Is healthcare #AI going through the "trough of disillusionment"? Let's dive in: 🧵
1/ Recent studies & reports about poor research methods/data + lackluster performance of ML software in practice = rough PR for #AI in the last few weeks
#radiology#radAI#MachineLearning
Very excited to have matched into neuroradiology fellowship @PittRadiology! Looking forward to this new chapter and to working with amazing new colleagues!
#match2024#neuroradiology#radres
Medicine is 80% people skills and 20% book smarts.
I developed my people skills through sports, family events and hobbies.
Keep in touch with people from all walks of life and step out of the medicine echo chamber once in a while.
I don't talk much about this - I obtained one of the first FDA approvals in ML + radiology and it informs much of how I think about AI systems and their impact on the world. If you're a pure technologist, you should read the following:
There's so much to unpack for both why Geoff was wrong, and why his future predictions should not be taken seriously either.
Geoff made a classic error that technologists often make, which is to observe a particular behavior (identifying some subset of radiology scans correctly) against some task (identifying hemorrhage on CT head scans correctly), and then to extrapolate based on that task alone.
The reality is that reducing any job, especially a wildly complex job that requires a decade of training, to a handful of tasks is quite absurd.
Here's a bunch of stuff you wouldn't know about radiologists unless you built an AI company WITH them instead of opining about their job disappearing from an ivory tower.
(1) Radiologists are NOT performing 2d pattern recognition - they have a 3d world model of the brain and its physical dynamics in their head. The motion and behavior of their brain to various traumas informs their prediction of hemorrhage determination.
(2) Radiologists have a whole host of grounded models to make determinations, and actually, one of the most important first order determination they make is whether there is anything notably wrong with a brain structure that "feels" off. As a result, classifiers aren’t actually performing the same task even as radiologists.
(3) Radiologists, because they have a grounded brain model, only need to see a single example of a rare and obscure condition to both remember it and identify it in the future. This long tail of rare conditions to avoid missing is a large part of their training, and no one has any clue how to make a model that acts similar in this way.
(4) There’s so many ways to make Radiologist lives easier instead of just replacing them, it doesn’t even make sense to try. I interviewed and hired 25 radiologists, whose primary and chief complaint was that they had to reboot their computers several times a day.
(5) A large part of the radiologist job is communicating their findings with physicians, so if you are thinking about automating them away you also need to understand the complex interactions between them and different clinics, which often are unique.
(6) Every hospital is a snowflake, data is held under lock and key, so your algorithm might not work in a bunch of hospitals. Worse, the imagenet datasets have such wildly different feature sets they don’t do much for pretraining for you.
(7) Have you ever tried to make anything in healthcare? The entire system is optimized to avoid introducing any harm to patients - explaining the ramifications of that would take an entire book, but suffice to say even if you had an algorithm that could automate away radiologists I don’t even know if you could create a viable adoption strategy in the US regulatory environment.
(8) The reality is that for every application, the amount of specific and UNKNOWABLE domain knowledge is immense.
LONG STORY SHORT: thinkers have a pattern where they are so divorced from implementation details that applications seem trivial, when in reality, the small details are exactly where value accrues.
Should you be worried about GPT5 being used to automate vulnerability detection on websites before they’re patched? Maybe.
Should you be worried GPT5 is going to interact with SOCIAL systems and destroy our society single-handedly? No absolutely not.
WSJ covered resident unions today.
Article dropped 3h ago; 400+ comments already.
My fave is “There was no issue with work-life balance until women became MDs!”
But don’t worry, Stockholm syndrome, the bootstraps brigade, and socialized medicine fearmongering are there, too.
I'm thrilled to share that my first book chapter, "MRI Methods for Imaging Beta-Cell Function in the Rodent Pancreas" has been published in the book "Type-1 Diabetes"!
Beyond grateful for my mentor, Dr. Dean Sherry's guidance.
https://t.co/NbX1VaMG20
@UTSW_Radiology@UTSW_RadRes
Our new paper in @NEJM examines the massive investments into primary care by Amazon, CVS, Humana, and other corporations—what’s driving this trend and what are its implications for patients, clinicians, & trainees? 1/x
#ContinuumCase#tbt:
A 51 year old developed progressive confusion and personality change over 3 months. EEG was unrevealing. CSF showed a mild lymphocytic pleocytosis. After the MR below, she was treated with high dose steroids, with no change
What’s going on, #neurotwitter?🧵
Talk about seeing red!
Vitreous blood w/large subarachnoid hemorrhage--it's NOT intracranial SAH dissecting along the optic sheath
It's from sudden⬆️intracranial pressure causing central retinal vein obstruction=hemorrhage, called Terson's syndrome. Poor prognosis
#NeuroTwitter
Trends in number of applicants to residency #ERAS2023:
Rising:↗️↗️
Diagnostic Radiology
Anesthesiology
Child Neurology
Rebounding:↘️↗️
Radiation Oncology
Interventional Radiology
Pulling back:↗️↘️
Otolaryngology
Urology
Falling:↘️↘️
Emergency Medicine
Family Medicine
Congratulations @Laverymd 🎉🥳👏🏼🙌🏼🍾🥂The inaugural incumbent Robert A. Novelline Endowed Chair in Radiology! Two amazing radiologists, clinicians, educators, mentors and phenomenally entertaining speakers-so lucky to have worked with you both @MGHImaging & @harvardmed
Congratulations to Dr. Stefan Tigges of @EmoryRadiology, one of 2 finalists in the Most Effective Radiology Educator category in the Minnies! #RadEd#radiology@stefantigges https://t.co/RjNY7a4tHK