@tommy_bennett I love all of this - and the comprehensive rundown.
I’m curious in particular about this note.
Who has tried to predict whether cases are heard? What’s best of breed rn?
Also, what data do you take in to determine probability?
@BenCrellin Resuscitating this old thread - any sense as to when the DGW will be announced? And has your thinking changed on timing? I’ve held in WC in large part bc I’m envisioning spiking 3 MCI/2 BRE in a GW19 WC.
@scottjwillis Hey there - how should I understand Brentford? They’re 2nd on FBRef by XGD and they had more incomings than outgoings. Why such a degradation in expectation? I don’t think their schedule
was SO GOOD to merit any expectation they’d be 2nd in XGD? Help! 😊
@BenCrellin Okay I play VERY occasionally and, yes, this is amazing. Are you playing for lowest EV of guesses or are you playing for home runs like this score would imply?
@ElstonGunn_ I’m unclear if Camavinga would improve the First XI, but he’d at least provide good CM depth and would very likely be a XI replacement as soon as next year?
@TheM_L_G I summarily disliked the Rory Smith article. And it’s still true that he smashed XG in that “bad” Dortmund year. So likening this “bad” year to that one...well, yeah, he got football’d a ton both seasons.