The Weekend Investor

Weekender Investor || TechnoFunda !!

Legal Disclaimer - I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst. All Posts, Views & Ideas are for Learning.

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

#nifty - Highest short positions by FII + PRO since covid, seems a big trending move is on the way, yesterday's analysis worked perfectly now today's low on closing stands as a strong support. 2 scenarios probable :-

* A big +ve on war front or govt. on taxes & big short covering by FII's & PRO, similar data was on 1st April & markets gave a big short covering rally of 10%!

* A big -ve on cards may be on war front or something completely unknown to us which will break all support with gap-down, will be a shocker for all as global markets are very strong!

Views Invited. Which scenario according to you is possible??

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

#banknifty - 1st sign of strength after a long time. Even the ratio chart vs Nifty has given a breakout!! Imp. Points to consider :-

* Bullish reversal candle is more stronger in banknifty vs nifty with former closing above previous days high, closing abv trendline will lead to a positional breakout!

* All major banks have made a bullish reversal candle with one small one hitting ATH which shows strength is real with good breadth!

https://t.co/XUsC9Tkw26 - Link To join our knowledge community groups where we keep sharing such insightful written + video content too on sectors & markets!!

Views Invited. Was IT rally a one off & now banks will lead the market or will see a sell off like IT sector??

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

#niftyit - When everyone is turning bearish & too many queries on a sector means time to keep a close eye on it, what say?? Imp. Observations :-

* Weekly charts nearing a 5 year support zone for IT sector which can be a great opportunity if reversal happens

* Uncertainty is there & alpha is made only when 1 invests in uncertain times

* RS coming close to 0 line will be closely watched especially combined with price action

Views Invited. Will you watch IT sector for long term investment or completely avoid it ??

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

#nifty - The decider week where either we will form a bottom or make a new low & something big can be the reason for it. Possible scenarios :-

* We don't break 23200 & form a bottom near by & close abv 23800 post some initial panic with some good news on taxation probably!!

* We break 23200 & close below it decisively, high chances of 22800 & even 22000 being broken with a big negative which we don't know currently!!

Views Invited. Which scenario according to you is possible and why??

[Equity Excellence™ @EquityExcel]

#niftydefence - A breakout retest or a fakeout ??

Chances of retest are higher, what's your take??

[Wealthcompounder @wealthcompoun]

MOTILAL NAGAR REDEVELOPMENT IN MUMBAI BY ADANI GROUP

Project Overview
Adani Group, through its entity Estatevue Developers Pvt Ltd, will undertake India's largest cluster redevelopment project by area and value in Motilal Nagar, Goregaon West, Mumbai, spanning 143 acres across three sub-zones (Motilal Nagar 1, 2 & 3).

Financials
1. Total investment: ~₹1 trillion
2. Rehabilitation component cost: ~₹36,000 crore (1.05 million sq. mt.)
3. Funding: Group capital and project sales proceeds
4. Free-sale component (open market): ~1.7 million sq. mt.

Structure & Governance
Estatevue is appointed as the Construction & Development Agency (C&DA) under MHADA's Mumbai Board. In this model, Estatevue cannot raise finance or transfer development rights without MHADA's approval, keeping the state housing authority in supervisory control. The rehabilitation component will be handed over to MHADA, which will then transfer leasehold rights to housing societies upon receiving occupation certificates

Beneficiaries
3,702 eligible residents will receive free homes of ~1,600 sq. ft. each
328 commercial occupants will receive units of ~987 sq. ft. each

Timeline
Construction will proceed in phases, with MHADA targeting completion within 7 years.

[Wealthcompounder @wealthcompoun]

India's First 3D Glass Chip Packaging Unit Launched in Odisha

Heterogeneous Integration Packaging Solutions (3D Glass Solutions) has broken ground on India's first advanced 3D glass chip packaging facility at Info Valley, Bhubaneswar. It's one of four semiconductor projects greenlit under the India Semiconductor Mission in August 2025.

Key highlights:
Investment: ~₹1,943 crore
Capacity: 70,000 glass panels/year, 50 million assembled units, and ~13,000 3DHI modules annually
Jobs: 2,500+ direct and indirect employment opportunities
Focus areas: High-performance computing, AI, and IoT

The plant specialises in glass-based RF and millimetre-wave packaging substrates with high interconnect density and low signal loss — critical for next-gen chip technology.

