dmoore

Hockey player, cyclist, walker and dog owner. Was a teacher, now volunteering.

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@FRHoffmann1 are you a Russian asset?

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@JoeyMannarino Cos Trump is truly brilliant Isn't he Just loves people who disagree with him , absolute press freedom in the USA and democracy protected.

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@shanaka86 @PhillipsPOBrien she got through

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@SimonDanczuk Good

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@Scaramucci your speaker who suggested closing the straight was useless. The Chinese have got through anyway. It's only the allies that will be punished if they can't get vital supplies through

[Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86]

JUST IN: She turned around. Then she came back.

At 10:00 a.m. Eastern on April 13, CENTCOM’s blockade of Iranian ports went live. Within twenty minutes, the Rich Starry, a laden oil and chemical tanker heading through the Strait of Hormuz, executed a U-turn confirmed by MarineTraffic AIS. The blockade had its first deterrence success. The ship that flinched became the headline.

Then she recalculated. And she came back through.

Her AIS is live right now. I am looking at it. RICH STARRY. Oil/Chemical Tanker. Malawi flag. Departed Sharjah Anchorage, UAE, at 10:10 UTC+4 on April 13. Destination field reads four words that every CENTCOM watch officer, every shipping analyst, and every intelligence service on earth can see in the clear: CHINA OWNER&CREW. Speed 14.8 knots. Course 201 degrees. Draught 11.3 meters, laden. Underway using engine. Position: Gulf of Oman, south of Bandar-e Jask, past the strait, past the blockade, heading for China. Estimated arrival May 13.

This vessel is OFAC-sanctioned. Designated in 2023 as Full Star for transporting Iranian petroleum. Re-designated February 25, 2026 under the shadow-fleet package. Linked to Shanghai Xuanrun. Flying a Malawi flag of convenience. And she just transited the Strait of Hormuz under live American naval enforcement while broadcasting her Chinese ownership on an open channel.

The blockade did not stop her. And the reason exposes the precise architecture of what this enforcement can and cannot reach.

CENTCOM’s scope states the blockade targets vessels entering or exiting Iranian ports. It “will not impede freedom of navigation for vessels transiting to and from non-Iranian ports.” The Rich Starry departed Sharjah, UAE. Under the published rules, her transit was technically exempt. She sailed through the gap between what the President said and what the military published.

The IRGC toll system does not care about CENTCOM’s scoping. The five-tier vetting applies to vessels transiting the strait regardless of origin. The $1 per barrel quote is issued. The Bitcoin or yuan clears in seconds. The VHF passcode is transmitted. Whether the Rich Starry paid cannot be confirmed on-chain for this specific vessel. But the toll infrastructure was active, the escort system was operational, and the vessel that passed through it is now heading to China at near-maximum speed with her ownership declared to the entire maritime world.

The blockade is working on the compliant fleet. Traffic has dropped to 7 to 11 vessels per day from a pre-crisis norm of 140. That is a 93 percent reduction. Ships with insurance, flag-state registration, and Western port access are turning around. The deterrence is real.

But the shadow fleet does not carry insurance, does not need Western port access, does not recognize flag-state accountability. It is already sanctioned, already uninsured, already outside the system the blockade enforces. For these vessels the marginal cost of defiance is zero because every penalty has already been applied.

The Rich Starry flinched on the first attempt. She recalculated on the second. And she told the world exactly who sent her by writing it in her AIS destination field for every tracker on earth to read. CHINA OWNER&CREW. Not hidden. Not encrypted. Not denied. Declared.

The blockade sorted the strait. The compliant ships are heading to American ports. The shadow fleet is heading to Chinese ports. And the IRGC is collecting tolls from both directions while the 7 percent that defies the blockade carries the 80 percent of Iranian oil that funds the regime.

https://t.co/0fIdGsM5qH

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@michaeldweiss Obama and Biden have a lot to answer for. Maybe they didn't want NATO to be tested by him taking a tiny step into a country like Estonia - so they made a deal with Putin.

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@Mij_Europe @PM_ViktorOrban The Far Right always has to lie and cheat to get into and maintain power. That says it all.

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@ThatTimWalker Maybe he's trying diplomacy.

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@michaeldweiss They're all supportive of Russia's objectives it seems.

