If the Bitcoin thesis is purely a SOV play, then in a world of AI capturing all the attention/capital, coupled with quantum fear, an outcome similar to this for the next 4 yr cycle would not be a big surprise, to me.
Would also align with a secular crypto bull market having peaked (as seen in alt's and bitcoin poor performance).
$GDX has likely printed a "DCH" (lower than HCH) and now commencing its decline into a DCL in a left translated and failed daily cycle 2. $GDX is in intermediate decline = lower highs and lower lows until the next ICL. I expect the DCL around day 72 (15 Jul)
$NDX
Day 20. Daily cycle failed at day 16 - a close, not a wick.
2–3 weeks to the next DCL. The theory says down, not up.
Blow-off tops don’t read the theory, though.
This Bitcoin Pie Chart is Extremely Important
Disbelief or denial?
Bitcoins floor price
TA & Live Trades
https://t.co/7z3olTJ2Sm
$SPX $QQQ $DJIA $XAUUSD $DXY $BTC $SMH $IWM
FOMC Head-fake
Cycle lows are here!
Bitcoin soon to resume down
TA & Live Trades
https://t.co/y1dDaroz7m
$SPX $QQQ $DJIA $XAUUSD $DXY $BTC $SMH $IWM
I've been heavily speculating in the markets (not full time) since 1992. My first trades were before online brokerage, you had to call in for quotes and to place orders. 4% commission in AND out.
I had a great run during the DOT COM era. By 1999, I had a really chunky (for my age) portfolio and thought it was easy. By late 2000, the account was $0. That part was fun, at least. For the next 10 years I was super active, some good runs, some big drawdowns. Overall, nothing exceptional. Just decent.
Then something shifted. The need to speculate faded and that’s when things actually got better.
Once I stopped chasing it, opportunities started coming to me. Not just in trading. As I’ve gotten older and less interested in money itself, seeing opportunity has become clearer. And more than anything, removing that constant need elevated how I experience life.
This isn’t meant to be spiritual (for some it is). But for a lot of people who are active and still underperforming, it’s worth asking what purpose this is really serving.
Most of the time, it’s just a dopamine loop. And for many, it’s closer to an addiction than they would like to admit. And that could be what’s holding you back.
Carl Jung wrote: "The more intelligent and self-aware a person is, the more they suffer from the general unconsciousness of society."
This is not a badge of honor. It is a recognition of the weight carried by those who cannot unsee what they have already seen. This is the psychology of the deep thinker and if you recognize yourself here, this one is for you:
The architecture of alienation. It starts early. The child who asks why adults say one thing and do another. The one whose questions are always labeled as "overthinking." Nietzsche described these people as "free spirits" — essential for progress, but wandering in a wilderness everyone else refuses to enter.
Research by Dr. Elaine Aron suggests approximately 20% of the population processes information more deeply and notices subtleties others completely miss. In a world that rewards speed, this depth can feel like a disability.
The frequency of truth. Deep thinkers operate on a different wavelength, the frequency of truth rather than the frequency of comfort. Most people live without ever questioning the fundamental assumptions of their own existence. But the deep thinker has glimpsed behind the veil.
Like Plato's prisoner who escapes the cave and returns to share what he saw only to be rejected and called a troublemaker—the deep thinker carries the burden of the witness. They see the masks, the exploitation, and the pain that everyone else has agreed to ignore.
The emotional sponge. Deep thinkers do not just observe emotions, they absorb them. They feel the anxiety of a stranger as if it were their own. They perform enormous amounts of invisible emotional labor — checking in on people, listening, supporting, acting as the unofficial therapist of every room they enter. And yet the relationship is almost always asymmetric. They give at a depth most people cannot match. They live with the quiet loneliness of being the strong one, the one everyone leans on, but no one thinks to ask: "Are you okay?"
The mask of normalcy. To survive, many deep thinkers learn to wear a mask, laughing at jokes they do not find funny, feigning interest in conversations that feel hollow, modulating their intensity to avoid being too much. This is not deception. It is survival. But the cost is enormous.
Maintaining the split between the complex private self and the simple public self is exhausting. And the mask, while protective, makes true connection nearly impossible. You cannot be fully known while hiding.
The wounded healer. Jung wrote about this archetype; the person who transforms their own brokenness into a source of healing for others. The wounds of rejection and misunderstanding become sources of deep compassion. The person who has felt most unseen becomes the most gifted at seeing others. But the challenge is learning to give without emptying yourself completely, to love others without losing yourself in the process.
The alchemy of solitude. For deep thinkers, there is a crucial distinction between loneliness and solitude. Loneliness is the pain of disconnection from others. Solitude is the joy of connection with yourself. In solitude, the deep thinker finally breathes. The noise of the world falls away. The internal landscape becomes clear. Isolation transforms into introspection and that is where the real work happens.
The revolutionary act of authenticity. In a world that profits from insecurity, choosing to be genuinely yourself is a radical act. When a deep thinker chooses authenticity over performance, it creates space for others to do the same. It gives people permission to be real in a culture that rewards shallow.
If you recognize yourself in any of this, stop apologizing for your depth. You are not broken. You are not too much. You are not too sensitive. You are awake in a world that prefers to stay asleep. Your sensitivity is a superpower. Your intensity is a strength.
✨🙌🏾💫
The year is 2066.
Bitcoin is on its way to a year end 4 year cycle low.
Retail:
‘Bro you think the 4 year cycle is real? 4 year cycle is clearly dead. No way they’re going to let you buy a 4 year cycle low for a 44th time in a row’
😂
Not sure why people get so toxic over someone sharing a market view. It’s an opinion, not a prophecy. This isn’t a prediction game but a positioning game. Trying to maximize outcome in all environments. And in trading, opinions are wrong all the time and change with the tape.
If I’m wrong, I try to adjust, as fast as possible. i wont hold the view because it was stated before. It might well cost me opportunity, but that's the price to pay when i think there is capital needing to be protected or an opportunity further below. Sometimes that means giving up upside to protect downside.
Happy to engage and debate, but I couldn't care less what you think of my views because they don't impact how I position. If a view of mine bothers you enough to be rude or toxic, because it conflicts with your bag, that’s just your insecurity and immaturity.
Russell 2k has reached my long held target of 2800
Added plenty of times on the way up, the april & nov lows last year were super contrarian at the time.
Added semis at the same spots, I have to start switching to locking in gains here soon.
Let it be known @FoFtyTrader has an open invite to come on the show and share his insights.
Whilst he doesn’t strike me as the type of guy that would be interested, if he wants to come and present his case, the invitation stands.
I will however require an opinion on aliens. That’s the standard on our channel.
The open invite will stand indefinitely.
Cheers to you and your community, wishing you all the success in the world 🥂