DrizzyDrew

[DrizzyDrew @DrizzzzyDrew]

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0 points, 2 assists, 3 rebounds, 3 Turnovers 0-5 shooting from the field.

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Friday Night Football Prop Play #2🏈

Christian Watson O 37.5 Receiving Yards (-113 Caesars)

- Watson, Jayden Reed, and Romeo Doubs played in just 9 games together last season. In those 9 games, Watson was second on the team in targets (53 to Doubs' 54), both of whom had over 10 more targets than Reed (43). Over that stretch, Watson also led the team in receiving yards (422), receiving yards market share (19%), and receiving yards per game (46.9).

- Jordan Love's passing attempts line is currently sitting at 34.5. If Watson were to retain the 16.9% target share he had while healthy last season he should see about 5.52 targets in this one. Last Season, when Watson saw 5+ targets he hit this line in 50% of his games (3/6), averaging 56.5 receiving yards per game over that stretch.

- The Eagles were horrible vs the pass last season. Their passing defense ranked near the bottom of the league in almost every major metric including the following; pass play % (31st), passes per game (38.2), passing yards (30th), and int % (31st). While they did draft 2 DBs in the first 2 rounds of the NFL draft in Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean, these 2 will not be enough to stop Jordan Love and company, especially as rookies.

- The Jayden Reed hype has gotten way out of hand this offseason. He is by no means a scrub, but for what his actual production outlook entails, he's overvalued.

- According to @FantasyPros Reed ran just 3 routes in the Packers' 2 WR sets last season. The Packers ran 12 personnel (2 WRs on the field) at the third-highest rate in the NFL, with over 32.6% of their snaps coming from that look. Reed played in just 2 games all season where he played 70+ percent of snaps and saw his usage decrease as the season went on (Watson and other receiving options got healthier)

- Watson led this team's trio of WRs in ADOT last season, posting a score of 15.4, the 6th highest of any WR on the season. Watson's longest reception prop is currently set at 19.5 on DK. He could realistically hit this total in just one play, that's the type of player he is.

- This game should be a high-scoring/back-and-forth affair, with this game's projected point total currently at 49.5 on DK. The spread is at just -2 in favor of the Eagles. I expect a high amount of passing volume from both sides in this one, which should allow Watson to cruise past this line.

I am loving this spot for Watson, with this line currently available on numerous books and DFS apps, so lock this prop in, and let’s make some cash!

LIKE IF TAILING❤️

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