@mattyglesias@xenocryptsite It doesn’t really tell the story most people implies it does in either form. We certainly did not 1:1 substitute incarceration for institutionalization.
I checked which set of weights for gold/silver/bronze medals in the Olympics does a best job at predicting year to year correlations in weighted medal count per country (from 2004 to 2012, since that data was easily available and didn't feature many border changes).
The optimal weights are:
Bronze:1
Silver: 1.1
Gold: 1.8
Optimal correlation: 0.954
Total medals: 0.951
Only gold: 0.919
Total medals is much much better than only looking at gold medals!
I’m voting for Kamala Harris to protect abortion rights, low-income people’s access to health care, and the long-term viability of Social Security & Medicare and because I think Donald Trump’s vision of higher deficits, higher tariffs, and a smaller workforce is bad.
NOW ON @SSRN: "GIVE PARENTS THE VOTE," with @KleinfeldJoshua, forthcoming in @NotreDameLRev
Parents should be able to cast ballots for their children. And state legislatures can make it happen!
From the abstract:
Many of America’s most significant policy problems, from failing schools to the aftershocks of COVID shutdowns to national debt to climate change, share a common factor: the weak political power of children. Children are 23% of all citizens; they have distinct interests; and they already count for electoral districting. But because they lack the maturity to vote for themselves, their interests don’t count proportionally at the polls. The result is policy that observably disserves children’s interests and violates a deep principle of democratic fairness: that citizens, through voting, can make political power respond to their interests.
Yet there’s a fix. We should entrust children’s interests in the voting booth to the same people we entrust with those interests everywhere else: their parents. Voting parents should be able to cast proxy ballots on behalf of their minor children. So should the court-appointed guardians of those who can’t vote due to mental incapacity. This proposal would be pragmatically feasible, constitutionally permissible, and breathtakingly significant: perhaps no single intervention would, at a stroke, more profoundly alter the incentives of American parties and politicians. And, crucially, it would be entirely a matter of state law. Giving parents the vote is a reform that any state can adopt, both for its own elections and for its representation in Congress and the Electoral College.
Comments welcome! Link below.
@feelgoodhomes @energysmartwv @allisonbailes I thought that furnace temperature rises were ≈50 degrees. If the outdoor temperature is 50 below indoor, wouldn't it be cooling the house? #RealTalk
@ryxcommar@isosteph I have actually found it a pretty useful place to gather code-slop that may reference libraries that I want to use - v much a pre-chatGPT chatGPT workflow that might be enabling chatGPT workflows #RealTalk
Because people are living inside their main investment rather than monetizing them, we empty nesters consuming extra housing that gives them little value while young families struggle.
https://t.co/3QB0XGTa5D
"There is a reason why the scandals surrounding the SAT and ACT generally take the form of rich people paying a ringer to fraudulently take the test for their kid. It’s because dim rich kids can’t outcompete brighter poor kids in that specific arena." https://t.co/XNxD8Mo1yQ
My new paper with Alicia Munnell argues for rolling back the federal tax expenditure for retirement plan contributions and redirecting the savings to Social Security. Full repeal would fix roughly 3/4 of Social Security’s long-term funding gap. @aeiecon@RetirementRsrch
The single family home is a terrible investment. Low return, high leverage, illiquid, idiosyncratic risk, value depends on local politics, home value falls with local economy and your job. Build "generational wealth" in stocks, which are far more "accessible." Stop subsidizing!
It's so funny how the police just stopped doing their jobs when people criticized them for killing people, and meanwhile the IRS Criminal Investigation unit is out here solving the biggest thefts in history with little fan fare, while being constantly demonized by the right
A 🧵on Ohio’s death penalty: a bill to ban it has been introduced every session for over a decade. A new version is sponsored by a former supporter of capital punishment. Republican Rep. Jean Schmidt says she now believes “that it is wrong and the time has come to end it”
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (DFL) explains why he rejected Republican lawmakers' attempts to means-test school meals for K-12 students:
"The haves and the have-nots in the school lunchroom is not a necessary thing. Just feed our children."