TOP POINTS PROJECTION✅✅✅
Jalen Johnson o23.5 Points (-105)✅
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Mark Williams Under 20.5 P+R
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We like the under in this one for Mark. He’s gone under this line in just 7/16 games this season but now he gets one of the toughest matchups in the league vs the Great Wall of OKC.
On the year the Thunder allow the 2nd fewest points to centers and the 3rd fewest rebounds to centers. This is the same system play we targeted Rudy Gobert in just a few days back.
Mark scores 96% of his points in the restricted area and non-RA paint where the Thunder rank 1st and 8th defensively. Just an all around awful scoring matchup as they guard the PNR roll man at a really high rate as well. Mark should struggle to score in this one.
Overall a spot we like given how OKCs defense has looked. Mark will have to work for every rebound and point possible and we don’t see him having success. The game also has a 15.5 spread. Blowout would only help us here.
Best Odds: -111 DraftKings
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