THIS IS ABSOLUTELY CRAZY
$VST CEO James Burke has bought 3 TIMES in the last 2 weeks!
Aug. 24 â 2,000 @ $135 â $270K
Aug. 31 â 2,200 @ $135.99 â $299K
Sept. 1 â 4,465 @ $135.25 â $604K
Total: 8,665 shares â ~$1.17M
And it gets betterâŚ
$VST is sitting near major support at just ~8.7â9x FWD EV/EBITDA and ~14x FWD earnings.
Not to mention:
⢠Nancy Pelosi
⢠David Tepper
⢠Peter Thiel
All have exposure to $VST. đ
Riding one of the largest power booms in U.S. history. âĄď¸
High Upside, Low Downside Setup.
~35% below its highs.
This is a STRONG BUY.
$VST âĄď¸
$VST just saw a serious insider buy.
Vistra CEO Jim Burke just bought 6,665 shares, putting more than $903,000 of his own money into the company.
⢠Avg. price: $135.49/share
⢠Total invested: $903,069
⢠Total holdings: 1.24M shares
What stands out is that Burke already owns more than 1.2 MILLION shares and is still adding at over $135 per share.
CEOs can talk about confidence. Putting nearly $1 million of personal capital behind that confidence carries a little more weight.
It doesn't guarantee where $VST goes next, but it's an insider move worth paying attention to.
6,665 more shares. $903K committed. The CEO is buying.
Jim Burke
CEO Of Vistra Energy Corp
$VST #InsiderBuying #Energy #Stocks #Investing
Woah what is going on with $VST ?
First Pelosi and Thiel load up on 13Fs...
Now the CEO just bought another $600K of the stock on the open market. That's $1M+ in two weeks?
$VST
is quite literally a âno brainerâ here at its 200EMA.
Vistra is trading at just a 13x p/e all while actively working to resolve the energy bottleneck of the AI supercycle.
Many notable figures are bullish on
$VST
with:
- The CEO buying
- Donald Trump holding
- Nancy Pelosi holding
- Peter Thiel buying
- David Tepper adding
You wonât see
$VST
trading at this much of a discount for long.
Donât miss outâŚ
OK.
So let me get this straight, 60% of $VST's nuclear capacity is allocated to the likes of $META and $AMZN.
Meanwhile...
They are not guiding any $META delivery in 2027, yet they plan to deliver ALL 2.6GW in 2027. đ
Tell me you're beating expectations without telling me!
$VST
Why Super-Investors are buying $VST:
60% of Vistra's nuclear fleet is locked into premium hyperscaler contracts.
â Meta: 2.6 GW/20 years
â AWS: 1.2 GW/20 years
Kicker is, Meta's 2.6GW is not factored into 2027 forward guidance...
$VST
âĄď¸ Peter Thiel acaba de meter ~14% de su portfolio en $VST.
En Q2 comprĂł 372.755 acciones por ~US$59M, reentrando en una compaĂąĂa que ya habĂa tenido antes.
Y no estĂĄ solo: Tepper siguiĂł sumando, Nancy Pelossi tambien, el CEO comprĂł recientemente y varios institucionales aumentaron exposiciĂłn.
La tesis es bastante clara: si AI sigue creciendo, el cuello de botella puede terminar siendo la electricidad.
Vistra ya tiene acuerdos de largo plazo con AWS y Meta por ~3.8 GW combinados, mientras suma capacidad y sigue recomprando acciones.
Lo interesante: cotiza cerca de 13x forward earnings, muy lejos de los mĂşltiplos de muchos nombres directamente ligados a AI.
Es una oportunidad $VST a estos precios?
⥠Cada vez me interesa mås $VST.
⢠Elon Musk advirtiĂł que la energĂa puede ser el prĂłximo cuello de botella de AI.
⢠AWS + Meta: ~3.8 GW en acuerdos de largo plazo.
⢠EBITDA ajustado Q2: +30% YoY.
⢠Peter Thiel compró ~US$59M.
⢠David Tepper tiene ~US$350M.
