Diego FV

Financial markets and football are my passions. Economist. I mainly retweet about the following topics: Global Macro, Wealth Management and Equity Analysis.

[Diego FV @DiegoFV8]

#APPL becomes the first company to hit $3T Market Capitalization

[Diego FV @DiegoFV8]

@xavierbrun Mucha calidad veo por ahí Xavier. Ojo con S&P que la gente no la está valorando correctamente bajo la premisa del ‘Sum of parts’ y/o ‘Stand Alone Basis’. Waste Management… muchísima calidad. Muy buena cartera 👌

[Wall St Engine @wallstengine]

PEPSICO $PEP Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS

🔹 Revenue: $25.3B (Est. $24.96B) 🟢; +5.6% YoY
🔹 Adj. EPS: $2.34 (Est. $2.30) 🟢; +2% YoY
🔹 Core Oper Profit: $4.3B (Est. $4.26B) 🟢
🔹 Organic Revenue: 3.1%

FY26 Guide:
🔹 Organic Revenue: +3%
🔹 Net Revenue: +6%
🔹 Core Annual Effective Tax Rate: 21%; from 22%
🔹 Core cc EPS: +1%-+2%; from Low-end of +4% to +6%
🔹 Core EPS: +2.5%-+3.5%; from Low-end of +5% to +7%
🔹 Capital Spending: Below 5% of net revenue
🔹 Free Cash Flow Conversion Ratio: At least 80%

Segment Net Revenue:
🔹 PFNA: $6.5B
🔹 PBNA: $7.7B; +5% YoY
🔹 IB Franchise: $1.4B; +8% YoY
🔹 EMEA: $5.4B; +8% YoY
🔹 LatAm Foods: $3.0B; +14% YoY
🔹 Asia Pacific Foods: $1.2B; +10% YoY

Other Q3 Metrics:
🔹 Operating Margin: 16.9%; +195 bps YoY
🔹 Core Operating Margin: 16.9%; -35 bps YoY

Comments:
🔸 “strong net revenue growth, an acceleration in organic revenue growth with organic volume growth across both global beverages and convenient foods.”

🔸 “acting with urgency to sustainably improve our performance in North America”

[Holger Zschaepitz @Schuldensuehner]

The S&P 500 hits a fresh ATH as AI stocks keep rising. But beneath the surface, a different market:

YTD:
• S&P 500: +15.2%
• Equal-weight S&P 500: +12%
• S&P 500 ex-AI: +7.%

Since the index’s mid-Sept low, two-thirds of its stocks have fallen further. The equal-weight index remains >5% below its peak. A record for the index, far from a record for the typical stock. https://t.co/tWIY8fXZ8b

[tae kim @firstadopter]

This is crazy. Warren is just like us.

WSJ: "In August, Osberg visited Buffett’s home in Omaha. They spent hours on YouTube."

"At the office, he’s known for poring over annual reports, searching for nuggets that can lead to a profitable investment. Mornings are dedicated to CNBC. Evenings, though, are all about YouTube. The content is hardly ever related to investing or finance" https://t.co/J2707sCT4f

[Dividendology @dividendology]

$SPGI S&P Global is now trading for literally just the price of it's ratings and indices business.

A sum-of-the-parts valuation is quite eye opening.

[Eric Balchunas @EricBalchunas]

Bond ETFs seeing outsized inflows the past 5 days, taking in $23 billion which is 62% of net flows despite making up 15% of assets. Also they accounted for 6 of the top 8 products- all types too cash, munis, high yield, treasuries. and of course $TLT. No trader who loves to overthink things can resist her siren song.

[Invest In Assets 📈 @InvestInAssets]

What the 'Smart Money' bought last quarter:

[Brett Kelly @BrettKPG]

Warren Buffett handed over the chair of Berkshire today, 61 years after he started. "Father Time always wins," he wrote.

He taught a kid from Sydney that the game is simple: buy great businesses, back great people, hold forever, and tell your owners the truth.

Kelly+Partners was built on his playbook. Thank you, Warren.

