$8M NW | fatFIRE | Peter Lynch 2.0. Long term investor, chasing deep value baggers. Ex-Senior Exec Tech/SV.
Building agentic equity research platform. e/acc
Forrest Gump was rewarded for putting in the work at sea while all the other fisherman docked their boat and went drinking.
You never know when you're going to have a good day. It's all about being well-positioned before the market goes vertical.
I will start the first lesson on investment soon on the paid sub. It's a lesson on understanding the statistical odds on the market.
You will learn:
- Why day traders do not make money
- Why technical analysis is generally not useful
- Statistical odds of the entire market
- Why some sector do better than others
- Investment edge, and how to obtain it?
- Statistical regimes, random walk.
- Forces that influence the market, supply-demand.
- Various stages of the company: growth, stalwarth, value, turnaround, etc.
Without understanding the foundation of statistical odds, the market mechanics, you will be shooting in the dark without knowing it (not knowing the unknowable). The goal is for you steer you toward my investment style: long term high conviction.
So many telling me that $550k is not enough for a yacht. Based on official definition, 36 ft+ boat is considered a yacht. But more than that, if you start measuring yacht as $50m + and $1bil net worth, you're only discouraging yourself from making realistic plans. There's always someone richer than me, I already accepted that. My original plan is to have $3m portfolio, and $2m house, and now I can have $10m portfolio and $3m house. If you never start with achievable goals, you might never go anywhere.
Let's keep the yacht comparison grounded.
A yacht is watercraft at least 35 to 40 ft long. I'm targeting 38 or 42ft. Any larger boat I would need to hire a captain, and I'm not that wealthy yet.
The $snap glass looks goofy and the shiny reflective coating makes it look worse. Easy pass.
They don't care because they already got paid (sbc, salary) for creating this innovative product.
I haven't been active on X very much. I have been vetting new architect and builders for my waterfront. I'm doing a lot of due diligence on them just like I do for all my investments.
I uncovered that there is a huge disparity between the brand vs the company trustworthiness. One of the biggest signal I uncovered was the court cases. Like what I learned in my life, there are scams everywhere, stocks, investments, crypto, business deals, and of course builders.
I met one builder I thought was the best (good marketing), and turned out to be the worst. $35K "fully earned" design contract, no guarantee timeline or completion, you don't own the plan -- which is just bait and switch to lock into a GC to build the home. The owner, licensed GC, has 3 different brands and several other busineses. His linkedin doesn't even have the brand I'm talking to. He has 3 major lawsuits a) one customer home took 3 years and didn't even complete b) quality issues with drainage, weak leakage c) over billing. The contract was disclosed in the court case and OMG, I can't believe the contract people get away with. They hold an exclusively lease on your land, loopholes to bill whatever they want, and mediation to their advantage, not yours. Then there are many lawsuits on unpaid subs, and destroying neighbor properties.
Thankfully I started to look elsewhere and narrow in much higher quality and trustworthy builders.
The lesson here is, 80% of the work of investing or looking for builder is the due diligence ahead of time. And you can only know if your investment is good by comparing to other investments. I think you can only truly know whether you have a good investment by developing the ability to rank them objectively.
$MU | Deutsche Bank reiterates 𝐁𝐮𝐲 on 𝐌𝐢𝐜𝐫𝐨𝐧, 𝐫𝐚𝐢𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐏𝐓 𝐭𝐨 $𝟏,𝟓𝟎𝟎 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 $𝟏,𝟎𝟎𝟎, 'We are raising our MU estimates'
Analyst sees a widening DRAM supply-demand imbalance, driven by AI, boosting MU's earnings power and supporting a valuation re-rating closer to peers.
I like this comparison. $spcx is a generational company... It's hard for me to say buy not buy at current price. I bought spcx early last year so i dont have to answer it.