a lot of your opinions, but you really are top tier when it comes to election analysis. Not to steal a line from the other side, but you truly are fair and balanced.

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@LinderMatthew @MarkHalperin @KamalaHarris I imagine it’s for the same reason election officials can’t release early vote tallies before polls close, even if they have them counted already: it could influence people who are still in line or en route to vote.

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@EricLDaugh Is this specific to Florida, or everywhere?

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@Mark_R_Mitchell Can we start putting either (blue) or (red) next to cities in these tweets so those of us unfamiliar with the state can know if it’s a historically D or R area?

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@QueerCon1 @RedEaglePatriot Tax cuts and scotus appointments were both pretty big imo.

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@ManifoldMarkets @NateSilver538 If heads was the heavier side, wouldn’t it land on tails more often (heads facing down)?

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@ScottPh77711570 @NateSilver538 An undergrad statistics student might debunk Nate’s grift, but they’ll never earn millions of dollars from it like Nate has.

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@MadAboutSkin01 Well well well…Trump got 50% of the vote in DN and Ayotte outperformed him greatly.

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@ElmCityJon1 @shipwreckedcrew And that’s the second craziest thing he had in his prediction. The first being that Trump wins MN but loses MI.

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@ChristianHeiens Watch the election come down to NH, and the state be won by Trump by 3 votes.

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@Peoples_Pundit Also, how did Mcsally, Romney and McCain all do in their latest elections? This argument that these “Trumpy” candidates are the reason the right lost those races is silly.

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@prometheus233 At least we can appreciate the honesty. Remind me how McCain and Romney did in their elections, btw?

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@RedEaglePatriot *Harris wins Iowa by 12.5*

Red Eagle: “phew” 😮‍💨

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@CautiousLefty True. It should not noted though that “If accurate” here is doing some heavy lifting.

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@GCrownPolitics Can you give a quick summary of how you come up with these margins? I hope you’re right, but you’re wayyy more bullish on Trump than anyone else. How do you calculate these numbers?