[Rockwood Notes @RockwoodNotes]

Warren Buffett’s 70-year track record — across just 2 vehicles — as a steward of other people’s capital.

CAGR (net of fees/expenses for LP years):

Buffett (1957 to 2026-09-17): 19.9%
S&P 500: 10.7%

I don’t think anyone else will ever achieve 1) the returns, 2) for the duration, 3) at the scale, 4) with the minimal risk that Buffett produced for other people.

And, for the majority of it, everyone had equal opportunity to participate.

By decade:

[Diego FV @DiegoFV8]

@lavozdegalicia 🐐

[William Green @WilliamGreen72]

Warren Buffett steps down as Berkshire chairman. Here’s his letter to shareholders:
“Berkshire has an extraordinary group of shareholders. From the beginning, Charlie and I looked for owners who thought in decades rather than quarters, and we were fortunate to find a
great many of you. Recently, I celebrated my 96th birthday with family and friends, including one of mygreat-grandchildren, who had just turned one. He’s moving a bit faster than I am these days.
I have served Berkshire since 1965. Sixty-plus years in, I still have the best job in the world. That is not something many people my age can say, and I have never felt better about what comes next.
Part of the reason is Greg. My expectations for him were sky high from the start, and he has exceeded them. He has taken hold of the Chief Executive Officer job in every respect. He
has been making the decisions that matter for some time now, and I have not had to think twice about any of them.
So the timing is right to complete the transition. I will become Chairman Emeritus and remain a Director. My son, Howard, will succeed me as Chairman.
Howard has been a Berkshire Director for 33 years. That is a longer apprenticeship than I served before taking the reins at the age of 34. Greg runs the company; Howard will guard its culture and values – both worth more than anything on our balance sheet. Think of Howard as a
policy the shareholders own and hope never to claim against. Howard cares deeply about Berkshire, as do all of our Directors. No company has been or will be more shareholder-minded than Berkshire. Serving as your Chairman has been the privilege of a lifetime, and I have never taken your trust for granted. Father Time always wins. He has, however, been generous with me. He has given me the opportunity to see Berkshire reach a point where I am more confident than ever about what lies ahead. The company is in excellent hands, and I look forward to remaining a shareholder alongside you.
September 18, 2026 Warren E. Buffett”

[The Wall Street Journal @WSJ]

Breaking: Warren Buffett is stepping down as chairman of Berkshire Hathaway https://t.co/DI2hk3oMpX

[Arvind P. Navaratnam @APNavaratnam]

Disney streaming services are growing faster than Netflix.

Across Disney+, ESPN+, and Hulu, Disney had 121 million subscribers in 2020 and 220 million subscribers in 2025.

That's a 12.7% CAGR versus Netflix's 9.7% annual subscriber growth over the same period.

@AcquiredFM

[Tim Cook @tim_cook]

Sending lots of love to the Apple community on my last day as CEO. My title changes tomorrow, but the love I have for the Apple community never will. Thank you for being a constant source of inspiration. My gratitude is endless, and I’m excited for the next chapter!

[MastersInvest.com @mastersinvest]

Happy 96th Birthday Warren!

A privilege to share birthdays.

[Kevin Carpenter @kejca]

Warren Buffett celebrates his 96th birthday today.

To mark the occasion, I've gathered together 96 of my favorite Buffett-isms that (hopefully) capture the breadth of his wit and wisdom.

(1) “The first rule of investment is don’t lose — and the second rule of investment is don’t forget the first rule. And that’s all the rules there are.”

(2) “If you’re going to be buyers of groceries over time, you like grocery prices to go down. We buy businesses. We buy pieces of businesses. We’re going to be much better off if we can buy those things at an attractive price than if we can’t.”

(3) “People are really strange [during market downturns]. Most [people] are savers — and that means they’ll be net buyers. They should want the stock market to go down. They should want to buy at a lower price.”

(4) “We’ve done better by avoiding dragons than by slaying them.”

(5) “I found what I liked when I was in my twenties — or earlier. I found what I liked to eat. I found what kind of people I liked to associate with. I found what I like to do during the day, how I like to dress, what I like to watch on TV, and I’ve seen no reason to change it [just] because I got richer.”

