Dutchfinstudent

Student | Investor in Small-cap space

[Denistratos @Denistratos]

First, what you do - just like what the vast majority of investors do - is largely a fiction. I’ve told you this before.

Take the $SPX chart over the last 10 years and overlay it with major index funds from Italy, Spain, China, Germany, South Korea, Japan, Nigeria - even Bitcoin, or sanctioned markets like Iran and Russia.
You’ll see the same moves, almost one-to-one, just with different beta.

All of them - and virtually all stocks globally - follow $SPX to some degree.
That’s why picking “undervalued” individual stocks is mostly a strategy for psychological comfort, not for superior returns.

That doesn’t mean it never works.
In certain periods it can deliver great results - especially if the person applying it is highly intelligent, intuitively understands market cycles, and has some luck on their side.

Second, this is easy to verify.
Just look at what happened in 2000 and 2008 - most illusions disappear on their own.

In any case, I wish you luck.
But it’s important to understand that markets move through different phases.

If a tactic has worked for some time, you also have to accept that there may come a period when it stops working.
That’s why there should always be a Plan B.

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@piterloskot82 @SunvMikey Do you have a source?
mgmt said to me last week ''we are working with required regulators on being able to enrich isotopes within those plants.''

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@EricV56609 @UDiamondBalls @piterloskot82 I do understand the reference, but 2kg of output is not the same as 15 MT altough they can be stacked in height and in length. I am not a phycisist of any kind so would love to connect!

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@EricV56609 @UDiamondBalls @piterloskot82 Well they are not sure if they want to pursue ASP or QE (both testbenches are running) so if they do not use QE but ASP they will use a gasseous form right? Also on QE side they only provided Yb176 testresults not U235

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@EricV56609 @UDiamondBalls @piterloskot82 So the conversion process is the problem for ASPI you are saying? Or don't i understand it correctly

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@EricV56609 @UDiamondBalls @piterloskot82 Hey Eric, why does GLE have TRL-6 then? Am not saying they are better but they DO produce (rest) results and look like 1 step ahead for now.

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@cesarsroy done!

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

$aspi now it's time for the Analyst event in order to get detailed financial forecasts and further strategic planning! Big win.

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@AspiCommunity @wakerife123 Hey could you send me a DM?

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@SunvMikey I Do think the bear case is they cannot produce Haleu at all.
No proof on Uf6 yet, not TRL-6, no results from the operating test benches etc. I do not think the bear thesis stems around marketshare.

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

Also i am cautious about the revenue forecast for 2026. Do think timelines are moved backwards again for Iceland facility. (still they want to be Xe-129 leader end of 2026 but isotopic production 2026 in Iceland was not mentioned)

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

$aspi, after listening back the call, i am still concerned about the company doing as much pet projects as they are doing. Looking for some data that contradicts this, mgmt said they are focussing ROIC.But buying assets like One30Seven does not seem like ''proven' ROIC

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@SunvMikey Hey Mikey, could you send me a DM. Would love to ask some things!

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@toiletkingcap @variance_swap subject to market conditions and obtaining applicable approvals and consents and complying with applicable rules and regulations and public market trading and listing requirements.

he is missing the part before.

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

Let’s hope $aspi closes Renergen before Friday. Also hoping for some tough questions on progress, shareholder governance, and the ongoing dilution with no clear justification — plus clarity on the One30Seven and SC side projects that will burntime and cash they need for mainco.

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@citidad Totally diasgree
it does not matter for the royalty and we knew this beforehand (loan agreement with TP) they would need to raise cash. Also you do not want to spin off an empty co. It is in nobody's interest to not raise cash.

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@SunvMikey Exactly mainly renergen close is a risk, not only to drive energy price of facility down in SA but also to exploit Helium in order for competetive advantage w.r.t. industrial gasses. For Terrapower they can probably find another customer.

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@CryptoOwly @northridge_fund Expected mid 2026 full scale. Approving samples does take longer in medical isotopes than lets say semiconductor (si-28)

[Dutchfinstudent @Dutchfinstudent]

@AcctNo994 So did you manage to develop a valuation framework wirh all the moving parts? Because the old one Jakob made do not seem to fulfill anymore.