@Swampatouille Yeah this is where I'm at. We KNOW from precedent that late ballots in LA skew far-left (and it seems there is a much bigger volume this cycle).
Statewide there are tooo many variables
Might be going against the grain here but I think Raman might have a better path to top two than Steyer (although I think both have very viable paths!)
@noahjacobmama Sure and neighbourhoods of Sac, SF, Orange County etc.
But the state as a whole is not nearly as progressive as say New York or Illinois
๐จState Rep. Lindsay James wins the #IA02 Democratic primary and will face former State Rep. Joe Mitchell in November.
James served in the state legislature and as a chaplain, while Mitchell, a Gen Z right-wing extremist, worked for Trump in 2024 after losing his last election.
@CardmeisterGuy Well yeah thatโll be part of it but this is hardly an impressive performance for him considering polls had him in the mid 40s and he probably will end up a fair bit below that
My copium about CA11 is that whilst the results are bad, with late VBM breaking how it usually does in SF, Chan + Saikat probably beats Wiener by quite a bit which is a good omen for Chan in November
In the Montana Senate race, another Democratic candidate potentially stepping aside in a deep red area where the party cannot win to pave the way for an independent candidate who actually has a shot at beating the Republican in November.
Imagine that!
@ZFlawles1s@Swampatouille Ehhh I really wouldnโt count AGT out. Sheโs already a lock to advance to November and those late ballots should pad her a lot.