(6) “If I were to give credit in terms of how I’ve done it in investments, my dad would be number one and Ben Graham would be number two. Charlie Munger would be number three.”

(7) “I have been shaped tremendously by Charlie. Boy, if I had listened only to Ben [Graham], would I ever be a lot poorer.”

(8) “When you find a really good business run by first-class people, chances are a price that looks high isn’t high. The combination is rare enough that it’s worth a pretty good price.”

(9) “I am a better investor because I am a businessman — and a better businessman because I am an investor.”

(10) “We don’t go into companies with the thought of effecting a lot of change. That doesn’t work any better in investments than it does in marriages.”

(11) “We will never sell a business just because we get a wonderful offer for it. My house isn’t for sale. The children aren’t for sale. The businesses aren’t for sale. I tell shareholders that. That may make me crazy, but that’s who they’re getting in with — and they might as well know it [up front]. This is not a game we’re playing, like gin rummy, where we pick up one card and discard another.”

(12) “What we do is not beyond anybody else’s competence. I feel the same way about managing that I do about investing: It’s just not necessary to do extraordinary things to get extraordinary results.”

(13) “Some businesses are a lot easier to understand than others. Charlie and I don’t like difficult problems. We’d rather multiply by 3 than by pi.”

(14) “Getting fired can produce a particularly bountiful payday for a CEO. Indeed, he can ‘earn’ more in that single day, while cleaning out his desk, than an American worker earns in a lifetime of cleaning toilets. Forget the old maxim about nothing succeeding like success: Today, in the executive suite, the all-too-prevalent rule is that nothing succeeds like failure.”

(15) “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”

(16) “If you have a temperament that when others are fearful, you’re going to get scared yourself — you are not going to make a lot of money in securities over time in all probability.”

(17) “Life tends to snap you at your weakest link. So it isn’t the strongest link you’re looking for among the individuals in the room. It isn’t even the average strength of the chain. It’s the weakest link that causes problems. It may be alcohol. It may be gambling. It may be a lot of things. It may be nothing, which is terrific. But [life] is a real weakest link problem.”

(18) “By far, the most important quality is not how much IQ you’ve got. IQ is not the scarce factor. You need a reasonable amount of intelligence, but the temperament is 90% of it.”

(19) “The best lessons are the ones you get by osmosis. If somebody preaches to you, you don’t pay much attention. If you actively watch people and you like them and you find out other people like them, you pick up on that.”

(20) “Despite our citizens’ penchant — almost enthusiasm — for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America.”

(21) “It won’t be the American economy that does in investors over a 5- or 10- or 20-year period. It will be the investors themselves.”

(22) “I would focus on the things that have been good in your life — rather than the bad things that happen. Bad things do happen, but it can often be a wonderful life.”

(23) “I cannot have an opinion on every stock every day. The market is a psychotic, drunk, manic-depressive buying and selling 4,000 companies every day. In one year, the [average stock’s] high can be double its low. These businesses are no more volatile than a farm or an apartment building, whose values do not swing so wildly.”

(24) “For investors, as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases.”

(25) “You don’t have to do exceptional things to get exceptional results. Some people think that if you jump over a 7-foot bar, the ribbon they pin on you is going to be worth more money than if you step over a 1-foot bar. It just isn’t true in the investment world at all.”

(26) “Having the right heroes is terribly important. You tell me who a ten-year-old’s heroes are and I can give you a pretty good prediction about how they’re gonna turn out. You want to choose heroes very carefully because you’re gonna look like them at some point.”

(27) “If you’re lucky in life, make sure that a bunch of other people are lucky, too.”

(28) “If I owned all of Disney, it wouldn’t bother me one bit to write out a check for $40 million after what [Michael] Eisner has done. What bothers me is paying $2 million to some guy who hasn’t done anything.”

(29) “You’ll never pay a really top-notch executive — Roberto Goizueta at Coke, Tom Murphy and Dan Burke at Cap Cities, or Eisner — as much as they are worth. The problem is, executive compensation is too homogeneous. We’re paying the .200 hitters too close to the .350 hitters.”

