@front_ukrainian This tracks with a forecast we issued: 60% probability the Ankara summit (Jul 7-8) confirms the EUCOM drawdown announced in May. The Pentagon’s 6-month troop review, announced yesterday at NATO HQ, is exactly the kind of signal that precedes confirmation, not reversal.
@nexta_tv This tracks with a forecast we issued: 60% probability the Ankara summit (Jul 7-8) confirms the EUCOM drawdown announced in May. The Pentagon’s 6-month troop review, announced yesterday at NATO HQ, is exactly the kind of signal that precedes confirmation, not reversal.
On June 12, at 5:21 PM, the US government sent a letter. By dinner time in Europe, two of the
most advanced AI models in the world had been switched off.
Not restricted. Switched off.
This is what the Computation Lens tracks. A thread. 🧵
“Sovereignty is more about code than cannons.”
European politicians across party lines said the same thing within hours. Not because they
suddenly understood the risk — because the risk became impossible to ignore.
P = 0.60 · Resolves: 10 August 2026
The forecast is invalidated if:
→ Washington officially reverses the May decision before the summit
→ The Ankara summit is cancelled or postponed beyond 10 August
The Atlantic Pivot — What Ankara Decides New forecast from the Conflict Lens.
There is a 60% probability the US confirms or extends its European military drawdown at the Ankara NATO Summit in July.
Full analysis →https://t.co/k8iGxCsH3W
On 22 May, EUCOM announced a one-third reduction in combat aircraft, destroyers, and submarines in Europe. Official rationale: "Europe is no longer a priority theatre."
Context: a large-scale US-Israel operation against Iran in spring 2026 shifted Washington's strategic attention
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