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@gideonrachman Could it be they're pro Putin? That would explain it.

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@ThatTimWalker Seriously, get some counselling Starmer derangement syndrome seems to be all consuming.

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@Mij_Europe Hubris

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@gancor @OzKaterji @prestonjbyrne Why? Are you registered with Interpol?

[Andrea Junker @Strandjunker]

Dear American citizens, whatever you wish more German citizens would have done in 1933, do that now.

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@CeeMacBee Are you the person pretending to be an economist despite having no relevant qualification?

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@CPhilpOfficial Why are you interfering in a private business?

[Gary Stevenson @garyseconomics]

The Iran economic shock is coming. How to protect yourself

[dmoore @DossyBrando]

@Scaramucci @campbellclaret the guy below is really worth following. It's all about the stock markets- again.

[Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86]

BREAKING: The President just declared Tuesday “Power Plant Day and Bridge Day” on Truth Social at 8:03 AM Easter Sunday. The exact words: “Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell. JUST WATCH. Praise be to Allah.” The timing is not incidental. It is surgical. US markets reopen Monday April 6. European markets do not. The London Stock Exchange, Frankfurt, Paris, and every major European exchange observe Easter Monday and remain closed through April 6. They reopen Tuesday April 7. Power Plant Day. Europe will wake up from a four-day trading blackout into whatever the President does on Tuesday. America gets one day to price the deadline. Europe gets zero.

The asymmetry is structural. US traders return Monday to a market that must absorb the F-15E shootdown, the WSO rescue, the aircraft self-destruction inside Iran, the Borouge debris fire, Trump’s “48 hours” countdown, and this morning’s explicit naming of Tuesday as the day the grid goes dark. They get one session. European traders get none. They return Tuesday morning into the aftermath of whatever Monday’s deadline and Tuesday’s strikes produce. The NATO allies who denied Trump airspace, the EU leaders who called the war “a dangerous trend outside international law,” the Meloni government that flew to Doha to secure gas rather than fight for the strait, all of them will process the consequences of Power Plant Day from the opening bell of exchanges that were blind for four consecutive days.

The force is ready. The Abraham Lincoln has been flying sorties for five weeks. The Ford returned from repairs April 2. The Bush is crossing the Atlantic. JSOC operators just proved deep-territory penetration and extraction with zero casualties. Kharg Island reconnaissance is complete. The 82nd Airborne and Marines are in theatre. The E-4B is at Andrews. And the target list is not abstract. Damavand at 2,868 megawatts powers greater Tehran. Shahid Salimi Neka at 2,214 megawatts serves the Caspian coast. Shahid Rajaee at 2,042 megawatts serves Qazvin. The Karaj B1 bridge was already destroyed on April 3, killing eight people celebrating Nature Day beneath it. Over 100 legal scholars have warned that strikes on power plants could constitute war crimes under the Geneva Conventions.

Four deadlines have passed since March 21. Each one moved. Each expansion added targets: first power plants, then oil wells, then Kharg Island, then desalination, then bridges. Now it is power plants and bridges together, named for a specific day, in language no American president has used publicly about a military operation in the history of the office.

Physical oil is at $131 to $157 in Asia. Paper Brent is at $106. The IRGC toll booth is still collecting yuan and stablecoins. Borouge is on fire from debris. The bypasses are maxed. Japan’s yield is at a 27-year high. And the President is posting expletives about the strait at eight in the morning on Easter Saturday while his rescued airman’s helicopters burn on Iranian soil and the allies whose markets are closed cannot respond until the day he says the grid goes dark.

Tuesday is April 7. The allies reopen into whatever the President delivers. The question that has followed every deadline of this war is whether this one holds. The question that follows this post is different: the President is no longer threatening consequences. He is naming the day, naming the targets, and telling the enemy to watch.

https://t.co/dAOBBMsgDS

[Sangita Myska @SangitaMyska]

🚨Your Sunday watch has dropped!

Would Donald Trump invade Iran’s oil-critical Kharg Island?

The US president has made plenty of threats in an attempt to secure the Strait of Hormuz but what are the odds and potential fallout? I ask the experts:

FULL VIDEO: https://t.co/ru47v9cCQS

@MiddleEastEye

[Alastair Mackie @mackieap]

@CitySamuel @thetimes This you?