Shallots

DeFi user, farmer, yapper, tester

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

https://t.co/iPs5sTJEue

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@F4nzkrys thanks Fan 🥹 gotta work harder while I still can

Jiayous to u too!

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

In 2025, I would get so stressed over the market dumping because I was just so overexposed to so many different kinds of risk assets

I was dabbling heavily in covered-call stocks, MSTR and Base alts

No index funds
No BTC
No Majors
Low Savings

Lost around $10,000 that year and at one point I actually broke down

This year, I told myself to manage risks better, and as of this month, my allocations are:
> Savings and Stable/Yield: 45%
> Index Funds: 29%
> BTC: 14%
> Trading: 9.5%
> Others: 2.5%

Yes it still sucks to see market go down and my trading port lose a lot but I can weather the storm better now because I know I'm not going to 0

As @ProofOfTravis once told me, "in this industry, making money isn’t as hard as people think, it’s sitting on your hands and avoiding distractions that is the hardest part."

So I size into few conviction bets with whatever I can afford to and wait while the boring DeFi yield and index funds grows the rest of my stack

[cardzz @anytwocardzz]

do you feel stressed watching this?

if your financial situation depends on short term price movements then you must be

learn skills > make money > invest with a long term strategy

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@BrightAvian @StarPlatinum_ mmm you're right

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@theDESK9 what is her winrate ahahaha

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@theDESK9 @hylo_so im out of funds xD

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@gray_chromatic @Australia i think cockroaches would be better than this 😭😭

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@coinempress @SuperteamTH sickkkk, what did you buy :0

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@Crypto_Zh0u is it horror?

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@SneakypeekSol @bulktrade ok still good if 1 AURA is still =$1

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@0xCzyzu one day brother I will be there

maybe when 2027 comes around and gives us an amazing market and I make shit ton of money I will go over xD

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@thetrackk yes sir 🫡 for me mainly it's $ANSEM that made me feel like selling

for my SOL and xSOL position I am not selling anytime soon

but also I can handle the dump because most of my assets are still growing(ish) just slowly

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@0xAbhiP xD

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@captainntan thanks tan :>

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

Some thoughts I had regarding the recent market moves (June-Oct)

Markets are forward-looking

Price reflects expectations of future growth, demand and risk

not just current fundamentals

A network can grow while its token underperforms

Here's what I'm watching when analysing a potential pump or dump:

1. Macro & geopolitics
Wars and supply shocks can push energy prices higher, adding inflationary pressure reducing chance for rate cuts

Tighter financial conditions can reduce demand for risk assets regardless of how strong crypto fundamentals look

2. Network growth & token value accrual
More users and protocol activity don't automatically translate into token pamp

more importantly: how does that activity create demand for the token or reduce its supply?

Solana Ecosystem can grow, but how much do token holders benefit off that activity?

but at the same time, something like HYPE having 97% buyback also doesn't guarantee token pamp

Value acrrual matters, but it's just one piece of the puzzle

3. Social sentiment & capital rotation
Sentiment helps us understand where we are in a narrative cycle

Early interest can precede wider adoption

Insane bullposting can signal crowded expectations

Doomposting can indicate capitulation or deteriorating fundamentals

Example: The $ANSEM cycle
ANSEM launching revived the memecoin trenches

As newer launches ($PONS, $STONK) attracted attention, capital rotated between plays

Eventually, narratives weakened and previously strong tokens began retracing

My hypothesis: narrative exhaustion and profit-taking, compounded by trash macro, contributed to the dumping in ANSEM and SOL (and also the fact Ansem stopped talking about it)

4. Derivatives positioning
OI, funding and liquidations help reveal leverage and trader positioning

but derivatives alone don't tell us whether long-term fundamentals have changed

Ultimately, no single metric predicts the next move

My framework for the next cycle:
> Macro & geopolitics
> Network growth & token value accrual
> Social sentiment & capital flows
> Derivatives positioning
> Valuation and expectations already priced in

Tbh, I think I'm finally starting to be able to observe these patterns after being caught up with the market the whole year

Hope to nail some good profits on the next mini cycles

[SolanaNews.sol @solananew]

🚨SOLANA'S 2026 SO FAR, BY THE NUMBERS:

Protocol upgrades:

- Slot times halved from 400ms to 200ms
- Max tx size raised from 1,232 to 4,096 bytes
- Token transfer compute cut 98% with P-Token
- Finality cut from 12.8s to ~150ms with Alpenglow
- Block compute limit raised from 60M to 100M CUs

Adoption:

- RWA holders grew from 126K to 831K
- RWA value grew from $873M to $4.87B
- Tokenised stocks grew from 115 to 2,036
- Spot ETF inflows grew from $766M to $1.6B

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@gray_chromatic @Australia thank god xD

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@MtroX207 @bulktrade damnnnn printing profits and AURA

how long do you usually keep trades open?

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@MtroX207 the wildest west there is on the financial markets

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@yichuan_drive @jackbutcher i actually think the art he is making is genius af

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@KierianV that is actually insane return to holders

but one BAYC will wipe me out xD

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@djDriverless was gonna rebut but I realized you said wife so ig not applicable to me yet

[Shallots @Defriedshallots]

@thelearningpill I love ETHFI