Ninety days into the Iran war, the central question is no longer how the conflict ends, but whether the instability it has created is becoming permanent
-@ProfessorPape
The only thing that stops violent men from raping you and your society are other men who are equally willing to be violent in stopping the rapists. The West has decided that the highest virtue is to quietly comply with the destruction of your civilization because to do otherwise is bigoted toward the rapists. It really is that simple.
Markets are treating a possible Hormuz MoU as if it equals a full reopening.
But an MoU is not a settlement. It is not security. It is not insurance cover. And it is not a guarantee that tankers will risk re-entering the Strait.
Ships may leave. They may not come back.
Energy risk is being priced as a headline problem, not a logistics problem.
Update from RBC below:
Founders keep companies private when they believe the biggest value creation is still ahead. Draw your own conclusions on why companies like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all rushing toward IPOs.
🔴 BREAKING: High Court blocks Agri Minister's foot-and-mouth vaccine prohibition
Minister John Steenhuisen is also interdicted from interfering in private commercial relations of those who lawfully import FMD vaccines.
Here's the latest 🧵
Back in Q3 2023, we highlighted the Strait of Hormuz as a geopolitical risk investors should not ignore.
Not because we knew the timing.
But because in a changing world, portfolios need exposure to energy, real assets and optionality — not just traditional equity/bond diversification.
That is no longer a side issue. It is core portfolio construction.
https://t.co/pCjr8fxuDE
Back in Q3 2023, we highlighted the Strait of Hormuz as a geopolitical risk investors should not ignore.
Not because we knew the timing.
But because in a changing world, portfolios need exposure to energy, real assets and optionality — not just traditional equity/bond diversification.
That is no longer a side issue. It is core portfolio construction.
https://t.co/pCjr8fxuDE
“If anyone is not willing to work, let him not eat. For we hear that some among you walk in idleness, not busy at work, but busybodies. Now such persons we command and encourage in the Lord Jesus Christ to do their work quietly and to earn their own living."
— 2 Thessalonians 3:10–12