[Wealthcompounder @wealthcompoun]

India's battery value chain adds one more player

Andhra Pradesh (AP) government has approved a ~₹2,550 crore investment by NPSPL Speciality Chemicals Pvt Ltd to establish a cathode material manufacturing facility in Chittoor district. The project, spread across 105 acres in Gudupalle Mandal is localising one of the most critical components in the electronics and battery value chain. Cathode materials are the core functional component of lithiumion batteries, determining battery performance, energy density, lifecycle, and safety

Approved under the Andhra Pradesh Electronics Component Manufacturing Policy 4.0 (2025-30), the project is classified under the supply chain of sub-assemblies and bare components

Applications of cathode material
Li-ion batteries find use in an array of highgrowth sectors such as electric vehicles (EVs) (to power cars, two-wheelers, and commercial EV fleets), consumer electronics (smartphones, laptops, wearables, and portable devices), and battery energy storage systems or BESS, and grid-scale storage for renewable energy (RE) integration. Cathode materials are integral to all modern batteries, and by association all modern electronics ecosystems. The project places Andhra Pradesh at the heart of two converging mega-trends, namely, the scaling up of electronics manufacturing and the global energy transition towards electrification

To accelerate execution, the Andhra Pradesh has extended a customised incentive package, including capital subsidies under the policy, 100% electricity duty exemption for 10 years, power cost reimbursement, and high energy-intensive industry classification

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

What makes a breakout more strong :-

* Multiple failure attempts followed by a strong marubozu in weekly charts
* Pattern breakout after years of consolidation
* Strength in weak markets

Views Invited. Which PSE chart is on your radar??

[Equity Excellence™ @EquityExcel]

#niftyenergy - Little more power required to break this wall. Highest weekly closing in last 60 weeks, will the breakout happen??

Views Invited.

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

#nifty has given a weekly closing ABV 23850 now which is another +ve. The only hurdle now left is 24400.

Hope you all are learning as well as earning from our daily updates Last 2 Weeks we have been quite vocal about why the markets are undervalued!!

See you all tomorrow at 9 PM for a detailed discussion in Special Market Kya Lagta Hai! Join our knowledge Community to get zoom link👇 https://t.co/XUsC9Tkw26

Keep Learning, Keep Sharing!!

[Wealthcompounder @wealthcompoun]

List of companies which are Data Centers proxies

Credits -
https://t.co/uUGeD9z9vX

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

#niftysmallcap - The outperformance continues for last 2 weeks as shared, is it just the beginning??

Chart below is self explanatory & even in USD terms a perfect breakout retest done as shared earlier with logic!!

Views Invited. Will small caps outpace large caps in FY 2027 ?

[Equity Excellence™ @EquityExcel]

#banknifty - Simple Technical Analysis work perfectly, a big marubozu candle on weekly!!

A dragonfly doji at support of price + RSI was a perfect long candidate. Hope you all benefited from our timely update!!

Views Invited. Are we heading towards gap fill or a bull trap now??

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

#nifty - Negative news + fear still green closing, this event happened for the 1st time since the war has started. Few imp. observations :-

* Triple RSI Divergence on daily, explained with emojis & historically this has been a strong reversal signal

* 1st green weekly closing near a strong support zone & a day where nifty recovered 500++ from lows despite 3 days holiday

* 21800 & 23350 would be the deciders whether the next big move is on upside or downside

https://t.co/qfVrDFoKl2 - To understand above in details!!

Views Invited. 21800 or 23350 what will break 1st according to you??

[Equity Excellence™ @EquityExcel]

#banknifty - A dragonfly doji with 2nd lowest RSI in weekly charts!!

48k & 50k remains strong support & 54k being the major resistance. With great q4 updates from most of the banks will we see a strong recovery or Q1 disappointment will be discounted now ??

Views Invited!!

[Equity Excellence™ @EquityExcel]

https://t.co/KCWNB3BjlY

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

#niftysmallcap - A breakout retest on monthly charts in USD terms. Also RS on daily abv 0 line for small cap & mid cap index vs Nifty after 6 months.

Has time for small & mid caps come to outperform for the next 6 months??

Views Invited. Small caps or large caps??

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

#niftysmallcap250 - Green shoots visible - 3 Imp. Observations :-

* RS vs Nifty above 0 after 6 months of extreme pain in small caps, outperformance started

* Portfolio showing strength despite overall weak sentiments after a long time

* +Ve RSI Divergence in place & closing ABV 15300 will trigger big FOMO

Views Invited. Is the worst behind or just a bluff rally??

[Yash Dugar @ydstartupreneur]

#usbondyield #banknifty - Classic TA e.g of breakout retest followed by upmove whereas in banknifty breakdown retest & in 1 day all gains vanished.

Until & unless the yield comes below the red line, banknifty closes above the green band all upmoves will be sold into likes its's happening for the last 2 times. INR depreciation & Crude needs to cool asap for any relief above as banks now the weakest from the strongest sector!!

Views Invited. Are we headed towards a big fall or this time bears will be trapped??