⢠Nancy Pelosi convirtió sus calls en 5.000 acciones.
⢠El CEO acaba de comprar US$270k a US$135.
⢠Y cotiza cerca de 13x forward earnings.
MaĂąana voy a publicar mi anĂĄlisis completo de Vistra en Substack. đâĄ
Hay bastante para hablar.
Link: https://t.co/r1aRhUTiRL
I think $VST looks compelling here.
At $138, Vistra feels like one of the cleaner ways to play the AI/data center power trade without paying a large multiple.
The numbers:
- Q2 adjusted EBITDA: $1.77B, +31% YoY
- 2026 EBITDA guide: $6.8B-$7.6B
- 2026 FCF before growth: $3.9B-$4.7B
- 2027 core EBITDA opportunity: $7.4B-$7.8B
- Shares outstanding down ~30% since 2021
The obvious bottleneck continues to be energy and it seems like $VST is attacking that head on:
- AWS signed a 20-year deal for up to 1.2 GW from Comanche Peak.
- Meta signed 20-year agreements covering 2.6+ GW across Vistraâs nuclear fleet.
Roughly 3.8 GW tied to AWS + Meta alone. Then there is also Helix, the AI infrastructure platform with KKR, NVIDIA and KIA. Vistra is the preferred power provider for this.
VST is also acquiring Cogentrix, adding ~5.5 GW of gas generation, with the deal expected to be accretive to FCF/share starting in 2027.
The valuation is compelling:
At $138:
~13-15x forward EPS
~9-10x 2026 EV/EBITDA
~8x 2027 EV/EBITDA
~10-11x 2026 FCF before growth
Meanwhile $CEG trades closer to ~22x forward earnings and ~14-15x EV/EBITDA.
I donât think VST deserves CEGâs full multiple, but the gap looks wide given how much exposure VST has to the same nuclear/power scarcity theme. At the same time, CEG has almost the same amount of debt as VST at $19B. CEG has much more hyperscaler exposure so it deserves a higher premium, but it seems likely for VST to be rerated on solid execution.
The risks:
- Merchant power prices can weaken
- Debt/leverage is meaningful
- Nuclear outages/regulatory issues can hurt earnings
- AI power demand is already a crowded theme
- Heavy hedging limits near-term upside from higher spot power prices
- Cogentrix/Helix still need to execute
- More generation or slower AI capex could reduce the scarcity premium
The risks are important here but they are mainly tied to regulation/execution, the underlying thesis is that energy continues to be a huge bottleneck.
What I also like is that you donât need some crazy AI multiple for this to work and deliver returns from here as the stock is already down 15% YTD:
- Bear: $110
7x EBITDA / ~$7B EBITDA
- Base: $185
9x EBITDA / ~$8B+ EBITDA
- Bull: $240
10-11x EBITDA / ~$9B EBITDA
$VST has $1.22B remaining on its buyback authorization and 336M shares outstanding, after repurchasing $778M of stock in 2026 and $6.5B since November 2021, helping reduce its share count by roughly 30% since 2021. Thatâs actually interesting now because the stock is around $138 so if management keeps allocating FCF to repurchases at these lower prices, every $1B of buybacks would retire roughly 7.2M shares, or a little over 2% of the current share count.
Finally, Peter Thiel bought $59M of it in Q2 and David Tepper added to his position by 10% making it now worth 4% of his portfolio with a $350M position size.
I took a small starter position today to keep track of it as I'm still doing DD but it does feel more compelling than not.
David Tepper has achieved a 28% annual return over the past two decades. He's bullish on Data Centers and Independent Power Producers
Here are 9 stocks he has bought during 2026:
$VST - Vistra Corp
He bought 1,077,332 shares in Q1, increasing his position by 114%, and 192,940 shares in Q2, increasing his position by another 9.5%. The position now represents 4.55% of his portfolio.
1-Year stock performance: -29.3%
Revenue CAGR 2022-2025: 8.9%
Revenue CAGR 2026-2029 Exp: 4.4%
P/E: 23.4x vs FP/E: 13.3x
$VST Vistra is down nearly 40% from its highs.