(30) “If you have mediocrity and you have a bunch of friends on the board, it’s certainly not the kind of test you put a football team through. If the coach of a football team puts 11 lousy guys out on the field, he loses his job. The board never loses their job because they’ve [hired] a mediocre CEO. So you’ve got none of that self-cleansing type of operation that works with all the other jobs.”

(31) “Good managers are so scarce I can’t afford the luxury of letting them go just because they’ve added a year to their age.”

(32) “Every now and then, you’ll get an opportunity. And, when they come, they come for fifteen minutes. Some days, it’s raining gold. When it is, you’ve got to be out there. And that will happen periodically.”

(33) “When it’s raining gold, reach for a bucket — not a thimble.”

(34) “It’s usually a bad mistake to sell your interest in wonderful businesses … If you’re in a business that you understand and you think it’s a really outstanding business, the presumption should be that you just hold it and don’t worry [about it].”

(35) “There are no called strikes in the [securities] business. You can sit there and watch thousands of pitches and finally you get one right there where you want it — something that you can understand — and then you swing.”

(36) “You’ve got to be prepared — when you buy a stock — to have it go down 50% or more … If you can’t handle it psychologically, then you really shouldn’t own stocks — because you’re going to buy and sell them at the wrong time.”

(37) “There is nothing about the price action of a stock that tells you whether you should keep owning it. What tells you whether you should keep owning it is what you expect the company to do in the future.”

(38) “When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”

(39) “Let’s say that I offer to buy you the car of your dreams. You can pick out any car that you want, and when you get out of class this afternoon, that car will be waiting for you at home. There’s just one catch… It’s the only car you’re ever going to get in your entire life. Now, knowing that, how are you going to treat that car? You’re probably going to read the owner’s manual four times before you drive it; you’re going to keep it in the garage, protect it at all times, change the oil twice as often as necessary. If there’s the least little bit of rust, you’re going to get that fixed immediately so it doesn’t spread — because you know it has to last you as long as you live. Here’s the thing: that’s exactly the position you are in concerning your mind and body. You have only one mind and one body for the rest of your life. Isn’t it just as important to take care of your mind and body as it is to take care of that car?”

(40) “If you’re smart, you don’t need leverage. If you’re dumb, you have no business using it.”

(41) “A climate of fear is [an investor’s] best friend. Those who invest only when commentators are upbeat end up paying a heavy price for meaningless reassurance.”

(42) “If we can do one intelligent thing a year, we are ecstatic. You can negotiate us down to one every two or three years without working very hard. That’s all you need. You need very few good ideas in your lifetime.”

(43) “A group of lemmings looks like a pack of individualists compared to what happens on Wall Street when it gets a concept in its teeth.”

(44) “If you can detach yourself — temperamentally — from the crowd, you’ll get very rich. You don’t have to be very bright, [either] … It doesn’t take brains. It takes temperament.”

(45) “I will say this about investing — everything you learn is cumulative. What I learned at 20 is useful to me now. What I learned at 25 is useful to me now.”

(46) “Should you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.”

(47) “When a manager with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, the reputation of the business remains intact.”

(48) “What an investor should pay today for a dollar to be received tomorrow can only be determined by first looking at the risk-free interest rate.”

(49) “I do not hire people I would not want as friends or as neighbors. I work with people who make my life easier. You can’t work with people who make your stomach grind.”

(50) “I have in life all I want right here. I love every day. I tap dance in here and work with nothing but people I like. I don’t have to work with people I don’t like.”

(51) “Gambling is a tax on ignorance. I find it kind of socially revolting when a government preys on the weaknesses of its citizenry rather than acts to serve them.”

(52) “Time is the friend of the wonderful business. You keep compounding, it keeps doing more business, and you keep making more money. Time is the enemy of the lousy business.”

(53) “Beware the investment activity that produces applause. The great moves are usually treated by yawns.”

(54) “Investing is just about assigning yourself the right story.”

(55) “Lose money for the firm and I will be understanding. Lose a shred of reputation for the firm and I will be ruthless.”

