“In accordance with Bayess theorem, prediction is fundamentally a type of information processing activity. a matter of using new data to test our hypotheses about the objective world, with the goal of coming to truer and more accurate conceptions about it.” #DailyDoseOfZo
“The closest approximation to a solution is to achieve a state of equanimity with the noise and the signal, recognizing that both are an irreducible part of our universe, and devote ourselves to appreciating each for what it is.” #DailyDoseOfZo
“Still, we are imperfect creatures living in an uncertain world. If we make a prediction and it goes badly, we can never really be certain whether it was our fault or not, whether our model was flawed or we just got unlucky.” #DailyDoseOfZo
“These models also require a lot of data. It's one thing to get the demographics right, which can be estimated fairly accurately through the census. But the models also need to account for human behavior, which can be much less predictable.” #DailyDoseOfZo
“We have to view technology as what it always has been a tool for the betterment of the human condition. We should neither worship at the altar of technology nor be frightened by it.” #DailyDoseOfZo
"When it comes to prediction, we're really results-oriented. The investor who calls the stock market bottom is heralded as a genius, even if he had some buggy statistical model that just happened to get it right." #DailyDoseOfZo
Jarod Flowers (‘27,FL) ⬇️
Hard single to LF, showcasing fast hands and athletic rotation through contact. Stays connected throughout the swing and creates quality barrel speed.
#PBC | #uncommitted | @CBU_FL
👤 https://t.co/f8EupeMjJu
We are 40 days away from the 2026 MLB Draft.
This is what we’re talking about with our clients waiting to hear their names called.
Before your signing bonus hits your account, there are three things you need to understand about what the IRS is about to take.
1. Most teams withhold around 22% for federal taxes.
Your actual federal liability is likely higher. The gap is often six figures and it comes due at filing. By then, most rookies are already spending money they don’t have.
2. The MiLB 401k lets you defer up to $24,500 of taxable income before the IRS touches it.
3. If you’re earning from cards, memorabilia, or appearances, a Solo 401k can shelter a significant portion of that income too.
The athletes who get this right just had someone in their corner who knew the specifics before the check cleared.
Make sure your team does too.
Three things every MLB first-round pick wishes someone had told them before draft day.
The current class still doesn't know any of them.
1. Federal withholding on your signing bonus is around 22%.
Your actual liability is closer to 37%.
That gap is often six figures, and the IRS will come collecting.
2. The MiLB 401(k) lets you shelter up to $24,500 of taxable income in 2026.
Most prospects don't know the plan exists until the window closes.
3. Your equipment, card, and memorabilia income all count as self-employment income.
A Solo 401(k) can cut that tax bill significantly.
You spent your entire life waiting to start your professional career.
The people around you should have spent just as long preparing for what happens after.
That's what we built Moment around. Working specifically with the athlete whose name is about to get called, and the family standing behind him.
“Nobody has yet designed, and perhaps no one ever will, a computer that thinks like a human being, But computers are themselves a reflection of human progress and human ingenuity: it is not really
"Artificial" intelligence it a human designed the artifice” #DailyDoseOfZo