Announcing🥉 3rd Place — @calibratedfyi
Prediction markets reward being right. Calibrated rewards being precisely right.
Built on the functionSPACE SDK, it turns plain-English beliefs into scored probability curves; then ranks forecasters on calibration, not just direction.
What it does:
– Say what you believe in plain terms; it becomes a probability curve
– Overlays verified pundit predictions (Cathie Wood, Jensen Huang, Peter Schiff + more) run through identical math
– Scores everyone on how precisely outcomes land on their predicted peak
– Publishes a leaderboard so you can see who's actually calibrated before copying their thesis
Github: https://t.co/ZQ3g2RgSsC
@thenarrator Building something similar over here @calibratedfyi - overlaying pundit predictions like Elon Musk, Cathie Wood, and Robert Kiyosaki etc. Statements are translated into a probability curve via @functionspaceHQ
Tracking pundits & trader accuracy + introducing accountability
Type your belief in plain English. Calibrated turns it into a probability curve, overlays it against notable forecasters, and submits your bet to the live engine.
The consumer interface for prediction markets, built on @functionspaceHQ.
https://t.co/43nTnL11PK | @calibratedfyi
@thenarrator Building exactly this, powered by @functionspaceHQ. Type your belief in plain English, watch it become a probability curve, see where the loudest forecasters actually land on the same chart. Calibration as a primitive, not a feature.
https://t.co/43nTnL1zFi
@Kyriakos_Pelek Thanks! Scores update automatically when prediction markets resolve on Polymarket or Kalshi. The pipeline also runs every 6 hours finding new predictions to track. Still early but growing fast!
@g_apostolov im no expert. platform is designed to be unbiased and based purely on consensus. As for this video🤦♂️... god help us, nothing surprises me anymore😅
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Read more: https://t.co/4j3TDC9VHM
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