Daniel Cubas

Licenciatura en contaduría pública
Preespecialidad en consultoría e impuestos
Certificado en NIIF pyme - EIAN/UBE

/Trading de derivados
/Hold BTC - El Salvador

[Evan @StockMKTNewz]

The stock market fear and greed index is now up in Greed, currently at a 62/100

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

A massive short squeeze is happening in SpaceX right now, just like we saw in Tesla.

$SPCX surged +41% in the last 5 trading sessions, adding half a trillion in market cap.

Never bet against Elon Musk.

[Diego Puertas @misterpuertas]

Más del 70% de los componentes del S&P 500 se encuentran por encima de su media móvil de 200 días, la mayor amplitud desde diciembre de 2024.

Vía Rubner de Citadel

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: SpaceX stock, $SPCX, extends gains to over +10% on the day, now up nearly +40% over the last five trading days.

The stock has added +$550 billion in market cap since August 6th.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

$400,000,000,000 added to US stocks as CPI comes in like expected at 3.4%.

[The Hormuz Letter @HormuzLetter]

BREAKING: Iran declares it will prolong the war with the US until 2029, the end of Trump's presidency, because "we have not yet reached our final objective, this is clear," senior advisor to IRGC Commander-in-Chief General Naqdi says.

"We will wait until we get to the next term of the presidency and cause attrition, so that if anyone else wants to attack Iran, they will know there is a cost," Naqdi adds.

Iran said earlier this week that it will wait out the Trump administration until January 20, 2029, to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed unless all of Iran's demands are met.

[The Hormuz Report @HormuzReport]

BREAKING: Iran has rejected the claims of reviving the MOU and extending the ceasefire, stating that Washington is "desperately seeking" to revive the dead agreement but Tehran will not agree to it and the ceasefire doesn't even exist, per Reuters.

"From Iran's perspective, there is no start date for the ceasefire, so there is nothing to extend. The United States violated the agreement and withdrew from it. There are no discussions with the United States regarding an extension," a senior Iranian official said.

The denial came after Turkish media, citing Pakistani sources, reported that Washington and Tehran had "agreed" to extend the ceasefire. Iran says no progress has been made, mediators are still talking, but the U.S. has not fulfilled its commitments — and Tehran is not interested.

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

A mild morning.

[Brew Markets @brewmarkets]

SpaceX stock is up 33% in the past week.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

OTTAWA WEIGHS PROPOSAL ON AUTO TARIFFS AS IT PRESSES U.S. FOR REPRIEVE - GLOBE AND MAIL

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

UKRAINIAN DRONES OVERWHELM U.S. FORCES IN WAR GAME

Ukrainian drone operators overwhelmed U.S. troops during a major military exercise in Germany.

Reconnaissance drones quickly located American armored vehicles before attack drones scored simulated “kills,” effectively wiping out a U.S. armored brigade.

The Americans adapted during the two-week exercise, improving concealment, dispersal and electronic warfare tactics.

The drill highlighted Ukraine’s battlefield expertise — and concerns that U.S. forces remain vulnerable to the small drones reshaping modern warfare.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

Ukrainian Drones Easily Spotted, Defeated U.S. Forces in Military Exercises Earlier This Year, Sources Say

U.S. Troops Faced Off Against Ukrainian Drone Operators in Military Exercise in Germany

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

SAUDI SUPERTANKER RETURNS TO KEY OIL TERMINAL

A supertanker has been spotted at Saudi Arabia’s main Persian Gulf oil terminal for the first time in nearly a month.

Satellite images show a 2-million-barrel crude carrier moored at Ju’aymah, part of the Ras Tanura export complex.

The sighting comes as Saudi Arabia redirects millions of barrels through its Red Sea port of Yanbu amid regional shipping threats.

Another tanker, capable of carrying around 1 million barrels, was also spotted at Ras Tanura.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

*TREASURY 10-YEAR NOTE AUCTION DRAWS HIGHEST YIELD SINCE 2007

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

*US 10Y NOTES DRAW 4.683% VS 4.682% PRE-SALE WHEN-ISSUED YIELD

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

GOLDMAN SEES CORE PCE AT 0.23%

Goldman Sachs expects July core PCE to rise 0.23% M/M, slightly above core CPI and consensus.

Portfolio management fees are expected to add 8 bps, reflecting Q2 equity gains.

Goldman says upcoming methodology changes could create volatility in PCE readings and lower annual core inflation.

The bank expects core inflation near 0.2% in August and sees the Fed holding rates steady through year-end.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

OIL SPILL HITS IRAN’S QESHM ISLAND

Iran is battling an oil spill off Qeshm Island, with pollution reaching beaches near a breeding ground for endangered sea turtles.

The spill’s source remains unclear, but cleanup efforts are underway.

Environmental risks have risen sharply during the U.S.-Iran war, with the International Maritime Organization recording 65 confirmed shipping incidents across the Strait of Hormuz and Middle East since March.

A separate oil spill is also being addressed near Oman’s coast.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

$SPCX - MORGAN STANLEY: SPACEX LOCK-UP IS A BUYING OPPORTUNITY

Morgan Stanley reiterated Overweight on $SPCX with a $300 price target and $600 bull case.

Analyst Adam Jonas argues the market is undervaluing SpaceX’s broader AI platform, including its compute, connectivity and real-time data capabilities.

Upcoming Grok model releases could help close that valuation gap.

Jonas views the approaching lock-up expiry as an opportunity, not a risk, offering investors a potential entry point.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

SANTANDER STILL SEES SEPTEMBER FED HIKE

July CPI is unlikely to decide the Fed’s September move, according to Santander’s Stephen Stanley.

Unrounded core CPI rose 0.215% M/M, equivalent to a 2.6% annualized pace.

Despite the broadly in-line inflation report, Stanley continues to expect the Fed to raise rates in September, followed by another hike in December.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

*TRUMP SUED OVER PLAN TO SELL FAST ACCESS TO TRUTH SOCIAL POSTS