Dave Vermillion

When life looks like easy street, there is danger at your door.

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@Prathkum Sharks with frickin’ laser beams…

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@nypost Hold my beer.

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@nypost A spoonful of sugar helps the totalitarianism go down.

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@GusSaltonstall I didn't know until this day that it was Barzini's all along.

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@WALLACHLEGAL Seems it isn't a crusade against "gambling" (except WA). It's protectionism and regulatory capture on behalf of the legacy sportsbook oligopoly. States made the Faustian bargain. They need to keep their citizens losing so they can collect their vig.

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@Dreamcast86 Steely vibes

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@returntoquality Derek Trucks

[Tarek Mansour @mansourtarek_]

We ran a study on over 2 million markets to evaluate their calibration. To our knowledge, this is the largest replicable study on this topic.

Here are the results: 🧵

[Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross @alexwg]

Another word the Singularity needs:

paradisepilled
adj. /PAIR-uh-dice-pild/

Convinced that humanity does not need to perfect itself before it deserves abundance, transcendence, or the stars. Build paradise first. Better humans can follow.

The conventional story says we must fix human nature before gaining godlike technology. Become wise, peaceful, and virtuous first, then earn the future.

The paradisepilled view reverses the order. Scarcity, insecurity, and zero-sum competition are part of what make people behave badly. Remove those conditions, expand the frontier, and give humanity room to become better.

As Captain Sisko put it: “It’s easy to be a saint in paradise.”

The mistake is treating sainthood as the entrance requirement for paradise rather than one of its possible consequences.

Abundance first. Saints later. Stars now.

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@matthewherper @statnews Short sunscreen stocks?

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@LIRR Listen, if you're looking for uncooked shellfish, look no further than the basement of Penn Station.

[Michael Bilello @BilelloPR]

Higher alcohol taxes do not always produce the outcomes policymakers intend.

Recent reporting highlights an important lesson from markets including the Czech Republic, South Africa, and the United Kingdom: when excise taxes rise too aggressively, governments can see consumers shift toward illicit alcohol, cross-border purchasing, and unrecorded channels, while tax receipts can still decline.

Responsible alcohol policy should protect consumers, support legitimate businesses, and generate sustainable government revenue. Tax structures that push legal products out of reach can instead create openings for illicit trade, counterfeit products, and unsafe alternatives.

The better approach is balanced, evidence-based taxation paired with strong enforcement and a well-regulated legal market.

For American whiskey, fair taxation is not just a competitiveness issue. It is also a consumer-safety and market-integrity issue.

#AmericanWhiskey #Trade #TaxPolicy #IllicitTrade #MarketAccess #ConsumerSafety #SpiritsIndustry

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@TheStackOS @cthrin @Kalshi @mansourtarek_ @luanalopeslara Sure you did. Another one of your hypotheticals btw.
https://t.co/8Q9bDWIc5A

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@jaketapper

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@TheStackOS @cthrin @Kalshi @mansourtarek_ @luanalopeslara I’m not working for anyone. You’re scrambling.

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@TheStackOS @cthrin Here’s one of those hypotheticals

https://t.co/FXU0Y6OXj9

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

Aren’t weather patterns and storm prediction important for energy traders and other commodities markets? And wouldn’t tons of small businesses - particularly in seasonal summer destinations - love to know if it’s going to rain on Tuesday? A rainy weekend in the summer could determine whether a beach cafe finishes the year in the black or not.

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@chesterbpolk @ABC Fevers

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@TheStackOS @FairMarkets_US Not true. Poker has been ruled a skill game - not a game of chance - by the courts.

[Dave Vermillion @Davermillion]

@MinnieFluff 2001