@mathdujour La probabilidad es de 50%. Con una moneda justa la probabilidad de los posibles resultados es simétrica. Al lanzar una vez más la moneda, es igualmente probable que "B" tenga más caras que "A" a que "B" tenga más cruces que "A".
2. Cooperation can be benefitial for time avrg growth rates (See https://t.co/3hZiaDRQCu (FF)). The relationship between the FF and EE as explained by @ole_b_peters and @Marc_Elsberg comes from looking at the time avrg growth rates of farmer crops under co-op.
1. EE, as a conceptual shift from Expected Utility Theory (EUT), deals with dynamics and realises that agents act to maximize their temporal performance over time. The focus of EE relies on growth rates over long periods of time.
Having children is a way to have #SkinInTheGame in sustainability. The problem with unsustainability might come from a lack of understanding (or lack of awareness of not knowing enough) about dynamics and scarcity while intervening.
COVID Risk Conversation with @yaneerbaryam. At the end I explain to Yaneer that my background is much nicer; he should add books or, better, hang cooking instruments behind him to make it more jovial.
https://t.co/okTDUswm3o
"It's quite offensive to see people are politicizing something like transmission of a disease," says "Black Swan' author @nntaleb. "Without masks, we can't pull out of this. Lockdowns are very expensive for society. Masks are not."
Deontic libertarianism: assume my civil responsibility, face my fate, and pay the penalty if I harm others.
Freedom is one's first essential good. This includes the freedom to make mistakes (those that harm only you).
#SkinInTheGame@nntaleb