(56) “You can’t make a good deal with a bad person. We just forget about it. We don’t try to protect ourselves by contracts or due diligence — we just forget about it. We can do fine over time dealing with people who we like and admire and trust.”

(57) “I have not put my politics in a blind trust. On the other hand, I don’t speak for Berkshire in doing that … I don’t believe in imposing my views on 370,000 employees and a million shareholders. I’m not their nanny.”

(58) “If you’re comfortable with your inner scorecard, I think you’re going to have a pretty happy life. The people who strive too much for the outer scorecard sometimes find that it’s a little hollow when they get all through.”

(59) “You can be kind — and the world is better off. I’m not sure that the world will be better off if I’m richer.”

(60) “Every year, for nineteen years, I’ve raised the price of candy on December 26. And nineteen years goes by and everyone keeps buying candy. Every ten years, I tried to raise the price of [suit] linings a fraction of a cent — and they’d throw the linings back at me.”

(61) “I can go into an emergency ward and write life insurance if you let me charge enough of a premium.”

(62) “The key to investing is not assessing how much an industry is going to affect society — or how much it will grow — but rather determining the competitive advantage of any given company and, above all, the durability of that advantage. The products or services that have wide, sustainable moats around them are the ones that deliver rewards to investors.”

(63) “We would die — psychologically — if we lost a lot of other people’s money.”

(64) “Integrity is absolutely an option. You may not be able to throw a football 60 yards. You may not be able to run the 100 in 9.8 [seconds]. You may not be able to sink three-pointers. But you can choose where you stand on the integrity scale. That is a choice you make.”

(65) “You get a compounding of good intentions and good behavior — and, unfortunately, you can get the reverse of that in life, too.”

(66) “A friend of mine spent twenty years looking for the perfect woman. Unfortunately, when he found her, he discovered that she was looking for the perfect man.”

(67) “Our approach is very much profiting from lack of change rather than from change.”

(68) “There are always problems in the future. There are always opportunities in the future. And, in this country, the opportunities have won out over the problems over time — and I think they will continue to do so.”

(69) “Who is to say whether it’s better to defer a trip to Disneyland that [your family] will get enormous enjoyment out of, so that when you’re 75 you can have a thirty-foot boat instead of a twenty-foot boat?”

(70) “If you aren’t thinking about owning a stock for ten years, don’t even think about owning it for ten minutes.”

(71) “Every business school graduate should sign an unbreakable contract promising not to make more than 20 major decisions in a lifetime. In a 40-year career, you would make a decision every two years.”

(72) “Part of making good decisions in business is recognizing the poor decisions you’ve made — and why they were poor. I have made lots of mistakes and I’m going to make more mistakes. But, you know, Babe Ruth struck out a lot of times. It’s the name of the game.”

(73) “[People] buy a stock and they think if it goes up it’s wonderful and if it goes down it’s bad. We think just the opposite. When it goes down, we love it — because we’ll buy more. And, if it goes up, it kills us to buy more.”

(74) “It really isn’t so much having a lot of brilliant decisions. It’s just not really having some terrible ones … Some singles and doubles will produce a lot of runs before you get through.”

(75) “If you’re going to do dumb things because a stock goes down, you shouldn’t own a stock at all. Some people are not emotionally or psychologically fit to own stocks — but more of them would be if [they understood that] you’re really buying part of a business.”

(76) “Liquidity makes [investors] do stupid things. The fact that you can get out of [an investment] ten minutes later — which you can’t do with a farm or an apartment house — that should be your friend. But they turn it into a negative.”

(77) “If it makes a difference to you whether your stocks are down 15% or not, you need to get a somewhat different investment philosophy. People have emotions, but you’ve got to check them at the door when you invest.”

(78) “According the name ‘investors’ to institutions that trade actively is like calling someone who repeatedly engages in one-night stands a romantic.”

(79) “We never want to count on the kindness of strangers in order to meet tomorrow’s obligations. When forced to choose, I will not trade even a night’s sleep for the chance of extra profits.”

(80) “I think I stay healthy partly by being happy. It really helps if your stomach isn’t grinding all the time [because] you’re doing things you don’t want to do or you’re working with people [you don’t like].”

