๐จ๐ฐ๐ท SOUTH KOREA FINALLY ENDS ITS 9-YEAR CRYPTO BAN
The FSC just cleared listed firms and pro investors to trade crypto again, ending a ban that started in 2017.
Corporates can invest up to 5% of equity into the top 20 tokens, potentially unlocking tens of trillions of won.
BREAKING: Gold prices surge above a record $4,600/oz and Silver prices surge above a record $84/oz amid elevated levels of uncertainty.
Asset owners are winning.
These days, France has about one crypto kidnapping a week.
Turns out itโs government agents who sell taxpayersโ personal information to gang members.
๐จA smart contract exploit from 1hr ago just drained ~8536 ETH, worth around ~$26M
The code was live on Ethereum for almost 5 years already. Source code unverified - only bytecode is public.
Notable trade alert โ๏ธ
Byron Donalds just bought up to $100k of Bitcoin $BTC
It's notable for 3 reasons:
1. This was his first ever buy of Bitcoin $BTC
2. Donalds sits on the Financial Services subcommittee on Digital Assets
3. BTC is the lowest price itโs been in 6 months
Down in my bunker as radioactive ashes rain down on my city.
I check my Polymarket "Yes" shares for "Atomic bomb detonation in 2026?" using the last remnants of internet.
Worth $0.
UMA resolved it as 'No' because it was technically a hydrogen bomb and not an atomic one.
๐จJUST IN: ZCASH DEVS RESIGN, MAY FORM NEW COMPANY
The entire Zcash team at Electric Coin Company resigned on Jan. 7 following a board dispute and is considering forming a new company, leaving Zcashโs roadmap uncertain.
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What a surprise.
The scam lord @cz_binance has been spending time in the UAE, and shortly after, Binance shifts key structures to the UAE, a jurisdiction known for light regulation.
Shortly before that, a $2 billion investment flows into Binance via MGX, an Abu Dhabi based investment firm. The entire $2B was paid in USD1, the stablecoin issued by Trump family backed World Liberty Financial.
USD1 is backed by U.S. Treasuries, meaning WLFI earns roughly $60โ80 million per year in yield as long as Binance does not redeem the $2B.
So the money originates from the UAE, flows through MGX into Binance, props up WLFIโs stablecoin, and months later CZ receives a presidential pardon.
Nothing about this is a coincidence.
China has decided to pay interest on their own stablecoin, because it benefits ordinary people, and they recognize it as a competitive advantage.
I worry we are missing the forest through the trees in the U.S. Rewards on stablecoins will not change lending one bit - but it does have a big impact on whether U.S. stablecoins are competitive.
Rewards (or even paying interest) benefits ordinary people just like community lending does. We have to let the market do both.
Polymarket bots era is ๐ข๐ฉ๐๐ฅ
Temporal arbitrage is cooked and ๐ก๐ข๐๐ข๐๐ฌ noticed.
Yesterday I broke down a bot that turned $313 into $414k in 1 month by farming 15-minute $BTC markets.
Today Polymarket quietly rolled out fees and this is exactly why.
๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒโ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐ฑ:
> Fees apply ONLY to 15-minute markets
> All other markets stay fee-free
> Only takers pay, makers get rebates
> Dynamic fee, capped around ~3.15%
> Highest fee near 50/50 odds (botโs sweet spot)
> Calculated precisely (4 decimals)
๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ:[https://t.co/sarN1LTDTO]
๐๐ ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ:
100 shares at 0.50 โ ~$1.56 fee
100 shares at 0.05 โ ~$0.05 fee
Now connect the dots.
๐ง๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฏ๐ผ๐โ๐ ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ด๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐:
> entering exactly at 50/50
> during a tiny lag vs Binance/Coinbase
> extracting 5-15% repeatedly
That edge is now taxed away.
This isnโt about retail.
This is Polymarket closing the spot-to-market latency exploit.
The same temporal arbitrage that printed millions?
Looks like it's no longer scalable.
๐๐ผ๐ป๐๐ ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐:
> Less reliance on reward emissions
> Real internal cashflow
> Platform starts self-funding
> Expect similar mechanics on other prediction markets
Important detail most missed:
Fees are adjustable.
Theyโre not testing if fees exist - only how big they need to be.
๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป๐๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป:
> Polymarket saw the bots
> They measured the damage
> And they responded
Temporal arbitrage had its golden month.
Now the game changes again.
I will closely watch my favourite bots and how they will react to this update.
Will make another breakdown soon.
This is absolutely insane:
Venezuela's stock market is now up +73% since President Maduro was captured.
Since December 23rd, as President Trump ramped up pressure on Maduro's government, Venezuela's stock market is up +148%.
Venezuela's stock market is skyrocketing.
๐จ 10 AM MANIPULATION CONTINUES.
Bitcoin has dropped $3,000 and liquidated $220 million worth of longs in the last 3 hours.
$80 billion wiped out from the crypto market.
While, Down Jones hit a new ATH today and precious metals are near all time high.
This is truely INSANE.
Remember Berachain?
In 2024, at Token2049 in Singapore, they hosted the biggest party at Marquee in Marina Bay Sands
They had unbelievable hype
Today, their TVL is down from $3B to about $184M, and on a good day they generate a few thousand dollars
A lot of people claim they can spot insider trading activity on Polymarket. If they do, they are engagement baiting, selling a product, or are morons
The truth is that the volumes on individual Polymarket (and Kalshi) markets generally are terrible, and there is no edge in watching flow for unusual activity. Maybe someone on the inside drove the volume up for Maduro contracts, but you can't tell the difference b/w insider trading and casual idiots.
The websockets and APIs are so easy for Polymarket. I made a bot that flags certain criteria to see if there is an edge - same w/ Kalshi. Among other things, I started internally flagging 10% moves with $5000 volume within a 60 minute period and it flagged Maduro contracts over and over for weeks. If you bit on any of the contracts you would have lost your ass betting that Maduro was captured by End of 2025. Maybe you would have seen some guy buying low volume lottos at 2:22 AM on Jan 3rd (I put a box around it in my screenshot) but that would have been luck and indiscernible from other volume
The Polymarket volumes are so low that 99.99% of "unusual volume" is just people moving thin markets and noise, and when you are hearing about Insider Activity, its people cherry picking huge outliers that are impossible to deduce from garbage volume. And if there is actually an edge, you won't find it - someone else who is faster than you and is dedicating more actual resources and time will find it - and for them it's probably wack-a-mole of small edges that disappear in hours or days
You are better off looking for ineffciciencies elsewhere. My bot produced the blue screenshot based on real time alerts to me, 2nd screenshot is final day volume charted from hashdive. No actual volume came in until it was too late to make real money.
GL