DeanOG

LOVE helping people grow wealth! Portfolio Builder // Rebel Dividends // DeFi Income Corp // $rHYPURR @ripdotxyz - Not Investment Advice

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

**MUST KNOW DATA FOR EVERY US CITIZEN**

This summer, I spent about 20-30 hours studying how much USD the US Gov prints each year on average and the numbers absolutely SHOCKED ME.
I feel like 99.% of Investors are clueless of what I learned this week.

I had no idea the Gov printed 6.5% new dollars (USD) each year on average since 1960!

Couple that with 18% real inflation since 2020 and you had to make 24.5% a year to beat the Gov system..

I guess, once you lay it out like that, you can see why everything has doubled in price in 4 years! This is why you have to use leverage in equities and or have Bitcoin in your portfolio to truly beat the GOV systematic inflation.

$BTC $TQQQ $TECL $SOXL $IBIT $FBTC - This is how you outperform.

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

@grok @bruce_lambert @SemiAnalysis_ @grok what was the impact to Chinese stocks the last time it happened in a sub niche like this over the next 30, 90 and 365 days post coordination.

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

Key aspects (from the June 2026 pricing/closing announcements) $HIVE

0% coupon — No interest payments (very cheap capital).

Maturity: July 1, 2031 (≈5 years).

Exchange price: ≈$4.83 per share (27.5% premium to the June 25, 2026 close of ≈$3.79).

Capped calls: At an initial cap of $8.5275 per share (125% premium). This hedges/reduces dilution and excess cash payments if notes convert.

Net proceeds: ≈$110M base (up to ≈$124.5M with option), after fees.

Use of proceeds: General corporate purposes, GPU purchases, and data center development (for AI/HPC expansion alongside Bitcoin mining).

A lot of market participants sold this news. I view it as long term bullish and execution of their new business plan.

This dip is a gift for smart $.

[Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸 @pmarca]

It is important to realize how professional pessimists are trying to pick your pockets.

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

@tushar_jain I prefer to hold the one that is deflationary instead of inflationary.

Oh yeah, also the one using 97% of its revenue to buy back its supply :)

Should be a fun competition to watch!!!

[Tushar Jain @tushar_jain]

1/ Multicoin published a full analysis & valuation of Hyperliquid (HYPE).

HYPE is now one of the largest positions in our liquid hedge fund. We've been accumulating aggressively since February.

Here's why we believe HYPE will be one of the best performers over the next cycle:

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

@rohanpaul_ai Compute+memory is the main supply constraint for the next 2 years. Don't try to pick the winner in software, buy the substrate instead.

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

CFO of $MU says they will be supply constrained in FY28, & he doesn't have line of sight to when they will be in equilibrium.

This is a significant positive for the AI substrate, & evidence that the demand could outpace supply into late CY28, incredible!

$SNDK $DRAM $SOXX

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

$MU $MUU Q4 Guidance provided strong forward guidance that exceeded Street expectations: Revenue: $49–51 billion (midpoint ~$50B vs. Wall Street ~$43.2B).

The guidance reinforces current strength is not a one-quarter phenomenon.

Adjusted gross margin: ~84.9%

DRAM on 🔥🚀🚀

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

**🚀 Big Update for the Portfolio: Semiconductor Supercycle is Accelerating!**

Hey everyone,

Just wanted to share some exciting news from the semiconductor world that directly impacts several of our holdings.

According to the latest **WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics)** Spring 2026 forecast, global semiconductor sales are now projected to hit a massive **$1.51 trillion in 2026** — that’s a huge **90% year-over-year jump** and a major upward revision from their prior $975 billion estimate.

Even more impressive: **Memory chips** are expected to drive the boom, surging **250%** to **$803.9 billion** (over 53% of the total market). For 2027, WSTS sees the overall market reaching **$1.91 trillion**, with memory crossing the **$1 trillion** mark.

This is being powered by insatiable AI demand — especially high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for data centers and accelerators.

**Our positions benefiting from this:**
- **$SOXL**
- **$MUU**
- **$SMCL**
- **$MUU**
- **$BE**
- **$HIVE

These names are well-positioned in the AI infrastructure buildout, and the revised forecasts underscore just how structural this growth looks.

Of course, nothing is guaranteed — supply constraints, geopolitics, and valuations matter — but the industry tailwinds are the strongest we’ve seen in years.