(81) “We’ve seen relatively little correlation between investment results and IQ. Not that there are a whole bunch of people out there with 80 IQs that are knocking the cover off the ball — but there are all kinds of people with high IQs that get no place.”

(82) “The real test of whether you’re investing from a value standpoint is whether you care whether the stock market is open tomorrow. If you’re making a good investment in a security, it shouldn’t bother you if they close down the stock market for five years.”

(83) “I think it helps to be away from lots of chatter. I don’t want to hear what a lot of other people think. I just want a lot of facts. And I want to sit there, unaffected by whether it’s sunny or cloudy outside or anything of the sort, and certainly unaffected by whether the people around me are feeling great or feeling terrible. I just want to look at the facts and see where they lead me. I don’t care what other people think at all.”

(84) “None of this means, however, that a business or stock is an intelligent purchase simply because it is unpopular; a [purely] contrarian approach is just as foolish as a follow-the-crowd strategy. What’s required is thinking rather than polling.”

(85) “If you have ten good ideas in the rest of your life, you can afford to give away five of ‘em.”

(86) “Buyers are most silly when they’re most happy.”

(87) “We look for three things when we hire people. We look for intelligence, initiative, and integrity. If they don’t have the latter, the first two will kill you — because if you’re going to get somebody without integrity, you want them dumb and lazy.”

(88) “If you learn reasonably well from other people, you don’t have to get any new ideas or do much on your own. You can just apply the best of what you see.”

(89) “You want to have certain people in life that you don’t want to disappoint. You want to have people who make you a better person than you otherwise would be.”

(90) “The idea of spending loads of time trying to guess how many iPhones or whatever it may be are going to be sold in a given three-month period — to me, it totally misses the point. Nobody buys a farm based on whether they think it’s going to rain next year.”

(91) “Overall, we feel extraordinarily lucky to have been dealt a hand in life that enables us to write large [tax] checks to the government rather than one requiring the government to regularly write checks to us — say, because we are disabled or unemployed.”

(92) “I just like the feeling of being trusted. You know, that’s a good way to feel in life.”

(93) “I have to see over the next mountain, if possible, but then I have to get a lot of other people to look over that mountain with me — and really do the job. They are the ones who get it accomplished. [Leadership] is getting things done through other people.”

(94) “You’re only going to live once — so you don’t want to go sleepwalking through life.”

(95) “I spent my life working on [Berkshire Hathaway]. I believe Berkshire is as permanent as you can come up with.”

(96) “You should be very forgiving of yourself — but not totally forgiving of yourself. There is no sense looking back and saying, 'If I had done this, if I had done that...' Just forget it. Nobody cares. It's history. You can't change it, [but] you can change your behavior going forward.”

[Diego FV @DiegoFV8]

Happy Birthday @WarrenBuffett (+96) 🎂🐐

[Brett G @brettgardner_10]

Happy birthday to the GOAT!

[Javier DV @Javieerdelvalle]

NOTICIA Importante: El Tesoro EEUU acaba de anunciar que va a doblar (como mínimo) el tamaño de sus operaciones de recompra de deuda de largo plazo (tramos 10 a 30 años)

El objetivo oficial de las recompras desde 2024 es dar liquidez: los bonos antiguos ("off-the-run") cotizan peor y son más difíciles de negociar. El Tesoro los recompra y los retira, dejando el mercado concentrado en el papel nuevo ("on-the-run"), más líquido.

Pero el detalle está en cómo lo financia: recompra duración larga y emite deuda corta. El efecto neto es retirar duración del mercado y presionar a la baja los tipos a largo plazo.

Buen movimiento Bessent, veremos lo que dura jaa

[Kevin Carpenter @kejca]

Warren Buffett: "I think [Google] is more likely to be a winner based on their record than probably 95% of what gets merchandised through Wall Street."

"The real question with Google and all of its competitors now is they're all laying out hundreds of billions [on capital expenditures]. That's real money ... That's the game they're playing now."

"That kind of money wasn't even put into the railroad business, in terms of developing it."