Doug Upstone

Sports Betting analyst. Seen on Winners Circle podcast, Doug's YouTube channel and sharp sports betting writer at BMR and Gamblers World.

[ESPN Insights @ESPNInsights]

The San Francisco Giants have scored 30 runs over their last 2 games, their most in a 2-game span since 1944 👏

Before the last 2 days, the Giants ranked 29th in scoring (3.8). They've now moved up to 21st (4.2).

[BetMGM News @BetMGMNews]

Friday MLB betting @BetMGM ⚾️

Most bet games 🎟️
1. Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers
2. Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia Phillies
3. Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves
4. Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
5. Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies

Most bet moneylines 🎟️
1. Seattle Mariners -125
2. Boston Red Sox +118
3. Atlanta Braves -150
4. Chicago White Sox +155
5. Cleveland Guardians -125

Most bet moneylines 💸
1. New York Mets +110
2. Atlanta Braves -150
3. Los Angeles Dodgers -200
4. Seattle Mariners -125
5. Chicago White Sox +155

Most bet totals 🎟️
1. Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Over 8.5
2. Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies Over 12
3. Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks Over 9
4. Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals Over 9
5. Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins Over 7.5

Most bet props 🎟️
1. Rob Refsnyder to hit 1+ home runs +875
2. James Wood to hit 1+ home runs +360
3. Bryan Reynolds to hit 1+ home runs +700
4. Bobby Witt Jr. to hit 1+ home runs +400
5. Kyle Schwarber to hit 1+ home runs +195

Most bet NRFIs 🎟️
1. Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers -135
2. Cleveland Guardians at Texas Rangers -125
3. Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays -115
4. Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia Phillies -110
5. Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees -125

[OptaSTATS @OptaSTATS]

This is the first time in NHL history the Stanley Cup Final was tied 1-1 with both teams having a multi-goal comeback win.

[StatSharp @StatSharp]

Stanley Cup Final Game 2 betting notes: VGK at CAR 🏒
Source: https://t.co/2P79vHKeXq
• Vegas leads the series 1-0 after a 5-4 road win in Game 1.
• Latest line: VGK +140, Carolina -160; total sits at 6.
• Betting system: Over applies to Carolina after a 4+ goal home game vs. a team off a 4+ goal road game — 56-21 since 2022, +32.9 units, 10-2 this season.
• Total trend conflict: Carolina Game 2 playoff-series Unders are 6-0 since 2025, +6.1 units.
• Carolina ML trend: off a home loss, the Hurricanes are 12-1 this season, +11.1 units, winning by an average score of 4.2-2.0.
• Vegas ML trend: after winning 15+ of its last 20 games, VGK is 5-0 this season, +6.7 units.
• Team profile: Vegas is 7-2 in away playoff games, averaging 4.2 GF and 2.6 GA; Carolina is 12-2 overall in the playoffs, allowing just 1.9 GA/game.

• Key names: Jack Eichel leads Vegas with 109 points; Sebastian Aho leads Carolina with 87 points; the sheet lists no current NHL injuries of significance for this game.

[StatSharp @StatSharp]

LAD/ARI starting pitcher betting notes:
• Justin Wrobleski has been sharp overall: 7-2, 2.87 ERA, 1.005 WHIP, .210 AVG allowed and 6 quality starts in 9 starts.
• Wrobleski’s indicators support the profile: 2.38 xERA, 2.02 ERC, 3.42 FIP and only a 1.6% HR rate.
• Road Wrobleski has held up: 4-1, 2.79 ERA and 3 quality starts in 5 road outings, though the 1.345 WHIP is the caution flag.
• Recent form is more volatile: 5.06 ERA over the last month, but a much better 3.32 xERA, 2.78 ERC and 3.74 FIP.
• Wrobleski starts have been profitable: Dodgers are 7-2 ML and 7-2 run line this season when he starts.
• Ryne Nelson has been shakier overall: 2-4, 4.82 ERA, 1.194 WHIP and 15 HR allowed in 65.3 IP.
• Nelson’s home splits are a red flag: 5.97 ERA, 1.453 WHIP, .827 OPS allowed and 5.78 FIP in 6 home starts.
• Nelson has improved lately: 3.18 ERA, 0.971 WHIP and 4 quality starts in 5 outings over the last month.
• Key Arizona trend: Nelson’s team is 8-1 on the home run line vs. division opponents since 2024.
• Total angle: Wrobleski starts are 2-7 to the 1st 5 Over, while Nelson starts are 8-4 full-game Over this season.

Read: Wrobleski/LAD has the cleaner pitcher edge, but Nelson’s home division run-line trend keeps Arizona +1.5 live.

[ESPN Insights @ESPNInsights]

Shohei doing Shohei things 🔥

Ohtani continues to amaze! After 6 scoreless tonight, Shohei Ohtani lowered his ERA to 0.74 😳

[Patrick Everson @PatrickE_Vegas]

NBA Finals Futures Odds: @BetMGM wants the red-hot Knicks to win it all. New York is 11-0 SU/10-1 ATS in its last 12 games.