I started building my position in the mid-$130s along with investments from Peter Thiel and Nancy Pelosi.
I think investors are completely missing what the AI power shortage could mean for Vistra.
-Vistra is one of the largest power producers in America, with roughly 41 GW of generation across nuclear, natural gas, coal, solar, and battery storage
-Elon Musk said consensus estimates suggest roughly 15 GW of AI compute scheduled for 2027 may not be able to turn on that year because the power simply wonât be available. That scarcity is exactly what makes Vistraâs existing generation base more valuable
-Q2 adjusted EBITDA grew more than 30% YoY to $1.77 BILLION, and management still sees a $7.4B-$7.8B EBITDA opportunity in 2027 versus $6.8B-$7.6B of guidance for 2026
-And that 2027 number excludes both the Cogentrix acquisition and the Meta agreements, meaning neither is reflected in that earnings opportunity yet
- $META Meta signed 20-year agreements for 2.609 GW of Vistra nuclear power, including 433 MW of new generation from plant upgrades. Financial terms were not disclosed, but Vistra excludes the Meta contracts from its $7.4B-$7.8B 2027 EBITDA opportunity, meaning the deal represents additional earnings upside beyond that range
-Vistra is also committing up to $1 BILLION to Helix, a $10B+ AI infrastructure platform backed by KKR, NVIDIA, and Kuwait Investment Authority that will build and finance data centers, power, and connectivity for hyperscalers. Vistra is the preferred power provider, giving it another direct path to long-term AI power contracts
-And while the stock was getting crushed, CEO Jim Burke personally bought roughly $270,000 of shares around $135
Iâm not buying $VST because I think power prices bounce next quarter. Iâm buying it because nothing Iâve seen changes my view that power will be one of the biggest bottlenecks of the AI buildout.
I still believe $QUOTRON can go much higher than a $20M Market Cap.
The @Quotrons404 NFT could soon hit 10 ETH per NFT.
The Kraken CEO is interacting with QUOTRON and the quotron dev @cruelhandeth is part of @inkonchain.
Now imagine what happens if @krakenfx lists $QUOTRON just like what the Base Team did with $BASECAT.
$HOOD is undervalued given the potential its chain is showing and wall street is still sleeping on it.
ETH & SOL annualized 1-3 Bn of revenue at their peak while Base did 50-100 mm. HOOD just did a $2 mm day. Assuming DAU & TVL momentum continues it has a chance of annualizing at 300-500 mm (especially if privates are introduced + if memecoins actually start moving stock prices + real projects onboard + HOOD itself forking fomo).
$HOOD's FY26 estimate is ~5.2 Bn topline and ~1.9 Bn in profit. Given the fee is almost 70-80% incremental margins (and let's skip annualization) a 15-25% accretion to EPS is pretty juicy. Not that HOOD trades on PE multiple but don't think wallstreet is baking in perp ramp / crypto coming back either.
This name and $HYPE remain the best beta one can buy as blockchain continues on its multi-decade advance.
Why $HOOD could reach $200.
Last quarter:
⢠Revenue $1.31B, +32% YoY
⢠Diluted EPS $0.62, +48%
⢠Adj. EBITDA $741M, 57% margin
⢠Funded customers 28.4M
⢠Gold subscribers 4.84M (17% attach, +39% YoY)
⢠Platform assets $369B (+32%)
⢠Net deposits $22B in the quarter, $76B LTM (27% annualized)
⢠ARPU $187 (+24%)
What needs to go right:
Event contracts stay legal and keep scaling (World Cup / midterms / sports are the near-term volume pumps).
Deposits remain robust.
Robinhood social to take flight.
Expansions on banking and international services.
Options stay strong, crypto doesnât have to boom, it just canât stay a sink.
Gold, card, banking keep lifting ARPU so theyâre not 100% volume-dependent.
Multiple holds in the 30â40x forward range instead of compressing to âbrokerâ levels