$13M NW | fatFIRE | Peter Lynch 2.0. Long term investor, chasing deep value baggers. Ex-Senior Exec Tech/SV. Building agentic equity research platform. e/acc
This portfolio journey started with all-in $ASTS and kickstarted 1430% in my IRA account.
> I bought in Covid era SPAC around $10.
> In 2023, I watched it drop to $3ish, and I scheduled weekly buys of $ASTS to accumulate for 6 months.
> By Oct 2024, I decided that $RKLB was the better company, and better valuation, I switched 100% over $RKLB around $5ish and higher. (sold $ASTS in 30s).
> I switched half to $CRCL at IPO mid 2025, then to $IREN at $20.
> By early 2026, I switched half to $INTC calls (~$30-50).
> Sold all $INTC calls when stock price hit $100, and bought $NBIS
> In May, I sold all of my $RKLB before SpaceX IPO and bought $MU and $NBIS.
When I shared my ASTS vs RKLB after I made the switched, people said I was wrong, stupid whatever.
When I shared why I sold my IREN for NBIS, people called me stupid too.
When I bought MU, people were telling me that memory is a commodity, and cyclical.
And here are my gains...
I know $NBIS price action looks bleak right now. But let me break down a quote I found from Jensen at GTC Berlin 2026.
"Startup companies like Nebius is doing incredibly well."
Startup companies like Nebius - Nebius is an early stage startup worthy of the CEO of a 5 trillion dollar company mentioning publicly. Early because they got so much freakin' growth ahead of them. Btw, I did not find any mention of CoreWeave or familiar neocloud.
Doing incredibly well - Coming from Jensen Huang and his expectation for "ok", to "well" to "incredibly well" - it means it's so fucking exceptional S tier.
That's all I need to know. Nebius will take care of you.
This portfolio journey started with all-in $ASTS and kickstarted 1430% in my IRA account.
> I bought in Covid era SPAC around $10.
> In 2023, I watched it drop to $3ish, and I scheduled weekly buys of $ASTS to accumulate for 6 months.
> By Oct 2024, I decided that $RKLB was the better company, and better valuation, I switched 100% over $RKLB around $5ish and higher. (sold $ASTS in 30s).
> I switched half to $CRCL at IPO mid 2025, then to $IREN at $20.
> By early 2026, I switched half to $INTC calls (~$30-50).
> Sold all $INTC calls when stock price hit $100, and bought $NBIS
> In May, I sold all of my $RKLB before SpaceX IPO and bought $MU and $NBIS.
When I shared my ASTS vs RKLB after I made the switched, people said I was wrong, stupid whatever.
When I shared why I sold my IREN for NBIS, people called me stupid too.
When I bought MU, people were telling me that memory is a commodity, and cyclical.
And here are my gains...
$SPCX | JPMorgan ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ ๐ข๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ on ๐ฆ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ซ, raises PT to $๐ฑ๐ฌ๐ฌ from $๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ณ๐ณ
Analyst sees sharply higher estimates but says significant execution, capital, and demand support are needed.
The market doesn't care how much time you spent "researching". The stock you own doesn't know you, or care about you.
Your ability to make money is based on your ability to predict the future trajectory of its earnings potential (not limited to the revenue, margin, capex, reinvestment, sbc, profit, products, and execs decision making) in the next 6 - 12 months (aka assessing equity risks). As time passes, there may or may not be a large event changes your prediction. About 80% of the remaining information is noise.
I'm going for a walk.
On this momentus day, I received the first IPO unlock of many of my private $spcx shares from 400B valuation or $32 per share.
I don't plan to sell them.
ELON ON THE $TSLA $SPCX MERGER:
"There's no guarantee this will happen, but I think there is a lot of merit to combining both companies as we are pretty much in the Super Intelligence Singularity. Robotics, Chip Design, Connectivity...I think it would be a good idea."
It's helpful to understand how dilution destroys a company like $EOSE. I recommend you go over this to avoid buying the next one.
My private research platform has all the data from SEC to rebuild the dilution from the past and into the future based on maturity dates. You won't see this data anywhere else because it's difficult to put together.
> Past dilution went from 200M to 364m shares.
> Future dilution will take it to 636M shares
> Operating loss of $80m
> Finance interest of $10m per quarter until 2032
The gut reaction is, surely they can't be that stupid. Well a lot people (and companies) go bankrupt for stupid reasons.
What we do know is all the board officers sold $11.9m, and the board directors also made $14m. Just going off on how much the board of directors made, there's definitely quid pro quo going - enrichment between the exec team and the board.
Take your investment seriously!
I want to meet this Needham analyst. He cut $EOSE PT from $10 to $6.
The stock price is at $1.77 ๐
Let me explain why $eose will die. Their business is equivalent to having 10 credit cards 25% apr, buying junks that dont generate income, and never able to pay back.
I literally can't go one day without AI.
Let's ignore my investment research use case.
1. I'm doing research to build my house, building codes, material selection, interior design, architecture styles.
2. I'm using to improve health, diet, etc.
3. I ask for recipes exactly proportion i need, well researched synthesized from the best. No more comparing 10 different recipes and figure out based on my ingredients.
4. Random things I'm curious about.
What are you guys using it for?
Yaโll really needed Elon Musk to remind you that thereโs massive demand for compute?
Really?
Guys, AI is the most advanced technology humans have ever created.
Our brains arenโt even capable of imagining how different the future will look like 2 years from nowโฆ
Stop panicking.
Find great companies in the AI space, understand their business model inside and out, try to envision what the demand for their goods or services will look like as AI use cases continue to growโฆand chill.
Itโs that easy, truly.
Now, the next few years will be volatile.
Like insanely volatileโฆas weโve seen this past year.
So take some time to think hard whether youโre ready to stomach this volatility.
I personally am trying to build up cash because I have gotten decent at selling options, so I prefer to do that over holding all high beta stocks.
But to each their own.
You got this.