From trading manager Hal Egeland:

"Even though there's been more interest in the Knicks during the playoffs, that early-season action keeps the Spurs as the worst result for BetMGM."

Much more below at the link🔽🔽

[Doug Upstone @DougUpstone]

https://t.co/LLPZl8n7Na

>ALL SPORTS 106-6 Run +$6,200 (18-6 Surge)

>NBA Finals Game 1 Sharp Total! 21-11 Run

>MLB Wednesday Wipeout! Super 17-3 & 28-7 Runs

Doug Picks at: https://t.co/CRsGVDRAkN

[BetMGM News @BetMGMNews]

Wednesday Evening MLB betting @BetMGM ⚾️

Most bet games 🎟️
1. Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees
2. San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
3. Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks
4. Kansas City Royals at Cincinnati Reds
5. Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves

Most bet moneylines 🎟️
1. New York Yankees -155
2. Los Angeles Dodgers -190
3. Cincinnati Reds -160
4. Atlanta Braves -150
5. Chicago Cubs -135

Most bet moneylines 💸
1. St. Louis Cardinals -115
2. Philadelphia Phillies -225
3. Los Angeles Dodgers -190
4. Cincinnati Reds -160
5. Atlanta Braves -150

Most bet totals 🎟️
1. Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Over 8.5
2. Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees Under 7.5
3. Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Angels Over 8.5
4. Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros Under 8
5. Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Over 8.5

Most bet props 🎟️
1. Nick Kurtz to record 2+ bases +110
2. Chase Burns to record 7+ strikeouts -140
3. Walbert Urena to record 5+ strikeouts -135
4. Ben Rice to record 2+ hits, runs and RBIs -115
5. Oneil Cruz to record 2+ bases +165

Most bet NRFIs 🎟️
1. Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros -145
2. Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees -145
3. Kansas City Royals at Cincinnati Reds -140
4. San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies -135
5. Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox -115

[StatSharp @StatSharp]

Knicks vs Spurs. NBA Finals Game 1.
7 betting facts to know from the StatSharp Tip Sheet
https://t.co/nqSYP46nMN
• San Antonio is -4.5 at home with a total of 218.5. Knicks are +170 ML; Spurs are -200 ML.
• Both teams have been profitable ATS: New York is 55-42 ATS, +9.1 units. San Antonio is 58-42 ATS, +11.9 units.
• Knicks enter scorching hot: 11-3 ATS and 12-2 ML in the playoffs.
• New York has also traveled well in the playoffs: 6-1 ATS and 6-1 ML in away playoff games.
• Spurs are 12-6 ATS in the playoffs and 28-19 ATS at home this season.
• The playoff stat profile is elite on both sides: NYK is scoring 119.9 PPG and allowing 100.6; San Antonio is scoring 115.3 and allowing 105.0.
• StatSharp simulation projects Spurs 114, Knicks 113 — showing value on NYK +4.5 and Over 218.5.

[Kendall Baker @kendallbaker]

One of the wildest stats in sports:

This is the 46TH CONSECUTIVE SEASON in which a former teammate of Jaromir Jagr has appeared in the Stanley Cup Final.

This year, it's Golden Knights defenseman Rasmus Andersson, who played with Jágr in Calgary in 2017-18.

[ATS STATS @ATSstats]

Get more MLB Trends for today's games at https://t.co/ttZGhw8ier

[Doug Upstone @DougUpstone]

@goheat63 @dudeman2266 @JohnKasich https://t.co/bzUyXIVUuv I was trying to save space. Happy Now? 🤡🤡

[MLB @MLB]

Off his glove, off his head, and out!

One of the strangest home runs you've ever seen 🤯

[Dan Clark @DanClarkSports]

This may be a Top 10 all-time MLB photo.

[OptaSTATS @OptaSTATS]

The Golden Knights are appearing in their third Stanley Cup Final in their ninth season as a franchise. They are the only NHL/NBA/NFL/MLB expansion team since 1990 to make the championship round in multiple seasons within their first 10 years of existence.

[StatSharp @StatSharp]

The @Angels are experiencing a nightmare start to the '26 season. Part of the reason has been their stunning inability to beat even the worst of teams. LA is 1-10 vs. teams who are outscored by a run/game or worse, costing Halos' backers 9 units (-81.7% ROI).

[Casey @csybcz]

Bryce Elder Career as a Non-Divisional Home Favorite of -135 or Greater

▪️15-2
▪️10 Wins by 2+ Runs

[Casey @csybcz]

Cam Schlittler Last 12 Non-Divisional Starts

▪️11-1 SU
▪️9 Wins by 2+ Runs
▪️9-1-2 F5 ML

[trendscenter @trendscenterapp]

🗽 Yankees Coming Off Road Win vs. AL Central Opponents

🔥 18-0 on the ML | 56.59% ROI

🚨 Active on Yankees -205 vs. Guardians

(via TrendsCenter)
https://t.co/UkoJQsTDTd