Let’s discuss below 👇

#Semiconductors #AI #Investing #PortfolioUpdate

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

Semiconductor Index $SOXX Quarterly Performance

Q4 (October–December) has been the best-performing calendar quarter for the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index ( $SOX / $SOXX) both since the index’s inception in late 1993

AND in the post-COVID period.
The SOX index launched December 1, 1993.

$SOXX is an excellent total-return proxy (data from 2002 onward).
All returns below = total returns including dividends.

Historical Performance (2002–2025 • 24 full years)• Q4: +7.43% average (highest)
Positive in 19/24 years (79% win rate)
Range: −29.4% to +24.7%• Q1: +4.54% average
Positive in 17/24 years (71%)• Q2: +2.96% average
Positive in 15/24 years (63%)• Q3: +0.90% average

Positive in 14/24 years (58%)Q4 stands out as the strongest and most consistent quarter historically.

Q1 is a solid second.
Q3 has been the weakest on average.

Post-COVID Performance (2020–2025 • 6 full years)• Q4: +13.80% average (highest)
Positive in 5/6 years (83%)• Q2: +10.70% average
Positive in 5/6 years (83%)• Q1: +2.46% average
Positive in 3/6 years (50%)• Q3: +0.70% average
Positive in 2/6 years (33%)

Q4 remains the strongest even in the higher-volatility AI era.

Q2 has also been notably strong (especially recovery years).

2026 Context (as of mid-June 2026)

Q2 2026 delivered an exceptional +99.39% —one of the strongest quarters on record for the semiconductor sector.

Driven by powerful AI momentum.

This is still an ongoing/outlier period and not yet included in long-term averages.

Key Takeaways From inception (proxy data since 2002):

Q4 is clearly the best on both average return and consistency

Since COVID (2020 onward): Q4 leads again, with Q2 a close second These are historical averages only — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Semiconductor stocks are volatile and can swing significantly due to earnings, tech cycles, geopolitics, and macro factors.

Data based on SOXX total returns (very close tracker to the SOX index).

I'd expect a pretty slow quarter for $SOXL after a large rebound in July.

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

@SemiAnalysis_ CXMT strengthens China’s position in memory + adds global supply tailwinds to the AI cycle.

Another competitor, sure, big hit to US AI infra, no!

The memory market is bifurcating:

Commodity supply grows w/ Chinese participation; High-end trusted supply remains w/ incumbents

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

While US semis and the KOSPI are selling off hard, South Korea’s latest export data shows the AI supercycle is still accelerating.

June 1-20:
Semiconductor exports hit $25.5B
→ +188.4% YoY (new record for the period)
→ +15.9% MoMThis follows strong growth all year:March: +151% YoY
April: +173% YoY
May: +169% YoY (new monthly record)No signs of a slowdown.

Korean memory makers continue to benefit directly from hyperscaler AI spending.

The sell-off looks like classic profit-taking after a massive run.

Fundamentals are still very strong.

$SMH $SOXX $SOX $SOXL $NVDA $AMD $AVGO $MU $DRAM

#Semiconductors

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

@markminervini This is how you identify a trader w/ a short term mindset to the macro, long term investor, who will generate the best ROI from AI infrastructure.

You can be the former or, the latter, I'll take the ladder.

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

Excellent game #Messi #WorldCup

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

Good news, Christian Pulisic will be available to play today!

USA USA USA!!!!!!
⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽
🌎🏆🌎🏆🌎🏆🌎
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

@MattFiebach I dumped all ETH I had from 72 to buy HYPE.

I'll never touch $eth again.

Can't stand the Vitalik at all. He thinks he runs a communist country and not a company.

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

@EricBalchunas Do you have any idea when Europe will get access to us ETFs?

I was pretty shocked when I learned that it was incredibly restricted the last time I spoke to an investor in England.

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

@EricBalchunas #MAGNATS

(Meta/Micron + Amazon + Google + Nvidia + Anthropic + TSM + (SpaceX+TSLA)

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

@krugermacro #MAGNATS (Meta/Micron + Amazon + Google + Nvidia + Anthropic + TSM + (SpaceX+TSLA)

[DeanOG @DeanDividends]

@krugermacro I think it's actually going to be

#MMANGATS

$Meta
$MU Micron
$AMZN Amazon
$NVDA Nvidia
$GOOG Google
TBD* Anthropic
$TSM Taiwan Semiconductor
(Can alternate with below)
$SPCX SpaceX/TSLA
(Can alternate with above)